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Bruins at Sabres
NHL

Boston Bruins at Buffalo Sabres

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Boston Bruins
▸4
Buffalo Sabres
2
FinalTV ESPN, MSG-B·KeyBank Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Boston Bruins beat the Buffalo Sabres 4-2. The Bruins scored first and never trailed. The Bruins led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Morgan Geekie's goal at 16:29 of the second period, which took the Bruins' chances from 69% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Bruins, 4.1 to 3.8; shots on goal were BOS 27, BUF 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sabres win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Jeremy Swayman stopped 33 of 35 (.943), 1.8 goals saved above expected; Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen stopped 16 of 20 (.800), 1.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Viktor Arvidsson (2 G), 2. Jeremy Swayman (33 saves, .943), 3. David Pastrnak (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BOS
    V. Arvidsson2 G
  2. ★★
    BOS
    J. Swayman33 saves, .943
  3. ★★★
    BOS
    D. Pastrnak2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BOSBOS0831118427
BUFBUF0708220235

Scoring

6 goals

2nd period

  1. BOS
    V. Arvidsson(1)
    J. Aspirot (1), C. Mittelstadt (1)
    backhandxG 0.04win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-0
    4:54
  2. BOS
    M. Geekie(2)
    D. Pastrnak (3), S. Kuraly (1)
    backhandxG 0.00win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-0
    16:29
  3. BOS
    P. Zacha(1)PPG
    D. Pastrnak (4), C. McAvoy (1)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +6 ptsVideo
    3-0
    18:10

3rd period

  1. BOS
    V. Arvidsson(2)
    C. Mittelstadt (2), J. Aspirot (2)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +3 ptsVideo
    4-0
    0:16
  2. BUF
    B. Byram(1)
    B. Malenstyn (1), O. Power (2)
    wristxG 0.06Video
    4-1
    13:54
  3. BUF
    P. Krebs(1)
    R. Dahlin (1), A. Tuch (2)
    backhandxG 0.20win prob +1 ptsVideo
    4-2
    15:08

Penalties

BOS 47 PIM·BUF 47 PIM

1st

  • 1:10BOSElias Lindholm · Roughingdrawn by Rasmus Dahlin2 min
  • 1:10BUFRasmus Dahlin · Holdingdrawn by Elias Lindholm2 min
  • 4:10BOSNikita Zadorov · Roughingdrawn by Jordan Greenway2 min
  • 4:10BOSNikita Zadorov · Cross checkingdrawn by Josh Dunne2 min
  • 4:10BUFBeck Malenstyn · Roughingdrawn by Sean Kuraly2 min
  • 8:43BUFJosh Doan · Hookingdrawn by Tanner Jeannot2 min
  • 10:40BUFConor Timmins · Cross checkingdrawn by Viktor Arvidsson2 min
  • 19:29BOSDavid Pastrnak · Trippingdrawn by Josh Norris2 min

2nd

  • 7:38BUFBowen Byram · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 9:59BOSTanner Jeannot · Interferencedrawn by Peyton Krebs2 min
  • 17:55BUFTage Thompson · Interferencedrawn by James Hagens2 min

3rd

  • 2:26BOSCharlie McAvoy · Trippingdrawn by Beck Malenstyn2 min
  • 2:26BOSCharlie McAvoy · Roughingdrawn by Beck Malenstyn2 min
  • 2:26BUFBeck Malenstyn · Roughingdrawn by Charlie McAvoy2 min
  • 2:26BUFLogan Stanley · Fightingdrawn by Mark Kastelic5 min
  • 2:26BOSMark Kastelic · Fightingdrawn by Logan Stanley5 min
  • 6:14BOSNikita Zadorov · Roughingdrawn by Zach Benson2 min
  • 6:14BOSAndrew Peeke · Roughingdrawn by Tage Thompson2 min
  • 6:14BUFAlex Tuch · Roughingdrawn by Nikita Zadorov2 min
  • 6:14BUFTage Thompson · Roughingdrawn by Andrew Peeke2 min
  • 6:14BOSMorgan Geekie · Roughingdrawn by Conor Timmins2 min
  • 6:14BUFZach Benson · Roughingdrawn by Andrew Peeke2 min
  • 6:14BOSAndrew Peeke · Misconduct10 min
  • 6:14BUFZach Benson · Misconduct10 min
  • 6:14BOSNikita Zadorov · Misconduct10 min
  • 6:14BUFTage Thompson · Misconduct10 min
  • 9:17BUFPeyton Krebs · Cross checkingdrawn by Casey Mittelstadt2 min
  • 11:20BOSJames Hagens · Hookingdrawn by Bowen Byram2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BUF goalBOS goalFinal: BUF 0%

