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Hurricanes at Flyers
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Philadelphia Flyers

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
▸3
Philadelphia Flyers
2
Final/OTTV TNT, truTV·Xfinity Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Philadelphia Flyers 3-2 in overtime, Jackson Blake scoring at 5:31. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jackson Blake's goal at 5:31 of overtime, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 48% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 2.9 to 2.5; shots on goal were CAR 40, PHI 17. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Frederik Andersen stopped 15 of 17 (.882), 0.5 goals saved above expected; Dan Vladar stopped 37 of 40 (.925). Three stars: 1. Jackson Blake (2 G, 1 A), 2. Logan Stankoven (1 G), 3. Dan Vladar (37 saves, .925).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    J. Blake2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CAR
    L. Stankoven1 G
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    D. Vladar37 saves, .925

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
CARCAR0811511314340
PHIPHI15041602217

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. PHI
    T. Foerster(1)
    T. Zegras (4), P. Martone (3)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    7:50

2nd period

  1. CAR
    J. Blake(3)
    K. Miller (6), T. Hall (7)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +18 ptsVideo
    1-1
    12:35

3rd period

  1. CAR
    L. Stankoven(7)
    T. Hall (8), J. Blake (7)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +27 ptsVideo
    2-1
    4:13
  2. PHI
    A. Bump(2)
    T. Konecny (4), C. Dvorak (4)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +28 ptsVideo
    2-2
    5:52

Overtime

  1. CAR
    J. Blake(4)
    T. Hall (9), J. Slavin (1)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +52 ptsVideo
    3-2
    5:31

Penalties

CAR 6 PIM·PHI 6 PIM

1st

  • 11:32PHIPorter Martone · Hookingdrawn by Seth Jarvis2 min
  • 14:26CARJordan Martinook · Interferencedrawn by Denver Barkey2 min

2nd

  • 4:16PHISean Couturier · Hookingdrawn by Taylor Hall2 min
  • 7:22CARJordan Staal · Trippingdrawn by Jamie Drysdale2 min
  • 8:42CARSebastian Aho · Hookingdrawn by Denver Barkey2 min
  • 10:20PHIRasmus Ristolainen · Interferencedrawn by Mark Jankowski2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalCAR goalFinal: PHI 0%

Biggest swing: Jackson Blake, OT 5:31 — CAR 48% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
G. Hathaway · Missed · xG 0.39T. Zegras · Missed · xG 0.19G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.18A. Bump · Goal · xG 0.17C. Dvorak · Missed · xG 0.16T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.15P. Martone · Missed · xG 0.15T. Foerster · Goal · xG 0.13G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.10T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.10T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.10P. Martone · On goal · xG 0.09P. Martone · On goal · xG 0.08D. Barkey · Missed · xG 0.08P. Martone · On goal · xG 0.07P. Martone · Missed · xG 0.07P. Martone · On goal · xG 0.05P. Martone · On goal · xG 0.05T. Zegras · Missed · xG 0.04T. Foerster · On goal · xG 0.02J. Drysdale · Missed · xG 0.02R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.02C. Grundstrom · Missed · xG 0.02C. Grundstrom · Missed · xG 0.01C. Dvorak · Missed · xG 0.01A. Bump · Missed · xG 0.01N. Seeler · On goal · xG 0.01T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.00C. Grundstrom · On goal · xG 0.00T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.00J. Drysdale · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI2 G · 2.5 xG · 31 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsPHI
2.93 G
All situations
2 G2.5
2.73 G
Even strength
2 G1.7
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR58%42%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.93 – 2.46

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsPHI
40
Shots on goal
17
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/3
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
29
Hits
39
7
Blocked shots
24
14
Giveaways
19
6
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
19K. MillerD011+220.05310—24:30
26S. WalkerD000020.12300—23:13
5J. ChatfieldD000-110.08000—22:42
20S. AhoC000020.122124321:18
74J. SlavinD011+130.02010—21:09
24S. JarvisR000040.32200—20:07
4S. GostisbehereD000060.21100—18:57
27N. EhlersL000-110.01000—18:31
53J. BlakeR213+230.27110—17:29
37A. SvechnikovR000030.27200—17:17
11J. StaalC000-120.293025417:05
71T. HallL033+230.3011010016:36
22L. StankovenC101+220.243004016:12
21A. NikishinD000000.03000—15:08
48J. MartinookL000-130.18102—14:26
77M. JankowskiL000010.342206014:04
28W. CarrierL000010.023006711:34
50E. RobinsonL000010.10200—11:29
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31F. Andersen(W)17152.8822.51+0.5165:19

Series

CAR leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).