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Boston Bruins at Buffalo Sabres

Final/OTTV TNT, truTV·KeyBank Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Boston Bruins beat the Buffalo Sabres 2-1 in overtime, David Pastrnak scoring at 9:14. The Sabres scored first; the Bruins answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was David Pastrnak's goal at 9:14 of overtime, which took the Bruins' chances from 48% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Bruins, 3.5 to 3.2; shots on goal were BOS 29, BUF 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Jeremy Swayman stopped 25 of 26 (.962), 2.2 goals saved above expected; Alex Lyon stopped 27 of 29 (.931), 1.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. David Pastrnak (1 G), 2. Alex Lyon (27 saves, .931), 3. Rasmus Dahlin (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BOS
    D. Pastrnak1 G
  2. ★★
    BUF
    A. Lyon27 saves, .931
  3. ★★★
    BUF
    R. Dahlin1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
BOSBOS09170914229
BUFBUF15080904126

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. BUF
    R. Dahlin(1)PPG
    snapxG 0.16win prob +9 ptsVideo
    0-1
    3:35

2nd period

  1. BOS
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.32win prob +18 ptsVideo
    1-1
    9:24

Overtime

  1. BOS
    wristxG 0.18win prob +52 ptsVideo
    2-1
    9:14

Penalties

BOS 6 PIM·BUF 6 PIM

1st

  • 2:11BOSMark Kastelic · Roughingdrawn by Zach Benson2 min
  • 6:53BUFNoah Ostlund · Trippingdrawn by Mark Kastelic2 min

2nd

  • 5:25BOSHampus Lindholm · Trippingdrawn by Josh Doan2 min
  • 13:35BUFRyan McLeod · Trippingdrawn by Michael Eyssimont2 min
  • 15:36BOSMarat Khusnutdinov · High stickingdrawn by Logan Stanley2 min

3rd

  • 4:59BUFAlex Tuch · High stickingdrawn by Jonathan Aspirot2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BUF goalBOS goalFinal: BUF 0%

Biggest swing: David Pastrnak, OT 9:14 — BOS 48% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.17R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.16T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.16R. Dahlin · Goal · xG 0.16J. Zucker · Missed · xG 0.15J. Quinn · On goal · xG 0.15T. Kozak · Missed · xG 0.14J. Zucker · Missed · xG 0.14J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.13Z. Benson · On goal · xG 0.11A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.11Z. Benson · On goal · xG 0.10Z. Benson · Missed · xG 0.09J. Doan · Missed · xG 0.09N. Ostlund · On goal · xG 0.08T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.08R. Dahlin · Missed · xG 0.08N. Ostlund · On goal · xG 0.08J. Doan · On goal · xG 0.07T. Kozak · On goal · xG 0.06R. Dahlin · Missed · xG 0.06J. Zucker · Missed · xG 0.06R. Dahlin · Missed · xG 0.06A. Tuch · Missed · xG 0.05O. Power · On goal · xG 0.05J. Greenway · Missed · xG 0.05T. Kozak · Missed · xG 0.05R. Dahlin · Missed · xG 0.05B. Byram · On goal · xG 0.04P. Krebs · Missed · xG 0.04P. Krebs · Missed · xG 0.04J. Quinn · Missed · xG 0.03O. Power · Missed · xG 0.03J. Quinn · Missed · xG 0.03J. Quinn · Missed · xG 0.03M. Samuelsson · On goal · xG 0.03T. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.03T. Kozak · Missed · xG 0.02A. Tuch · Missed · xG 0.02A. Tuch · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Benson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Greenway · On goal · xG 0.01J. Greenway · On goal · xG 0.01T. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.01R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.01B. Byram · On goal · xG 0.01M. Samuelsson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Zucker · Missed · xG 0.01R. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.01B. Byram · On goal · xG 0.00L. Stanley · Missed · xG 0.00A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.00
BUF1 G · 3.2 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BOSvsBUF
3.52 G
All situations
1 G3.2
2.52 G
Even strength
0 G2.1
1.00 G
Power play
1 G1.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 99 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BOS55%45%BUF

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.46 – 3.17

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BOSvsBUF
29
Shots on goal
26
60%
Faceoffs
40%
0/3
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
43
Hits
27
23
Blocked shots
16
21
Giveaways
22
7
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Boston Bruins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
73C. McAvoyD000+120.12000—26:24
88D. PastrnakR101+170.58210—25:15
18P. ZachaC000+110.371005224:19
91N. ZadorovD000020.09220—23:11
26A. PeekeD000+100.00130—22:52
27H. LindholmD011+110.03112—21:54
92M. KhusnutdinovC000+110.1951210021:30
28E. LindholmC101+130.414208021:01
45J. AspirotD000+120.07220—20:51
39M. GeekieC000+120.73410018:46
20H. JokiharjuD000020.05110—17:27
11C. MittelstadtC000+120.14400017:25
93F. MintenC000010.163306016:50
52S. KuralyC000000.0020010013:30
21A. SteevesC000010.05400013:23
81M. EyssimontC000000.09210012:53
47M. KastelicC000000.004328011:50
84T. JeannotL000020.40120—11:25
Boston Bruins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1J. Swayman(W)26251.9623.19+2.1969:14

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).