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Flyers at Hurricanes
NHL

Philadelphia Flyers at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
Philadelphia Flyers
2
Carolina Hurricanes
▸3
Final/OTTV ESPN, CBC·Lenovo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Philadelphia Flyers 3-2 in overtime, Taylor Hall scoring at 18:54. The Hurricanes came back from two goals down. The Flyers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Taylor Hall's goal at 18:54 of overtime, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 52% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 4.0 to 3.3; shots on goal were PHI 36, CAR 42. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Dan Vladar stopped 39 of 42 (.929), 1.0 goals saved above expected; Frederik Andersen stopped 34 of 36 (.944), 1.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Taylor Hall (1 G), 2. Nikolaj Ehlers (1 G, 1 A), 3. Seth Jarvis (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    T. Hall1 G
  2. ★★
    CAR
    N. Ehlers1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    S. Jarvis1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
PHIPHI2601005015236
CARCAR1100161818342

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. PHI
    J. Drysdale(2)PPG
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.07win prob +9 ptsVideo
    1-0
    4:02
  2. PHI
    S. Couturier(1)
    C. Grundstrom (1)
    snapxG 0.42win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-0
    4:41
  3. CAR
    N. Ehlers(1)PPG
    J. Blake (5), K. Miller (4)
    slapxG 0.09win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-1
    10:21

3rd period

  1. CAR
    S. Jarvis(1)
    N. Ehlers (2), J. Staal (2)
    snapxG 0.08win prob +34 ptsVideo
    2-2
    11:21

Overtime

  1. CAR
    T. Hall(3)
    J. Blake (6), S. Walker (2)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +48 ptsVideo
    2-3
    18:54

Penalties

PHI 14 PIM·CAR 16 PIM

1st

  • 3:25CARSean Walker · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 8:25PHICam York · Holdingdrawn by Sebastian Aho2 min
  • 13:21CARTaylor Hall · Holdingdrawn by Alex Bump2 min
  • 16:16PHICarl Grundstrom · Holding the stickdrawn by Shayne Gostisbehere2 min
  • 19:05PHIserved by T. Zegras · Too many men on the ice2 min

2nd

  • 2:46CARMark Jankowski · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 4:30PHIRasmus Ristolainen · Trippingdrawn by Seth Jarvis2 min
  • 9:57CARserved by T. Hall · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 14:10PHIDenver Barkey · High stickingdrawn by Logan Stankoven2 min
  • 17:18CARAndrei Svechnikov · High stickingdrawn by Christian Dvorak2 min

3rd

  • 1:35CARAndrei Svechnikov · High stickingdrawn by Christian Dvorak2 min
  • 7:40PHIEmil Andrae · Roughingdrawn by William Carrier2 min
  • 14:36PHIDan Vladar · Slashingdrawn by Logan Stankoven2 min
  • 14:36CARLogan Stankoven · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Dan Vladar2 min

OT

  • 6:29CARAndrei Svechnikov · Hookingdrawn by Travis Sanheim2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalPHI goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Taylor Hall, OT 18:54 — CAR 52% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.21E. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.20T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.19M. Jankowski · Missed · xG 0.19J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.18L. Stankoven · Missed · xG 0.18T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.17L. Stankoven · On goal · xG 0.15T. Hall · Goal · xG 0.15S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.14S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.13E. Robinson · Missed · xG 0.11L. Stankoven · On goal · xG 0.11L. Stankoven · Missed · xG 0.11J. Blake · On goal · xG 0.10S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.10E. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.09J. Blake · On goal · xG 0.09N. Ehlers · Goal · xG 0.09N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.08S. Jarvis · Goal · xG 0.08A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.08J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.07S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.07J. Blake · On goal · xG 0.07S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.07E. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.06E. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.05S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.05J. Blake · Missed · xG 0.05S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.04S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.04L. Stankoven · On goal · xG 0.04J. Blake · Missed · xG 0.03J. Blake · On goal · xG 0.03S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.03S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.03S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.03S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.02S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.02L. Stankoven · On goal · xG 0.02J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.02J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.02E. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.02K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.02L. Stankoven · Missed · xG 0.02M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.02A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.01A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.01J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.01J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.01W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.01S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.01J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.01S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.01S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.00K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.00S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.00J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.00J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.00J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.00S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.00M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR3 G · 4.0 xG · 63 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsCAR
3.32 G
All situations
3 G4.0
2.51 G
Even strength
2 G2.4
0.61 G
Power play
1 G1.0
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 109 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI43%57%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.28 – 3.76

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsCAR
36
Shots on goal
42
40%
Faceoffs
60%
1/7
Power play
1/6
14
Penalty minutes
16
43
Hits
42
15
Blocked shots
8
19
Giveaways
20
4
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6T. SanheimD000020.30150—31:19
9J. DrysdaleD101-140.32010—29:12
55R. RistolainenD000+120.04112—28:16
8C. YorkD000-220.07122—27:43
14S. CouturierC101+150.965005824:51
11T. KonecnyR000010.14500—23:58
71T. FoersterR000010.00200—23:53
46T. ZegrasC000040.22100023:36
22C. DvorakC000040.364004022:04
27N. CatesL000010.003202820:53
24N. SeelerD000000.00320—17:54
94P. MartoneR000-210.17200—17:37
52D. BarkeyC000-220.373025017:15
41L. GlendeningC000+110.141103316:27
39M. MichkovR000040.20200—15:10
20A. BumpL000-200.05110—14:01
91C. GrundstromR011+120.01602—13:45
36E. AndraeD000000.00202—12:40
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
80D. Vladar(L)42393.9293.97+0.9778:54

Series

CAR leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).