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Oilers at Ducks
NHL

Edmonton Oilers at Anaheim Ducks

NHL scoreboard
Edmonton Oilers
3
Anaheim Ducks
▸4
Final/OTTV ESPN, Victory+·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Edmonton Oilers 4-3 in overtime, Ryan Poehling scoring at 2:29. The Ducks came back from two goals down. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ryan Poehling's goal at 2:29 of overtime, which took the Ducks' chances from 52% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Ducks, 2.8 to 2.0; shots on goal were EDM 27, ANA 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Tristan Jarry stopped 34 of 38 (.895), 1.1 goals below expected; Lukas Dostal stopped 24 of 27 (.889), 1.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jackson LaCombe (2 A), 2. Cutter Gauthier (1 G), 3. Ryan Poehling (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    J. LaCombe2 A
  2. ★★
    ANA
    C. Gauthier1 G
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    R. Poehling1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
EDMEDM290811000327
ANAANA01321111212438

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    K. Kapanen(4)
    J. Walman (4), J. Dickinson (1)
    snapxG 0.22win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-0
    0:38
  2. EDM
    R. Nugent-Hopkins(2)PPG
    E. Bouchard (3), C. McDavid (2)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +12 ptsVideo
    2-0
    6:32

2nd period

  1. ANA
    C. Gauthier(3)PPG
    J. LaCombe (6), A. Killorn (3)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-1
    7:36
  2. ANA
    M. Granlund(2)PPG
    L. Carlsson (3), J. Carlson (3)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +20 ptsVideo
    2-2
    18:43

3rd period

  1. EDM
    E. Bouchard(1)PPG
    C. McDavid (3), L. Draisaitl (6)
    snapxG 0.08win prob +20 ptsVideo
    3-2
    3:27
  2. ANA
    J. Viel(2)
    J. Carlson (4), J. LaCombe (7)
    slapxG 0.18win prob +37 ptsVideo
    3-3
    13:31

Overtime

  1. ANA
    R. Poehling(3)
    M. McTavish (1)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +48 ptsVideo
    3-4
    2:29

Penalties

EDM 8 PIM·ANA 4 PIM

1st

  • 5:36ANAJackson LaCombe · Trippingdrawn by Curtis Lazar2 min
  • 16:56EDMJake Walman · Interferencedrawn by Ian Moore2 min

2nd

  • 6:13EDMJosh Samanski · Trippingdrawn by Drew Helleson2 min
  • 17:00EDMZach Hyman · Kneeingdrawn by Beckett Sennecke2 min

3rd

  • 1:19EDMJake Walman · Interferencedrawn by Leo Carlsson2 min
  • 3:23ANAMason McTavish · Hookingdrawn by Josh Samanski2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalEDM goalFinal: ANA 100%

Biggest swing: Ryan Poehling, OT 2:29 — ANA 52% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.32J. Viel · Goal · xG 0.18M. Granlund · Goal · xG 0.17C. Gauthier · Missed · xG 0.16L. Carlsson · On goal · xG 0.15M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.14C. Gauthier · Goal · xG 0.13B. Sennecke · On goal · xG 0.12C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.11C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.08C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.08M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.08M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.07I. Moore · On goal · xG 0.06M. McTavish · Missed · xG 0.06M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.06J. LaCombe · On goal · xG 0.06B. Sennecke · On goal · xG 0.06L. Carlsson · On goal · xG 0.05B. Sennecke · On goal · xG 0.05M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.05J. LaCombe · Missed · xG 0.05C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.04J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.04C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.04A. Killorn · Missed · xG 0.04J. Viel · On goal · xG 0.04B. Sennecke · On goal · xG 0.03J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.03R. Poehling · On goal · xG 0.03A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.02A. Killorn · Missed · xG 0.02J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.02J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.02L. Carlsson · On goal · xG 0.02L. Carlsson · On goal · xG 0.02R. Poehling · Goal · xG 0.02J. Viel · On goal · xG 0.01P. Mintyukov · On goal · xG 0.01R. Poehling · On goal · xG 0.01J. LaCombe · Missed · xG 0.01D. Helleson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.01J. LaCombe · On goal · xG 0.01J. LaCombe · Missed · xG 0.01M. McTavish · Missed · xG 0.01T. Washe · Missed · xG 0.01J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01B. Sennecke · On goal · xG 0.00J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.00J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.00
ANA4 G · 2.8 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsANA
2.03 G
All situations
4 G2.8
1.71 G
Even strength
2 G1.8
0.22 G
Power play
2 G1.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM34%66%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.98 – 2.84

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsANA
27
Shots on goal
38
47%
Faceoffs
53%
2/2
Power play
2/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
25
Hits
35
17
Blocked shots
14
16
Giveaways
18
5
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5C. MurphyD000-110.03120—24:57
25D. NurseD000-120.05030—24:55
2E. BouchardD112030.17110—22:56
29L. DraisaitlC011-120.050106121:45
14M. EkholmD000000.02010—19:33
97C. McDavidC022030.471006019:32
42K. KapanenR101+120.24300—19:08
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC101010.2402010017:39
96J. WalmanD011000.00114—17:29
92V. PodkolzinR000000.02400—17:10
18Z. HymanL000020.03002—15:45
16J. DickinsonC011+120.211103815:29
22M. SavoieC000010.16030015:18
49T. EmbersonD000010.01510—14:32
28J. RoslovicC000020.19310013:18
10T. FredericC000-230.054005009:21
20C. LazarC000-120.050003809:01
81J. SamanskiC000-100.001022007:31
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35T. Jarry(L)38344.8952.85-1.1562:29

Series

ANA leads 4-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).