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Oilers at Ducks
NHL

Edmonton Oilers at Anaheim Ducks

NHL scoreboard
Edmonton Oilers
4
Anaheim Ducks
▸7
FinalTV TNT, truTV·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Edmonton Oilers 7-4. The lead changed hands 3 times. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Beckett Sennecke's goal at 2:53 of the third period, which took the Ducks' chances from 53% to 77%. Expected goals favored the Ducks, 3.5 to 2.8; shots on goal were EDM 25, ANA 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Connor Ingram stopped 32 of 38 (.842), 2.9 goals below expected; Lukas Dostal stopped 21 of 25 (.840), 1.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mikael Granlund (1 G, 3 A), 2. Jackson LaCombe (1 G, 1 A), 3. Leo Carlsson (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    M. Granlund1 G, 3 A
  2. ★★
    ANA
    J. LaCombe1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    L. Carlsson1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM1721216425
ANAANA22011148739

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    V. Podkolzin(1)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.28win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-0
    13:12
  2. ANA
    M. McTavish(1)
    D. Helleson (1), T. Hinds (1)
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    16:18
  3. ANA
    M. Granlund(1)PPG
    C. Kreider (2), L. Carlsson (2)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +10 ptsVideo
    1-2
    17:45

2nd period

  1. EDM
    K. Kapanen(3)
    L. Draisaitl (4), C. Murphy (1)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-2
    3:57
  2. EDM
    R. Nugent-Hopkins(1)
    E. Bouchard (1), C. McDavid (1)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-2
    5:39
  3. ANA
    A. Killorn(2)
    M. Granlund (2), J. Carlson (2)
    snapxG 0.28win prob +20 ptsVideo
    3-3
    12:37

3rd period

  1. ANA
    B. Sennecke(1)
    M. Granlund (3)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +25 ptsVideo
    3-4
    2:53
  2. ANA
    L. Carlsson(2)
    T. Terry (3)
    backhandxG 0.18win prob +15 ptsVideo
    3-5
    3:35
  3. EDM
    C. McDavid(1)PPG
    L. Draisaitl (5), E. Bouchard (2)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +12 ptsVideo
    4-5
    8:36
  4. ANA
    J. Viel(1)
    T. Washe (1), J. LaCombe (5)
    backhandxG 0.04win prob +7 ptsVideo
    4-6
    16:57
  5. ANA
    J. LaCombe(1)EN
    M. Granlund (4)
    wristxG 0.45Video
    4-7
    18:27

Penalties

EDM 13 PIM·ANA 11 PIM

1st

  • 10:42EDMJake Walman · High stickingdrawn by Mason McTavish2 min
  • 17:22EDMJosh Samanski · High stickingdrawn by Jacob Trouba2 min

3rd

  • 6:49ANAJeffrey Viel · Cross checkingdrawn by Darnell Nurse2 min
  • 13:06ANABeckett Sennecke · High stickingdrawn by Evan Bouchard2 min
  • 14:14EDMConnor McDavid · Cross checkingdrawn by Tyson Hinds2 min
  • 19:35EDMVasily Podkolzin · Fightingdrawn by Jeffrey Viel5 min
  • 19:35ANAJeffrey Viel · Fightingdrawn by Vasily Podkolzin5 min
  • 20:00ANADrew Helleson · Roughingdrawn by Josh Samanski2 min
  • 20:00EDMColton Dach · Roughingdrawn by Tyson Hinds2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalEDM goalFinal: ANA 100%

Biggest swing: Beckett Sennecke, 3rd 2:53 — ANA 53% → 77%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. LaCombe · Goal · xG 0.45A. Killorn · Goal · xG 0.28C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.22L. Carlsson · Goal · xG 0.18M. Granlund · Goal · xG 0.13B. Sennecke · Goal · xG 0.12M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.12C. Gauthier · Missed · xG 0.12T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.10A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.10B. Sennecke · On goal · xG 0.09M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.08M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.08J. LaCombe · Missed · xG 0.08A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.08C. Gauthier · Missed · xG 0.07B. Sennecke · Missed · xG 0.07B. Sennecke · On goal · xG 0.07J. Viel · Missed · xG 0.06T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.06T. Washe · Missed · xG 0.06C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.05L. Carlsson · Missed · xG 0.05M. McTavish · Goal · xG 0.05C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.05P. Mintyukov · Missed · xG 0.04J. LaCombe · Missed · xG 0.04J. Viel · Goal · xG 0.04C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.04J. LaCombe · Missed · xG 0.03C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.03C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.03L. Carlsson · On goal · xG 0.03J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.02J. LaCombe · On goal · xG 0.02B. Sennecke · On goal · xG 0.02B. Sennecke · Missed · xG 0.02M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.02J. LaCombe · Missed · xG 0.02J. LaCombe · On goal · xG 0.02B. Sennecke · Missed · xG 0.02J. LaCombe · On goal · xG 0.02J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.02T. Washe · On goal · xG 0.02J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.02T. Washe · On goal · xG 0.02J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.02T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.02L. Carlsson · On goal · xG 0.01C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.01J. Viel · Missed · xG 0.01D. Helleson · On goal · xG 0.01T. Hinds · Missed · xG 0.01B. Sennecke · Missed · xG 0.01M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.01J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.01R. Poehling · On goal · xG 0.01J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.01I. Moore · On goal · xG 0.00J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.00L. Carlsson · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA7 G · 3.5 xG · 62 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsANA
2.84 G
All situations
6 G3.5
1.93 G
Even strength
5 G2.1
0.81 G
Power play
1 G1.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 102 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM45%55%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.68 – 2.99

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsANA
25
Shots on goal
39
49%
Faceoffs
51%
1/2
Power play
1/3
13
Penalty minutes
11
31
Hits
33
12
Blocked shots
9
14
Giveaways
16
5
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
97C. McDavidC112-430.533022723:50
25D. NurseD000+140.15310—23:10
5C. MurphyD011+110.00330—21:46
2E. BouchardD022-320.20000—21:41
29L. DraisaitlC022-110.012005220:52
14M. EkholmD000-310.04020—20:16
42K. KapanenR101+120.32000—17:35
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC101030.36120017:16
22M. SavoieC000-210.04000016:15
96J. WalmanD000-100.03002—16:10
18Z. HymanL000-210.48510—15:28
92V. PodkolzinR101+230.374153314:52
28J. RoslovicC000-110.1310010014:48
49T. EmbersonD000-100.00220—14:11
81J. SamanskiC000000.002023811:42
10T. FredericC000-110.022005009:37
34C. DachC000-110.07202009:14
20C. LazarC000-100.001005507:30
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39C. Ingram(L)38326.8423.07-2.9359:24

Series

ANA leads 4-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).