Boston Bruins at Buffalo Sabres
Recap
written from the game dataThe Boston Bruins beat the Buffalo Sabres 2-1 in overtime, David Pastrnak scoring at 9:14. The Sabres scored first; the Bruins answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was David Pastrnak's goal at 9:14 of overtime, which took the Bruins' chances from 48% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Bruins, 3.5 to 3.2; shots on goal were BOS 29, BUF 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Jeremy Swayman stopped 25 of 26 (.962), 2.2 goals saved above expected; Alex Lyon stopped 27 of 29 (.931), 1.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. David Pastrnak (1 G), 2. Alex Lyon (27 saves, .931), 3. Rasmus Dahlin (1 G).
Three stars
- ★D. Pastrnak1 G

- ★★A. Lyon27 saves, .931

- ★★★R. Dahlin1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
3 goals1st period
0-13:35
2nd period
1-19:24
Overtime
2-19:14
Penalties
1st
- 2:11
Mark Kastelic · Roughingdrawn by Zach Benson2 min
- 6:53
Noah Ostlund · Trippingdrawn by Mark Kastelic2 min
2nd
- 5:25
Hampus Lindholm · Trippingdrawn by Josh Doan2 min
- 13:35
Ryan McLeod · Trippingdrawn by Michael Eyssimont2 min
- 15:36
Marat Khusnutdinov · High stickingdrawn by Logan Stanley2 min
3rd
- 4:59
Alex Tuch · High stickingdrawn by Jonathan Aspirot2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: David Pastrnak, OT 9:14 — 48% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.52 G
- All situations
- 1 G3.2
- 2.52 G
- Even strength
- 0 G2.1
- 1.00 G
- Power play
- 1 G1.1
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 99 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 3.46 – 3.17
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 29
- Shots on goal
- 26
- 60%
- Faceoffs
- 40%
- 0/3
- Power play
- 1/3
- 6
- Penalty minutes
- 6
- 43
- Hits
- 27
- 23
- Blocked shots
- 16
- 21
- Giveaways
- 22
- 7
- Takeaways
- 2
Box score
every player line
Series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















