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Anaheim Ducks at Edmonton Oilers

FinalTV TNT, truTV·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Anaheim Ducks 4-1. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Zach Hyman's goal at 8:33 of the first period, which took the Oilers' chances from 66% to 80%. Expected goals were close — ANA 2.1, EDM 2.3; shots on goal were ANA 30, EDM 20. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Ville Husso stopped 10 of 11 (.909), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Connor Ingram stopped 29 of 30 (.967), 1.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Leon Draisaitl (2 G), 2. Connor Ingram (29 saves, .967), 3. Vasily Podkolzin (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    L. Draisaitl2 G
  2. ★★
    EDM
    C. Ingram29 saves, .967
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    V. Podkolzin1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA06111013130
EDMEDM3121503420

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    snapxG 0.13win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    2:22
  2. EDM
    tip-inxG 0.14win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    8:33
  3. EDM
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +10 ptsVideo
    0-3
    10:13

2nd period

  1. ANA
    snapxG 0.20win prob +6 ptsVideo
    1-3
    8:26
  2. EDM
    snapxG 0.16win prob +7 ptsVideo
    1-4
    10:24

Penalties

ANA 12 PIM·EDM 8 PIM

1st

  • 10:31ANAIan Moore · Trippingdrawn by Curtis Lazar2 min
  • 14:11EDMLeon Draisaitl · Holdingdrawn by Mikael Granlund2 min
  • 14:11ANAMikael Granlund · Embellishment2 min

2nd

  • 1:18ANAJeffrey Viel · Roughingdrawn by Mattias Ekholm2 min
  • 2:10EDMZach Hyman · Hookingdrawn by Alex Killorn2 min
  • 8:04EDMColton Dach · Interferencedrawn by Alex Killorn2 min
  • 8:42ANAJacob Trouba · Hookingdrawn by Matt Savoie2 min
  • 18:00ANATim Washe · Roughingdrawn by Connor Murphy2 min
  • 18:00EDMZach Hyman · Roughingdrawn by Tim Washe2 min

3rd

  • 17:18ANAserved by M. McTavish · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalANA goalFinal: EDM 100%

Biggest swing: Zach Hyman, 1st 8:33 — EDM 66% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.20E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.19C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.18L. Draisaitl · Goal · xG 0.16L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.16J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.14Z. Hyman · Goal · xG 0.14V. Podkolzin · Goal · xG 0.13J. Roslovic · Missed · xG 0.13C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.12J. Samanski · Missed · xG 0.09J. Walman · Missed · xG 0.08L. Draisaitl · Goal · xG 0.08C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.08E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.06J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.05C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.05E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.04L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.03V. Podkolzin · Missed · xG 0.03K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.03M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.03R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.02J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.02L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.02C. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.01V. Podkolzin · Missed · xG 0.01T. Emberson · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM4 G · 2.3 xG · 30 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsEDM
2.11 G
All situations
4 G2.3
1.70 G
Even strength
3 G1.7
0.41 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 73 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA46%54%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.08 – 2.28

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsEDM
30
Shots on goal
20
38%
Faceoffs
62%
1/2
Power play
1/4
12
Penalty minutes
8
40
Hits
44
7
Blocked shots
16
17
Giveaways
17
4
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2J. LaCombeD000-220.02120—28:04
74J. CarlsonD000040.15200—25:34
65J. TroubaD000-210.04512—25:08
98P. MintyukovD000020.04000—17:23
91L. CarlssonC000-140.211004417:14
61C. GauthierL011020.29600—16:39
64M. GranlundC000-130.171023916:35
45B. SenneckeR000-300.01210—16:10
19T. TerryR000020.18100—15:27
17A. KillornL101-230.26300—15:24
25R. PoehlingC000-120.140002914:46
60T. HindsD000-100.02310—13:49
20C. KreiderL000-100.17200—13:46
28J. VielL000030.285025012:21
42T. WasheC000000.074025012:04
23M. McTavishC011000.002203311:20
3I. MooreD000010.06202—10:20
14D. HellesonD000-110.01000—08:49
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33V. Husso11101.9091.56+0.5647:14
1L. Dostal(L)963.6670.73-2.2710:13

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).