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Carolina Hurricanes at Philadelphia Flyers

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Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Philadelphia Flyers 4-1. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jalen Chatfield's goal at 15:59 of the second period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 42% to 64%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 3.5 to 1.9; shots on goal were CAR 31, PHI 19. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 77% of the time. Frederik Andersen stopped 18 of 19 (.947), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Dan Vladar stopped 27 of 31 (.871). Three stars: 1. Andrei Svechnikov (1 G, 1 A), 2. Jordan Martinook (2 A), 3. Porter Martone (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    A. Svechnikov1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CAR
    J. Martinook2 A
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    P. Martone1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR11019212431
PHIPHI071606119

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    J. Staal(1)PPG
    backhandxG 0.34win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    17:27

2nd period

  1. PHI
    snapxG 0.24win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-1
    2:31
  2. CAR
    snapxG 0.18win prob +22 ptsVideo
    2-1
    15:59

3rd period

  1. CAR
    slapxG 0.10win prob +16 ptsVideo
    3-1
    3:52
  2. CAR
    wristxG 0.11win prob +5 ptsVideo
    4-1
    7:08

Penalties

CAR 20 PIM·PHI 38 PIM

1st

  • 13:34CARSean Walker · Interferencedrawn by Travis Konecny2 min
  • 16:35PHISean Couturier · Trippingdrawn by Shayne Gostisbehere2 min
  • 19:24CARJackson Blake · Slashingdrawn by Tyson Foerster2 min
  • 19:42PHIJamie Drysdale · Interferencedrawn by Jordan Staal2 min

2nd

  • 8:40PHIJamie Drysdale · Slashingdrawn by Sebastian Aho2 min
  • 12:55PHITrevor Zegras · High stickingdrawn by K'Andre Miller2 min
  • 15:48CARTaylor Hall · Boardingdrawn by Travis Sanheim2 min
  • 16:33PHIJamie Drysdale · Holdingdrawn by Seth Jarvis2 min
  • 16:33CARSeth Jarvis · High stickingdrawn by Travis Konecny2 min
  • 16:33CARserved by J. Blake · Unsportsmanlike conduct bench2 min
  • 19:09PHIChristian Dvorak · Roughingdrawn by Taylor Hall2 min

3rd

  • 2:14CARK'Andre Miller · Roughingdrawn by Travis Konecny2 min
  • 2:14PHIChristian Dvorak · Roughingdrawn by K'Andre Miller2 min
  • 3:24PHICam York · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Frederik Andersen2 min
  • 8:52PHIChristian Dvorak · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 12:21CARSebastian Aho · High stickingdrawn by Alex Bump2 min
  • 17:41PHITravis Konecny · Roughingdrawn by K'Andre Miller2 min
  • 17:41PHITravis Konecny · Slashingdrawn by K'Andre Miller2 min
  • 17:41CAREric Robinson · Roughingdrawn by Travis Konecny2 min
  • 17:41PHITravis Konecny · Misconduct10 min
  • 19:34PHINick Seeler · Roughingdrawn by Logan Stankoven2 min
  • 19:34CARLogan Stankoven · Roughingdrawn by Nick Seeler2 min
  • 19:34CARShayne Gostisbehere · Roughingdrawn by Rasmus Ristolainen2 min
  • 19:34PHIRasmus Ristolainen · Roughingdrawn by Shayne Gostisbehere2 min
  • 19:34PHIGarnet Hathaway · Roughingdrawn by Jackson Blake2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalCAR goalFinal: PHI 0%

Biggest swing: Jalen Chatfield, 2nd 15:59 — CAR 42% → 64%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Zegras · Goal · xG 0.24A. Bump · On goal · xG 0.17A. Bump · Missed · xG 0.16T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.15M. Michkov · On goal · xG 0.13T. Foerster · On goal · xG 0.12P. Martone · Missed · xG 0.11C. Grundstrom · On goal · xG 0.09T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.09S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.08T. Foerster · On goal · xG 0.08A. Bump · On goal · xG 0.08T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.07P. Martone · On goal · xG 0.07G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.06C. York · On goal · xG 0.04T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.03P. Martone · On goal · xG 0.02C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.02T. Sanheim · Missed · xG 0.02C. York · Missed · xG 0.01C. York · On goal · xG 0.01M. Michkov · On goal · xG 0.01T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI1 G · 1.9 xG · 24 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsPHI
3.54 G
All situations
1 G1.9
1.71 G
Even strength
1 G1.1
1.62 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.21 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR77%23%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.47 – 1.85

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsPHI
31
Shots on goal
19
49%
Faceoffs
51%
2/9
Power play
0/5
20
Penalty minutes
38
31
Hits
41
9
Blocked shots
17
11
Giveaways
16
4
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
19K. MillerD011+100.00202—21:45
26S. WalkerD000+120.05312—20:26
20S. AhoC011000.071025520:10
24S. JarvisR000030.29302—19:47
74J. SlavinD000020.01120—19:24
5J. ChatfieldD101050.29020—18:00
4S. GostisbehereD022020.05312—17:46
27N. EhlersL101+120.47000—17:30
37A. SvechnikovR112030.66400—17:26
11J. StaalC112+120.373105315:26
53J. BlakeR000-110.19102—15:15
48J. MartinookL022+210.17200—15:11
22L. StankovenC000-120.201124314:38
21A. NikishinD000000.00000—13:55
71T. HallL000030.16102—13:54
77M. JankowskiL000000.001006310:03
28W. CarrierL000010.23300—09:43
50E. RobinsonL000020.31212—07:41
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31F. Andersen(W)19181.9471.85+0.8560:00

Series

CAR leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).