Buffalo Sabres at Boston Bruins
Recap
written from the game dataThe Buffalo Sabres beat the Boston Bruins 3-1. The Bruins scored first; the Sabres answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alex Tuch's goal at 4:03 of the third period, which took the Sabres' chances from 48% to 74%. Expected goals favored the Sabres, 3.3 to 2.5; shots on goal were BUF 30, BOS 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Alex Lyon stopped 24 of 25 (.960), 1.5 goals saved above expected; Jeremy Swayman stopped 27 of 29 (.931). Three stars: 1. Alex Tuch (1 G), 2. Alex Lyon (24 saves, .960), 3. Jeremy Swayman (27 saves, .931).
Three stars
- ★A. Tuch1 G

- ★★A. Lyon24 saves, .960

- ★★★J. Swayman27 saves, .931

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
4 goals2nd period
0-13:26
1-110:58
3rd period
2-14:03
3-118:36
Penalties
1st
- 7:33
Hampus Lindholm · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- 11:24
Conor Timmins · Holdingdrawn by David Pastrnak2 min
- 13:47
Peyton Krebs · Roughingdrawn by Mark Kastelic2 min
- 16:29
Nikita Zadorov · Trippingdrawn by Tyson Kozak2 min
2nd
- 6:29
Morgan Geekie · Cross checkingdrawn by Mattias Samuelsson2 min
- 9:50
Rasmus Dahlin · Ps slash on breakawaydrawn by Viktor Arvidsson0 min
- 11:12
Tanner Jeannot · High stickingdrawn by Jordan Greenway2 min
3rd
- 11:27
Rasmus Dahlin · Interferencedrawn by Charlie McAvoy2 min
- 14:13
Tage Thompson · Trippingdrawn by Andrew Peeke2 min
- 19:51
Mark Kastelic · Roughingdrawn by Rasmus Dahlin2 min
- 20:00
Jordan Greenway · Roughingdrawn by Tanner Jeannot2 min
- 20:00
Tanner Jeannot · Cross checkingdrawn by Jordan Greenway2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Alex Tuch, 3rd 4:03 — 48% → 74%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.32 G
- All situations
- 1 G2.5
- 1.42 G
- Even strength
- 1 G0.8
- 0.90 G
- Power play
- 0 G1.6
- 0.10 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.1
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.37 – 2.46
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 30
- Shots on goal
- 25
- 51%
- Faceoffs
- 49%
- 0/5
- Power play
- 0/4
- 10
- Penalty minutes
- 12
- 38
- Hits
- 35
- 9
- Blocked shots
- 15
- 9
- Giveaways
- 18
- 6
- Takeaways
- 5
Box score
every player line
Series
BUF leads 4-2
3@
4Final
4@
2Final
3@
1this game
6@
1Final
2@
1OTFinal
4@
1Final
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















