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Mammoth at Blues
NHL

Utah Mammoth at St. Louis Blues

NHL scoreboard
Utah Mammoth
▸7
St. Louis Blues
4
FinalTV FDSNMW, Utah16·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the St. Louis Blues 7-4. The Mammoth scored first and never trailed. The Mammoth led 5-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Philip Broberg's goal at 5:43 of the third period, which took the Blues' chances from 9% to 24%. Expected goals favored the Mammoth, 3.0 to 2.8; shots on goal were UTA 25, STL 20. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Karel Vejmelka stopped 16 of 20 (.800), 1.2 goals below expected; Jordan Binnington stopped 15 of 18 (.833), 1.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Logan Cooley (3 G, 1 A), 2. JJ Peterka (3 A), 3. Clayton Keller (2 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    UTA
    L. Cooley3 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    UTA
    J. Peterka3 A
  3. ★★★
    UTA
    C. Keller2 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
UTAUTA4101827725
STLSTL0327210420

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. UTA
    I. Cole(1)
    J. Peterka (3), L. Cooley (2)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    3:18
  2. UTA
    L. Cooley(3)
    D. Guenther (3), J. Peterka (4)
    slapxG 0.08win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-0
    6:07
  3. UTA
    L. Cooley(4)
    D. Guenther (4), O. Maatta (1)
    backhandxG 0.18win prob +12 ptsVideo
    3-0
    7:57
  4. UTA
    L. Cooley(5)PPG
    D. Guenther (5), M. Sergachev (3)
    wristxG 0.39win prob +5 ptsVideo
    4-0
    10:55

2nd period

  1. STL
    P. Suter(3)
    C. Parayko (3), M. Joseph (2)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +5 ptsVideo
    4-1
    5:58
  2. STL
    P. Buchnevich(1)PPG
    R. Thomas (3), J. Kyrou (4)
    wristxG 0.30win prob +10 ptsVideo
    4-2
    7:13
  3. UTA
    C. Keller(3)
    N. Schmaltz (7), J. Peterka (5)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +8 ptsVideo
    5-2
    19:24

3rd period

  1. STL
    N. Walker(1)
    O. Sundqvist (1), D. Holloway (1)
    snapxG 0.19win prob +7 ptsVideo
    5-3
    2:19
  2. STL
    P. Broberg(1)
    O. Sundqvist (2), C. Parayko (4)
    wrap-aroundxG 0.15win prob +15 ptsVideo
    5-4
    5:43
  3. UTA
    N. Schmaltz(5)PPG
    M. Sergachev (4), C. Keller (8)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +13 ptsVideo
    6-4
    9:51
  4. UTA
    C. Keller(4)EN
    N. Schmaltz (8), B. Hayton (2)
    wristxG 0.66Video
    7-4
    18:20

Penalties

UTA 12 PIM·STL 12 PIM

1st

  • 8:16STLOskar Sundqvist · Holdingdrawn by Brandon Tanev2 min
  • 10:34STLOskar Sundqvist · Trippingdrawn by JJ Peterka2 min

2nd

  • 5:58UTAMikhail Sergachev · Cross checkingdrawn by Nathan Walker2 min
  • 5:58STLNathan Walker · Roughingdrawn by Mikhail Sergachev2 min
  • 5:58STLTyler Tucker · Roughingdrawn by Lawson Crouse2 min
  • 5:58UTALawson Crouse · Roughingdrawn by Nathan Walker2 min
  • 5:58UTAMichael Carcone · Roughingdrawn by Pius Suter2 min
  • 8:29STLBrayden Schenn · Trippingdrawn by Nate Schmidt2 min
  • 10:26UTAClayton Keller · Hookingdrawn by Philip Broberg2 min
  • 16:41UTANick Schmaltz · Cross checkingdrawn by Mathieu Joseph2 min

3rd

  • 3:21UTADylan Guenther · Holdingdrawn by Robert Thomas2 min
  • 8:14STLPius Suter · Delaying game face off violation2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalUTA goalFinal: STL 0%

Biggest swing: Philip Broberg, 3rd 5:43 — STL 9% → 24%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Buchnevich · Goal · xG 0.30C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.22N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.21N. Walker · Goal · xG 0.19J. Neighbours · On goal · xG 0.18N. Walker · On goal · xG 0.16P. Broberg · Goal · xG 0.15B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.15J. Snuggerud · Missed · xG 0.14N. Walker · Missed · xG 0.13P. Suter · Goal · xG 0.12R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.11R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.09P. Suter · Missed · xG 0.09N. Walker · On goal · xG 0.09O. Sundqvist · Missed · xG 0.07J. Snuggerud · On goal · xG 0.06J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.05P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.05P. Suter · Missed · xG 0.04C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.04J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.03D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.02P. Broberg · Missed · xG 0.02J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.02L. Mailloux · Missed · xG 0.01C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.01J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.01J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.00P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.00C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.00
STL4 G · 2.8 xG · 31 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

UTAvsSTL
3.06 G
All situations
4 G2.8
1.24 G
Even strength
3 G2.2
1.12 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 66 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
UTA43%57%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.29 – 2.68

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

UTAvsSTL
25
Shots on goal
20
46%
Faceoffs
54%
2/4
Power play
1/4
12
Penalty minutes
12
15
Hits
32
9
Blocked shots
5
17
Giveaways
15
3
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
98M. SergachevD022+100.00002—23:10
88N. SchmidtD000010.01210—22:16
28I. ColeD101+420.19220—22:00
8N. SchmaltzC123+210.201023320:47
6J. MarinoD000-230.08110—19:42
92L. CooleyC314+240.700005418:16
9C. KellerR213+220.73002—18:14
11D. GuentherR033+230.54102—17:55
77J. PeterkaR033+420.0800010016:14
22J. McBainC000-100.003003815:36
82K. StenlundC000-110.061104814:59
26D. SimashevD000010.02000—14:14
27B. HaytonC011+100.010104213:47
67L. CrouseL000-120.00212—12:52
2O. MaattaD011+100.00010—12:40
53M. CarconeL000-220.23002—10:46
38L. O'BrienC000-100.08200009:42
13B. TanevL000-110.09010—09:35
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70K. Vejmelka(W)20164.8002.76-1.2460:00

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).