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Oilers at Ducks
NHL

Edmonton Oilers at Anaheim Ducks

NHL scoreboard
Edmonton Oilers
2
Anaheim Ducks
▸5
FinalTV TNT, truTV·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Edmonton Oilers 5-2. The Ducks scored first and never trailed. The Ducks led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Chris Kreider's goal at 13:43 of the first period, which took the Ducks' chances from 67% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Ducks, 4.3 to 2.9; shots on goal were EDM 27, ANA 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Connor Ingram stopped 26 of 30 (.867), 1.3 goals below expected; Lukas Dostal stopped 25 of 27 (.926), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Troy Terry (1 G, 2 A), 2. Jackson LaCombe (1 A), 3. Chris Kreider (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    T. Terry1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    ANA
    J. LaCombe1 A
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    C. Kreider1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM17010110227
ANAANA31111515531

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    R. Poehling(4)
    J. Carlson (5), C. Gauthier (3)
    deflectedxG 0.12win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    9:56
  2. ANA
    C. Kreider(1)
    L. Carlsson (4), T. Terry (4)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    13:43
  3. EDM
    C. Murphy(2)
    J. Samanski (1), C. Dach (1)
    backhandxG 0.40win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-2
    15:14
  4. ANA
    C. Gauthier(4)PPG
    J. LaCombe (8), M. McTavish (3)
    slapxG 0.14win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-3
    16:50

2nd period

  1. ANA
    T. Terry(3)
    L. Carlsson (5), C. Kreider (3)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +7 ptsVideo
    1-4
    19:13

3rd period

  1. EDM
    V. Podkolzin(3)
    K. Kapanen (2), L. Draisaitl (7)
    deflectedxG 0.47win prob +6 ptsVideo
    2-4
    1:13
  2. ANA
    L. Carlsson(3)EN
    C. Kreider (4), T. Terry (5)
    wristxG 0.70Video
    2-5
    17:26

Penalties

EDM 4 PIM·ANA 0 PIM

1st

  • 15:37EDMRyan Nugent-Hopkins · Holdingdrawn by Pavel Mintyukov2 min
  • 19:18EDMserved by Z. Hyman · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalEDM goalFinal: ANA 100%

Biggest swing: Chris Kreider, 1st 13:43 — ANA 67% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Carlsson · Goal · xG 0.70R. Poehling · Missed · xG 0.56I. Moore · Missed · xG 0.35A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.17M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.16C. Kreider · Goal · xG 0.14I. Moore · Missed · xG 0.14C. Gauthier · Goal · xG 0.14R. Poehling · On goal · xG 0.13T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.13C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.12T. Terry · Goal · xG 0.12R. Poehling · Goal · xG 0.12C. Gauthier · Missed · xG 0.12R. Poehling · Missed · xG 0.11L. Carlsson · On goal · xG 0.10L. Carlsson · Missed · xG 0.10R. Poehling · On goal · xG 0.09B. Sennecke · On goal · xG 0.08M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.07I. Moore · On goal · xG 0.07C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.06J. Viel · Missed · xG 0.06T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.05A. Killorn · Missed · xG 0.05T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.05T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.03J. LaCombe · On goal · xG 0.03J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.03J. Viel · On goal · xG 0.03B. Sennecke · On goal · xG 0.02M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.02A. Killorn · Missed · xG 0.02T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.02J. LaCombe · On goal · xG 0.02J. LaCombe · On goal · xG 0.01C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.01M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.01C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.01J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.01C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.01P. Mintyukov · On goal · xG 0.01C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.00P. Mintyukov · On goal · xG 0.00J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.00D. Helleson · Missed · xG 0.00
ANA5 G · 4.3 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsANA
2.92 G
All situations
4 G4.3
2.82 G
Even strength
3 G2.2
0.20 G
Power play
1 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM54%46%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.93 – 2.70

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsANA
27
Shots on goal
31
47%
Faceoffs
53%
0/0
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
0
27
Hits
33
9
Blocked shots
17
17
Giveaways
11
3
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25D. NurseD000+120.04210—25:49
97C. McDavidC000-330.261002524:49
2E. BouchardD000-310.10020—24:11
29L. DraisaitlC011-110.220004724:01
18Z. HymanL000-320.41400—20:51
5C. MurphyD101+140.43210—20:33
96J. WalmanD000-230.05000—19:58
42K. KapanenR011010.16310—19:49
92V. PodkolzinR101-130.76500—18:46
14M. EkholmD000-110.01200—16:22
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC000-220.100124715:57
22M. SavoieC000020.17000014:26
28J. RoslovicC000010.211106014:25
49T. EmbersonD000000.03200—13:09
16J. DickinsonC000000.002104311:07
34C. DachC011+110.01210006:21
81J. SamanskiC011+100.0100010005:14
20C. LazarC000+100.001005004:28
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39C. Ingram(L)30264.8672.71-1.2956:31

Series

ANA leads 4-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).