Colorado Avalanche at Los Angeles Kings
Recap
written from the game dataThe Colorado Avalanche beat the Los Angeles Kings 5-1. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nicolas Roy's goal at 3:13 of the third period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 74% to 91%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.0 to 1.9; shots on goal were COL 32, LAK 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Scott Wedgewood stopped 24 of 25 (.960), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Anton Forsberg stopped 27 of 31 (.871), 1.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Nathan MacKinnon (2 G, 1 A), 2. Gabriel Landeskog (2 A), 3. Anze Kopitar.
Three stars
- ★N. MacKinnon2 G, 1 A

- ★★G. Landeskog2 A

- ★★★A. Kopitar

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
6 goals1st period
1-013:13
2nd period
2-05:48
2-113:43
3rd period
3-13:13
4-16:01
5-114:22
Penalties
1st
- 5:27
Nicolas Roy · Trippingdrawn by Samuel Helenius2 min
- 9:34
Nick Blankenburg · Interferencedrawn by Jared Wright2 min
- 12:57
Brian Dumoulin · Interferencedrawn by Artturi Lehkonen2 min
- 17:58
Samuel Helenius · Roughingdrawn by Logan O'Connor2 min
- 17:58
Jeff Malott · Roughingdrawn by Jack Drury2 min
- 17:58
Jack Drury · Roughingdrawn by Jeff Malott2 min
- 17:58
Samuel Helenius · Misconduct10 min
3rd
- 3:23
Brock Nelson · Hookingdrawn by Anze Kopitar2 min
- 15:36
Jeff Malott · Misconduct10 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Nicolas Roy, 3rd 3:13 — 74% → 91%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.04 G
- All situations
- 1 G1.9
- 1.73 G
- Even strength
- 1 G1.2
- 0.21 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.8
- 0.10 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.07 – 1.93
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 32
- Shots on goal
- 25
- 54%
- Faceoffs
- 46%
- 1/2
- Power play
- 0/3
- 8
- Penalty minutes
- 26
- 21
- Hits
- 50
- 17
- Blocked shots
- 13
- 15
- Giveaways
- 13
- 4
- Takeaways
- 6
Box score
every player line
Series
COL leads 4-0
1@
2Final
1@
2OTFinal
4@
2Final
5@
1this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
