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Detroit Lions at Carolina Panthers

Detroit Lions
Carolina Panthers
· NBC· Bank of America Stadium

Market

Book
+3
o47.5
Exchange
Volume
contracts

Spreads are home-relative — negative means Carolina Panthers is favoured.

Our projection

how the number is built
Model
+2.9
Panthers
Win prob
59%
Lions
Likely range
-19 to 14
8 in 10 games
Rating gap
1399 − 1600 = -8.0 pts
Shrunk ×0.644
-5.2 pts
Home field
+2.25 pts
Projected margin
-2.9 Panthers

Point differential, shrunk and adjusted for home field. Fitted on 1,087 games (2022–25) and scored on seasons it never saw: 12.9 points of error against 14.0 for no model. Against the closing line on a full season it went 133–133 — exactly even, and the closing line predicted the margin better than this did. Use it to understand a game, not to beat a price. Neither side has played yet, so both ratings are last season’s.

The matchup

form, ratings and the series
Lions
Away
Our rating
1600#9
FPI rank
#82026
Record
not started
Point diff
last season's rating
Panthers
Home
Our rating
1399#23
FPI rank
#252026
Record
not started
Point diff
last season's rating

Last 2 meetings

Panthers 1–1
  • 2023 wk 5Panthers at Lions2442Lions
  • 2022 wk 16Lions at Panthers2337Panthers

From the 2022 season on — earlier meetings are not stored.

Order flow

Nothing has traded on the exchange for this game yet.

Who has moved

No price history archived for this game.

Total

The exchange isn't pricing a total for this game yet.

Notable trades

Nothing has traded here at a size worth calling out.

Resting size

No order book for this market right now.

DET @ CAR
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