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Los Angeles Kings at Colorado Avalanche

FinalTV TNT, truTV·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Los Angeles Kings 2-1. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Artturi Lehkonen's goal at 15:29 of the second period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 53% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.2 to 2.3; shots on goal were LAK 25, COL 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Anton Forsberg stopped 30 of 32 (.938), 1.2 goals saved above expected; Scott Wedgewood stopped 24 of 25 (.960), 1.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Scott Wedgewood (24 saves, .960), 2. Logan O'Connor (1 G), 3. Artturi Lehkonen (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    S. Wedgewood24 saves, .960
  2. ★★
    COL
    L. O'Connor1 G
  3. ★★★
    COL
    A. Lehkonen1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
LAKLAK0501119125
COLCOL01111318232

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. COL
    wristxG 0.27win prob +21 ptsVideo
    0-1
    15:29

3rd period

  1. COL
    wristxG 0.17win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    5:50
  2. LAK
    wristxG 0.05win prob +3 ptsVideo
    1-2
    17:38

Penalties

LAK 10 PIM·COL 10 PIM

1st

  • 10:54LAKJoel Armia · Slashingdrawn by Gabriel Landeskog2 min

2nd

  • 3:05LAKMathieu Joseph · Interferencedrawn by Jack Drury2 min
  • 6:46COLserved by N. Roy · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 10:34LAKQuinton Byfield · Trippingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min
  • 11:15COLMartin Necas · Holdingdrawn by Joel Armia2 min

3rd

  • 8:10COLGabriel Landeskog · Trippingdrawn by Joel Armia2 min
  • 13:17COLGabriel Landeskog · Roughingdrawn by Adrian Kempe2 min
  • 13:17LAKAdrian Kempe · Roughingdrawn by Gabriel Landeskog2 min
  • 17:03COLBrock Nelson · High stickingdrawn by Adrian Kempe2 min
  • 18:12LAKJoel Armia · High stickingdrawn by Josh Manson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalLAK goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Artturi Lehkonen, 2nd 15:29 — COL 53% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Lehkonen · Goal · xG 0.27B. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.27M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.25L. O'Connor · Goal · xG 0.18N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.17G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.16C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.15C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.15N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.13B. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.12N. Roy · On goal · xG 0.11C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.11B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.10N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.10V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.09J. Kiviranta · On goal · xG 0.09N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.08M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.07V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.07N. Roy · On goal · xG 0.06N. Roy · On goal · xG 0.06M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.05N. Roy · Missed · xG 0.04J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.03C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.03A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.03S. Malinski · On goal · xG 0.02S. Malinski · On goal · xG 0.02B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.02S. Malinski · On goal · xG 0.02S. Malinski · Missed · xG 0.02P. Kelly · On goal · xG 0.02C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.02B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.01J. Manson · Missed · xG 0.01S. Malinski · Missed · xG 0.01B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.01L. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.01S. Malinski · Missed · xG 0.01J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.01V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.01N. Roy · On goal · xG 0.01C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.01S. Malinski · On goal · xG 0.01N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.01D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.01B. Kulak · Missed · xG 0.01D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.01J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.00
COL2 G · 3.2 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsCOL
2.31 G
All situations
2 G3.2
1.90 G
Even strength
2 G2.4
0.41 G
Power play
0 G0.8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK33%67%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.23 – 3.20

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsCOL
25
Shots on goal
32
56%
Faceoffs
44%
1/4
Power play
0/4
10
Penalty minutes
10
49
Hits
35
22
Blocked shots
21
14
Giveaways
14
4
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8D. DoughtyD000-100.13120—25:21
55Q. ByfieldR000-130.543123921:07
44M. AndersonD000-100.00820—20:39
14A. LaferriereR011-140.12710—20:30
10A. PanarinL101020.29000—20:07
11A. KopitarC000020.302206819:57
92B. ClarkeD011010.03120—19:30
9A. KempeR000020.142225018:42
12T. MooreL000-130.28310—18:28
6J. EdmundsonD000-100.03320—17:02
5C. CeciD000-110.01230—15:57
21S. LaughtonC000050.121106515:40
2B. DumoulinD000010.05210—13:58
40J. ArmiaR000000.1821410013:10
53J. WrightR000010.09300—11:19
17M. JosephR000-100.00202—06:56
39J. MalottL000-100.00510—06:34
79S. HeleniusC000-100.03200006:33
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31A. Forsberg(L)32302.9383.24+1.2458:42

Series

COL leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).