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Blues at Mammoth
NHL

St. Louis Blues at Utah Mammoth

NHL scoreboard
St. Louis Blues
▸5
Utah Mammoth
3
FinalTV ESPN, SNE·Delta Center

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Utah Mammoth 5-3. The lead changed hands 3 times. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Logan Mailloux's goal at 17:03 of the third period, which took the Blues' chances from 48% to 92%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 3.5 to 2.4; shots on goal were STL 29, UTA 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Mammoth win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Joel Hofer stopped 20 of 23 (.870), 0.6 goals below expected; Karel Vejmelka stopped 15 of 18 (.833), 1.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Robert Thomas (3 G), 2. Logan Mailloux (1 G), 3. Lawson Crouse (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    R. Thomas3 G
  2. ★★
    STL
    L. Mailloux1 G
  3. ★★★
    UTA
    L. Crouse1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL11127211529
UTAUTA1921103323

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    P. Buchnevich(20)
    J. Kyrou (28), P. Suter (16)
    wristxG 0.21win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    3:45
  2. UTA
    M. Carcone(16)
    J. Peterka (22), J. Marino (32)
    snapxG 0.06win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    16:55

2nd period

  1. UTA
    L. Crouse(24)
    M. Weegar (23), C. Keller (61)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    0:45
  2. STL
    R. Thomas(23)
    D. Holloway (28)
    wristxG 0.24win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-2
    8:14
  3. STL
    R. Thomas(24)
    C. Fowler (26), D. Holloway (29)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +19 ptsVideo
    3-2
    11:07
  4. UTA
    K. Yamamoto(13)
    M. Weegar (24), C. Keller (62)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +23 ptsVideo
    3-3
    18:52

3rd period

  1. STL
    L. Mailloux(5)
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.07win prob +44 ptsVideo
    4-3
    17:03
  2. STL
    R. Thomas(25)EN
    J. Snuggerud (30), P. Broberg (28)
    wristxG 0.91win prob +3 ptsVideo
    5-3
    19:22

Penalties

STL 2 PIM·UTA 4 PIM

1st

  • 0:13UTAMacKenzie Weegar · Slashingdrawn by Dylan Holloway2 min

2nd

  • 20:00STLPhilip Broberg · Roughingdrawn by Logan Cooley2 min
  • 20:00UTALogan Cooley · Roughingdrawn by Philip Broberg2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
UTA goalSTL goalFinal: UTA 0%

Biggest swing: Logan Mailloux, 3rd 17:03 — STL 48% → 92%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Tanev · Missed · xG 0.22N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.17M. Weegar · Missed · xG 0.17L. O'Brien · On goal · xG 0.17A. Kerfoot · Missed · xG 0.14K. Yamamoto · Missed · xG 0.13K. Yamamoto · Goal · xG 0.13B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.12A. Kerfoot · Missed · xG 0.11L. Crouse · Goal · xG 0.09C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.08L. O'Brien · Missed · xG 0.07A. Kerfoot · Missed · xG 0.06M. Carcone · Goal · xG 0.06L. O'Brien · Missed · xG 0.06M. Carcone · On goal · xG 0.06N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.05L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.05M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.04N. DeSimone · On goal · xG 0.04J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.04J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.03M. Weegar · Missed · xG 0.03J. Peterka · Missed · xG 0.03C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.03N. DeSimone · On goal · xG 0.03M. Weegar · Missed · xG 0.03M. Carcone · Missed · xG 0.03M. Carcone · On goal · xG 0.02M. Weegar · Missed · xG 0.02M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.02M. Carcone · Missed · xG 0.02D. Simashev · On goal · xG 0.02J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.02N. Schmidt · Missed · xG 0.01N. Schmidt · Missed · xG 0.01J. Marino · On goal · xG 0.01N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.01M. Carcone · Missed · xG 0.01K. Yamamoto · On goal · xG 0.01J. Marino · On goal · xG 0.00N. Schmidt · Missed · xG 0.00
UTA3 G · 2.4 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsUTA
3.54 G
All situations
3 G2.4
2.14 G
Even strength
3 G2.4
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL45%55%UTA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.11 – 2.36

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsUTA
29
Shots on goal
23
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/1
Power play
0/0
2
Penalty minutes
4
17
Hits
17
13
Blocked shots
11
12
Giveaways
15
5
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23L. MaillouxD101+320.10110—22:34
6P. BrobergD011+320.03012—22:11
75T. TuckerD000-110.01010—18:51
17C. FowlerD011010.01010—18:44
4J. HollD000-110.02100—18:04
55C. ParaykoD000020.13000—17:58
81D. HollowayL022+220.48220—17:06
18R. ThomasC303+231.230204716:54
21J. SnuggerudR011+220.19000—16:34
29J. BerggrenR000-200.00100—15:03
63J. NeighboursL000-220.2032010014:47
89P. BuchnevichL101+220.27010—14:42
13A. ToropchenkoR000010.07100—14:25
26N. WalkerL000000.00510—14:23
37J. FinleyC000030.122005814:13
54D. DvorskyR000-220.060003814:05
25J. KyrouR011+220.21010—13:48
22P. SuterC011+210.021006013:38
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30J. Hofer(W)23203.8702.42-0.5860:00

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).