Biggest swing: Morgan Geekie, 2nd 16:29 — BOS 69% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Byram · On goal · xG 0.23B. Byram · On goal · xG 0.20P. Krebs · Goal · xG 0.20T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.17T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.17R. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.15O. Power · On goal · xG 0.14J. Quinn · Missed · xG 0.14Z. Benson · On goal · xG 0.14J. Norris · On goal · xG 0.13A. Tuch · Missed · xG 0.12J. Norris · Missed · xG 0.11J. Doan · On goal · xG 0.11J. Quinn · Missed · xG 0.11A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.10J. Norris · Missed · xG 0.09O. Power · Missed · xG 0.08J. Quinn · On goal · xG 0.07T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.07J. Doan · Missed · xG 0.07J. Quinn · Missed · xG 0.07R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.07J. Zucker · Missed · xG 0.07T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.07A. Tuch · Missed · xG 0.06J. Doan · Missed · xG 0.06T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.06B. Byram · Goal · xG 0.06L. Stanley · Missed · xG 0.05J. Doan · On goal · xG 0.05Z. Benson · Missed · xG 0.05R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.04J. Quinn · On goal · xG 0.04O. Power · On goal · xG 0.04J. Zucker · Missed · xG 0.04L. Stanley · On goal · xG 0.04R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.03P. Krebs · Missed · xG 0.03C. Timmins · On goal · xG 0.03A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.03A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.02R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.02B. Byram · On goal · xG 0.02T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.02L. Stanley · On goal · xG 0.02O. Power · On goal · xG 0.01J. Quinn · On goal · xG 0.01R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Benson · Missed · xG 0.01C. Timmins · Missed · xG 0.01L. Stanley · Missed · xG 0.01M. Samuelsson · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Benson · Missed · xG 0.01M. Samuelsson · Missed · xG 0.01R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.00
BUF2 G · 3.8 xG · 55 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BOSvsBUF
4.14 G
All situations
2 G3.8
2.23 G
Even strength
2 G1.3
0.81 G
Power play
0 G2.3
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 99 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BOS41%59%BUF

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.15 – 3.75

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BOSvsBUF
27
Shots on goal
35
55%
Faceoffs
45%
1/5
Power play
0/5
47
Penalty minutes
47
32
Hits
30
27
Blocked shots
10
21
Giveaways
15
5
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Boston Bruins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27H. LindholmD000-100.45040—27:40
73C. McAvoyD011+210.01464—27:22
28E. LindholmC000010.153126420:18
88D. PastrnakR022000.54022—20:04
39M. GeekieC101+110.00112016:17
93F. MintenC000-120.323004516:04
91N. ZadorovD000+110.034216—15:53
26A. PeekeD000+120.030112—15:41
92M. KhusnutdinovC000000.5022010014:50
18P. ZachaC101+120.231004214:24
45J. AspirotD022+110.02340—14:22
71V. ArvidssonL202+150.65100—13:52
11C. MittelstadtC022+120.19100013:23
52S. KuralyC011+100.000004412:48
84T. JeannotL000040.18422—12:23
44J. HagensC000-110.17312011:35
6M. LohreiD000-200.00110—11:17
47M. KastelicC000040.651057110:22
Boston Bruins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1J. Swayman(W)35332.9433.82+1.8259:25

Series

BUF leads 4-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).