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Buffalo Sabres at Boston Bruins

FinalTV TNT, truTV·TD Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Buffalo Sabres beat the Boston Bruins 3-1. The Bruins scored first; the Sabres answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alex Tuch's goal at 4:03 of the third period, which took the Sabres' chances from 48% to 74%. Expected goals favored the Sabres, 3.3 to 2.5; shots on goal were BUF 30, BOS 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Alex Lyon stopped 24 of 25 (.960), 1.5 goals saved above expected; Jeremy Swayman stopped 27 of 29 (.931). Three stars: 1. Alex Tuch (1 G), 2. Alex Lyon (24 saves, .960), 3. Jeremy Swayman (27 saves, .931).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BUF
    A. Tuch1 G
  2. ★★
    BUF
    A. Lyon24 saves, .960
  3. ★★★
    BOS
    J. Swayman27 saves, .931

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BUFBUF0151827330
BOSBOS0916010125

Scoring

4 goals

2nd period

  1. BOS
    snapxG 0.01win prob +16 ptsVideo
    0-1
    3:26
  2. BUF
    wristxG 0.06win prob +18 ptsVideo
    1-1
    10:58

3rd period

  1. BUF
    snapxG 0.07win prob +27 ptsVideo
    2-1
    4:03
  2. BUF
    wristxG 0.89win prob +5 ptsVideo
    3-1
    18:36

Penalties

BUF 10 PIM·BOS 12 PIM

1st

  • 7:33BOSHampus Lindholm · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 11:24BUFConor Timmins · Holdingdrawn by David Pastrnak2 min
  • 13:47BUFPeyton Krebs · Roughingdrawn by Mark Kastelic2 min
  • 16:29BOSNikita Zadorov · Trippingdrawn by Tyson Kozak2 min

2nd

  • 6:29BOSMorgan Geekie · Cross checkingdrawn by Mattias Samuelsson2 min
  • 9:50BUFRasmus Dahlin · Ps slash on breakawaydrawn by Viktor Arvidsson0 min
  • 11:12BOSTanner Jeannot · High stickingdrawn by Jordan Greenway2 min

3rd

  • 11:27BUFRasmus Dahlin · Interferencedrawn by Charlie McAvoy2 min
  • 14:13BUFTage Thompson · Trippingdrawn by Andrew Peeke2 min
  • 19:51BOSMark Kastelic · Roughingdrawn by Rasmus Dahlin2 min
  • 20:00BUFJordan Greenway · Roughingdrawn by Tanner Jeannot2 min
  • 20:00BOSTanner Jeannot · Cross checkingdrawn by Jordan Greenway2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BOS goalBUF goalFinal: BOS 0%

Biggest swing: Alex Tuch, 3rd 4:03 — BUF 48% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.24V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.22D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.15J. Hagens · Missed · xG 0.13M. Geekie · On goal · xG 0.12P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.12C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.12M. Geekie · Missed · xG 0.11P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.10V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.10V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.10D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.08M. Kastelic · On goal · xG 0.08M. Kastelic · Missed · xG 0.08P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.08D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.07D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.06M. Geekie · Missed · xG 0.06M. Kastelic · On goal · xG 0.06M. Geekie · Missed · xG 0.06P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.05E. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.05C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.05V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.04D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.04C. Mittelstadt · Missed · xG 0.03M. Kastelic · On goal · xG 0.03M. Lohrei · Missed · xG 0.02J. Hagens · On goal · xG 0.02T. Jeannot · Goal · xG 0.01V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.01C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.01V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.01T. Jeannot · On goal · xG 0.01H. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.01M. Geekie · On goal · xG 0.00
BOS1 G · 2.5 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BUFvsBOS
3.32 G
All situations
1 G2.5
1.42 G
Even strength
1 G0.8
0.90 G
Power play
0 G1.6
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BUF48%52%BOS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.37 – 2.46

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BUFvsBOS
30
Shots on goal
25
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/5
Power play
0/4
10
Penalty minutes
12
38
Hits
35
9
Blocked shots
15
9
Giveaways
18
6
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Buffalo Sabres skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
26R. DahlinD000020.05212—23:29
4B. ByramD112+320.11120—21:59
89A. TuchR101+120.203004021:26
25O. PowerD011+200.00120—19:59
72T. ThompsonC000+130.37202019:16
71R. McLeodC000-110.100005518:49
23M. SamuelssonD000010.05310—18:33
17J. ZuckerL000+140.5030010017:21
22J. QuinnR011+150.42100—16:52
6Z. BensonL000+110.13100—16:31
21C. TimminsD000010.01112—15:16
91J. DoanR000+120.17300—14:49
86N. OstlundC112+220.920103314:18
64L. StanleyD000-100.00310—13:25
19P. KrebsC011+120.094027112:47
29B. MalenstynL000-110.01500—09:27
12J. GreenwayL000-100.04202—09:13
48T. KozakC000010.123006708:35
Buffalo Sabres goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34A. Lyon(W)25241.9602.49+1.4959:55

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).