Noah Warren

Chances our shot model · 2026-27 · 2 games

Expected goals is the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from where and how it was taken, added up. G − xG is goals scored above that — finishing, and luck, which over a few games are the same thing. On-ice numbers count every five-on-five chance while he was out there, his or not, and say as much about his linemates as about him. How it works →

5-on-5 impact our rating · 2026-27

Creates

−0.01

expected goals for per 60

Prevents

+0.06

expected goals against per 60

Net impact

+0.05

for minus against

Not ranked: under 10 five-on-five minutes a game in the seasons the rating is built on. How much his presence moves his team's five-on-five expected goals, with linemates, opponents, home ice and the score accounted for — built on earlier seasons' shifts and updated after every finished game this season. It is not a ranking of the best players: it leaves out the power play, the penalty kill and finishing, splits credit among the five skaters on the ice, and pulls every rating toward average, so a scoring star sits closer to the pack here than on the points list. How it works →