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Los Angeles Kings at Colorado Avalanche

Final/OTTV ESPN, FDSNSC·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Los Angeles Kings 2-1 in overtime, Nicolas Roy scoring at 7:44. The Kings scored first; the Avalanche answered. It was tied 0-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nicolas Roy's goal at 7:44 of overtime, which took the Avalanche's chances from 52% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.5 to 2.0; shots on goal were LAK 25, COL 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 75% of the time. Anton Forsberg stopped 34 of 36 (.944), 1.5 goals saved above expected; Scott Wedgewood stopped 24 of 25 (.960), 1.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Nicolas Roy (1 G), 2. Scott Wedgewood (24 saves, .960), 3. Anton Forsberg (34 saves, .944).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    N. Roy1 G
  2. ★★
    COL
    S. Wedgewood24 saves, .960
  3. ★★★
    LAK
    A. Forsberg34 saves, .944

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
LAKLAK06081803125
COLCOL0140811212236

Scoring

3 goals

3rd period

  1. LAK
    wristxG 0.11win prob +34 ptsVideo
    1-0
    13:04
  2. COL
    snapxG 0.26win prob +42 ptsVideo
    1-1
    16:25

Overtime

  1. COL
    backhandxG 0.26win prob +48 ptsVideo
    1-2
    7:44

Penalties

LAK 8 PIM·COL 12 PIM

1st

  • 2:55LAKAdrian Kempe · Interferencedrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min
  • 7:21COLCale Makar · Trippingdrawn by Mathieu Joseph2 min
  • 9:49COLBrett Kulak · Roughingdrawn by Mikey Anderson2 min
  • 9:49COLBrett Kulak · Cross checkingdrawn by Mikey Anderson2 min
  • 9:49LAKMikey Anderson · Roughingdrawn by Brett Kulak2 min
  • 12:10LAKJoel Armia · Holdingdrawn by Valeri Nichushkin2 min
  • 13:24COLGabriel Landeskog · Hookingdrawn by Alex Laferriere2 min

2nd

  • 3:04LAKJeff Malott · Boardingdrawn by Artturi Lehkonen2 min
  • 3:12COLCale Makar · Ps hooking on breakawaydrawn by Quinton Byfield0 min
  • 3:28COLNathan MacKinnon · Interferencedrawn by Alex Laferriere2 min

3rd

  • 11:36COLParker Kelly · High stickingdrawn by Artemi Panarin2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalLAK goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Nicolas Roy, OT 7:44 — COL 52% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.28G. Landeskog · Goal · xG 0.26N. Roy · Goal · xG 0.26N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.17M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.13B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.12G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.11N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.10A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.10M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.10J. Kiviranta · Missed · xG 0.09N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.09N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.08C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.08M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.08J. Kiviranta · Missed · xG 0.07B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.07N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.07C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.07N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.07N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.07N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.07G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.06V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.06M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.05B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.05M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.05N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.05J. Manson · Missed · xG 0.05G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.04G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.04J. Drury · On goal · xG 0.04P. Kelly · On goal · xG 0.04G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.04S. Malinski · On goal · xG 0.03J. Kiviranta · On goal · xG 0.03J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.03P. Kelly · On goal · xG 0.02B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.02M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.02S. Malinski · Missed · xG 0.02S. Malinski · Missed · xG 0.02N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.02D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.02J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.01S. Malinski · Missed · xG 0.01P. Kelly · Missed · xG 0.01B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.01L. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01S. Malinski · On goal · xG 0.01J. Kiviranta · On goal · xG 0.01C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.01C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.01J. Manson · Missed · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.00C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.00C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.00
COL2 G · 3.5 xG · 58 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsCOL
2.01 G
All situations
2 G3.5
1.00 G
Even strength
2 G2.9
0.91 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK25%75%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.93 – 3.41

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsCOL
25
Shots on goal
36
53%
Faceoffs
47%
1/5
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
12
23
Hits
29
26
Blocked shots
26
13
Giveaways
19
3
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8D. DoughtyD000000.01020—28:46
44M. AndersonD000-110.01262—25:23
14A. LaferriereR000040.433003324:36
55Q. ByfieldR011060.500205723:51
10A. PanarinL101010.11000—23:38
92B. ClarkeD000-120.10160—21:25
12T. MooreL011030.34000—20:58
11A. KopitarC000-100.000106220:13
9A. KempeR000010.20102—20:01
6J. EdmundsonD000-120.07020—18:03
21S. LaughtonC000-110.081204717:54
5C. CeciD000-100.00030—17:36
2B. DumoulinD000000.00000—16:52
40J. ArmiaR000-100.003126713:08
53J. WrightR000-100.00100—12:11
17M. JosephR000-120.036106709:39
39J. MalottL000-110.03002—09:19
79S. HeleniusC000010.065005009:07
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31A. Forsberg(L)36342.9443.47+1.4767:44

Series

COL leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).