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Colorado Avalanche at Los Angeles Kings

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Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Los Angeles Kings 4-2. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Artturi Lehkonen's goal at 7:39 of the third period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 72% to 92%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.6 to 2.3; shots on goal were COL 23, LAK 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Scott Wedgewood stopped 24 of 26 (.923); Anton Forsberg stopped 19 of 22 (.864), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Artturi Lehkonen (1 G, 1 A), 2. Alex Laferriere (2 A), 3. Cale Makar (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    A. Lehkonen1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    LAK
    A. Laferriere2 A
  3. ★★★
    COL
    C. Makar1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL171828423
LAKLAK0121717226

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    N. Roy (1), J. Manson (2)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    5:29

2nd period

  1. LAK
    deflectedxG 0.17win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-1
    5:55
  2. COL
    wristxG 0.04win prob +20 ptsVideo
    2-1
    12:12

3rd period

  1. COL
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.03win prob +20 ptsVideo
    3-1
    7:39
  2. LAK
    A. Kempe(1)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.20win prob +6 ptsVideo
    3-2
    15:57
  3. COL
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.69win prob +7 ptsVideo
    4-2
    17:42

Penalties

COL 10 PIM·LAK 6 PIM

1st

  • 14:44COLJosh Manson · Cross checkingdrawn by Samuel Helenius2 min
  • 18:32LAKQuinton Byfield · Elbowingdrawn by Jack Drury2 min

2nd

  • 5:55COLJosh Manson · High stickingdrawn by Trevor Moore2 min
  • 13:55LAKSamuel Helenius · Interferencedrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min
  • 13:55COLNathan MacKinnon · Embellishment2 min

3rd

  • 3:58LAKQuinton Byfield · Trippingdrawn by Cale Makar2 min
  • 6:30COLBrett Kulak · Interferencedrawn by Anze Kopitar2 min
  • 15:41COLJack Drury · Trippingdrawn by Quinton Byfield2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
LAK goalCOL goalFinal: LAK 0%

Biggest swing: Artturi Lehkonen, 3rd 7:39 — COL 72% → 92%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Kempe · Goal · xG 0.20Q. Byfield · On goal · xG 0.20S. Helenius · On goal · xG 0.17T. Moore · Goal · xG 0.17M. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.15A. Laferriere · On goal · xG 0.15S. Helenius · On goal · xG 0.11S. Helenius · On goal · xG 0.10A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.10A. Laferriere · On goal · xG 0.08T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.08J. Edmundson · Missed · xG 0.08Q. Byfield · On goal · xG 0.07A. Laferriere · On goal · xG 0.07Q. Byfield · On goal · xG 0.06A. Laferriere · On goal · xG 0.06A. Kempe · Missed · xG 0.05Q. Byfield · Missed · xG 0.05A. Laferriere · On goal · xG 0.05A. Kempe · Missed · xG 0.04J. Wright · Missed · xG 0.04J. Wright · On goal · xG 0.04A. Laferriere · Missed · xG 0.03J. Edmundson · Missed · xG 0.03B. Clarke · Missed · xG 0.02A. Laferriere · Missed · xG 0.02D. Doughty · Missed · xG 0.01J. Wright · Missed · xG 0.01A. Laferriere · Missed · xG 0.01B. Clarke · On goal · xG 0.01A. Laferriere · On goal · xG 0.01B. Dumoulin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Armia · Missed · xG 0.01J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Edmundson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.00J. Edmundson · Missed · xG 0.00J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.00S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.00Q. Byfield · On goal · xG 0.00S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.00
LAK2 G · 2.3 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsLAK
3.63 G
All situations
2 G2.3
1.72 G
Even strength
1 G1.6
0.40 G
Power play
1 G0.7
0.01 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL46%54%LAK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.12 – 2.32

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsLAK
23
Shots on goal
26
58%
Faceoffs
42%
0/2
Power play
1/4
10
Penalty minutes
6
24
Hits
32
15
Blocked shots
15
13
Giveaways
12
4
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7D. ToewsD011+110.16010—26:54
8C. MakarD101+240.37060—25:58
27B. KulakD000000.00032—22:03
29N. MacKinnonC000000.531025919:30
70S. MalinskiD000+220.06010—18:51
84B. BurnsD000+100.03110—18:40
92G. LandeskogL101+120.081006718:13
62A. LehkonenL112+230.31410—17:55
11B. NelsonC101020.762104417:52
88M. NecasC000010.40300017:37
13V. NichushkinR000010.02100—17:29
91N. KadriC000+100.00000014:07
10N. RoyC011+210.191005013:56
25L. O'ConnorR000+110.07000—10:23
17P. KellyC000+110.31510009:31
18J. DruryC000010.0320210009:26
20R. ColtonC000030.27200008:22
42J. MansonD011000.00104—04:57
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41S. Wedgewood(W)26242.9232.33+0.3360:00

Series

COL leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).