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Philadelphia Flyers at Carolina Hurricanes

FinalTV ABC, SN·Lenovo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Philadelphia Flyers 3-0. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jackson Blake's goal at 7:30 of the first period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 66% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 2.3 to 1.3; shots on goal were PHI 19, CAR 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Dan Vladar stopped 20 of 23 (.870), 1.1 goals below expected; Frederik Andersen stopped 19 of 19 (1.000), 1.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Logan Stankoven (2 G), 2. Jackson Blake (1 G, 1 A), 3. Mike Reilly (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    L. Stankoven2 G
  2. ★★
    CAR
    J. Blake1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    M. Reilly2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI0405010019
CARCAR2121902323

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    1:31
  2. CAR
    backhandxG 0.26win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    7:30

2nd period

  1. CAR
    snapxG 0.13win prob +7 ptsVideo
    0-3
    16:16

Penalties

PHI 34 PIM·CAR 34 PIM

1st

  • 8:34PHINick Seeler · Cross checkingdrawn by Mark Jankowski2 min
  • 12:28CARJordan Martinook · High stickingdrawn by Nick Seeler2 min
  • 15:04CARMike Reilly · Cross checkingdrawn by Matvei Michkov2 min

2nd

  • 2:15CARFrederik Andersen · Trippingdrawn by Porter Martone2 min
  • 8:46PHIGarnet Hathaway · Slashingdrawn by William Carrier2 min
  • 19:15PHITyson Foerster · Slashingdrawn by Andrei Svechnikov2 min

3rd

  • 7:25CARTaylor Hall · Roughingdrawn by Porter Martone2 min
  • 7:25PHIPorter Martone · Roughingdrawn by Taylor Hall2 min
  • 11:46PHITrevor Zegras · Roughingdrawn by Jackson Blake2 min
  • 11:46PHITrevor Zegras · Slashingdrawn by Jackson Blake2 min
  • 11:46CARJackson Blake · Roughingdrawn by Trevor Zegras2 min
  • 11:46CARTaylor Hall · Roughingdrawn by Travis Konecny2 min
  • 11:46PHITravis Konecny · Roughingdrawn by Taylor Hall2 min
  • 11:46PHITrevor Zegras · Misconduct10 min
  • 11:46CARJackson Blake · Misconduct10 min
  • 13:40CARShayne Gostisbehere · Misconduct10 min
  • 13:40PHINick Seeler · Misconduct10 min
  • 15:12CARAndrei Svechnikov · Cross checkingdrawn by Porter Martone2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalPHI goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Jackson Blake, 1st 7:30 — CAR 66% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Robinson · Missed · xG 0.34J. Blake · Goal · xG 0.26J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.21L. Stankoven · On goal · xG 0.19A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.14L. Stankoven · Goal · xG 0.13L. Stankoven · Missed · xG 0.11S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.10L. Stankoven · Goal · xG 0.09S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.06N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.05L. Stankoven · Missed · xG 0.05J. Blake · On goal · xG 0.05S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.04S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.04S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.04N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.04S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.03M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.03L. Stankoven · On goal · xG 0.03N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.03S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.03S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.02L. Stankoven · On goal · xG 0.02S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.02E. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.02S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.02J. Chatfield · On goal · xG 0.01S. Walker · Missed · xG 0.01J. Blake · Missed · xG 0.01S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.01J. Chatfield · On goal · xG 0.01W. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.01M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.00N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR3 G · 2.3 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsCAR
1.30 G
All situations
3 G2.3
0.90 G
Even strength
3 G1.5
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 64 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI37%63%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.33 – 1.92

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsCAR
19
Shots on goal
23
56%
Faceoffs
44%
0/4
Power play
0/4
34
Penalty minutes
34
49
Hits
30
14
Blocked shots
17
15
Giveaways
17
6
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55R. RistolainenD000-230.16320—23:57
6T. SanheimD000-220.21420—23:29
9J. DrysdaleD000000.05020—21:13
8C. YorkD000010.02110—19:59
11T. KonecnyR000020.12612—19:48
22C. DvorakC000000.000006318:37
46T. ZegrasC000000.0030146716:31
71T. FoersterR000-210.02312—16:29
94P. MartoneR000000.00602—16:03
27N. CatesL000-210.126004015:51
14S. CouturierC000050.223007315:42
52D. BarkeyC000-110.172002515:13
41L. GlendeningC000000.003107013:37
24N. SeelerD000-100.002212—13:15
20A. BumpL000-110.11100—12:43
39M. MichkovR000-300.00010—12:08
47N. JuulsenD000-100.00300—10:42
19G. HathawayR000020.14312—09:31
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
80D. Vladar(L)23203.8701.93-1.0755:12

Series

CAR leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).