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Mammoth at Blues
NHL

Utah Mammoth at St. Louis Blues

NHL scoreboard
Utah Mammoth
0
St. Louis Blues
▸1
FinalTV FDSNMW, Utah16·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Utah Mammoth 1-0. The Blues scored first and never trailed. The Blues led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dylan Holloway's goal at 18:10 of the second period, which took the Blues' chances from 53% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 3.2 to 2.4; shots on goal were UTA 18, STL 19. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Karel Vejmelka stopped 18 of 19 (.947), 2.2 goals saved above expected; Joel Hofer stopped 18 of 18 (1.000), 2.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Dylan Holloway (1 G), 2. Joel Hofer (18 saves, 1.000), 3. Philip Broberg (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    D. Holloway1 G
  2. ★★
    STL
    J. Hofer18 saves, 1.000
  3. ★★★
    STL
    P. Broberg1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
UTAUTA0404010018
STLSTL081803119

Scoring

1 goal

2nd period

  1. STL
    D. Holloway(7)
    P. Broberg (8), R. Thomas (12)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +22 ptsVideo
    0-1
    18:10

Penalties

UTA 4 PIM·STL 17 PIM

1st

  • 6:42UTASean Durzi · Hookingdrawn by Philip Broberg2 min

2nd

  • 7:22STLJustin Faulk · Interferencedrawn by Jack McBain2 min
  • 18:58UTAJack McBain · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 6:17STLAlexey Toropchenko · Kneeingdrawn by Logan Cooley5 min
  • 6:17STLAlexey Toropchenko · Game misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalUTA goalFinal: STL 100%

Biggest swing: Dylan Holloway, 2nd 18:10 — STL 53% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.46A. Toropchenko · On goal · xG 0.28A. Toropchenko · On goal · xG 0.24P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.22J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.19N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.17D. Holloway · Missed · xG 0.17P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.15R. Thomas · Missed · xG 0.15D. Dvorsky · On goal · xG 0.13B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.11J. Snuggerud · Missed · xG 0.09J. Snuggerud · Missed · xG 0.08C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.08C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.07P. Broberg · Missed · xG 0.06B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.06J. Snuggerud · On goal · xG 0.05D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.05B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.05M. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.05D. Holloway · Goal · xG 0.04D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.04N. Bjugstad · Missed · xG 0.03N. Bjugstad · Missed · xG 0.03J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.03J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.03J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.03J. Snuggerud · Missed · xG 0.03J. Neighbours · On goal · xG 0.02P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.02P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.01J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.00
STL1 G · 3.2 xG · 33 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

UTAvsSTL
2.40 G
All situations
1 G3.2
1.60 G
Even strength
1 G1.9
0.80 G
Power play
0 G1.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 72 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
UTA35%65%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.35 – 3.18

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

UTAvsSTL
18
Shots on goal
19
54%
Faceoffs
46%
0/2
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
17
20
Hits
26
13
Blocked shots
23
13
Giveaways
18
4
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
98M. SergachevD000010.03010—22:40
9C. KellerR000040.640005020:33
8N. SchmaltzC000000.230106720:00
11D. GuentherR000-130.34200—19:51
88N. SchmidtD000000.02240—18:58
50S. DurziD000020.07012—18:35
77J. PeterkaR000010.03010—18:32
28I. ColeD000-110.02110—18:21
6J. MarinoD000000.04100—18:05
57N. DeSimoneD000-110.28000—16:32
82K. StenlundC000000.002105015:26
67L. CrouseL000000.28220—15:21
53M. CarconeL000020.20200—14:52
27B. HaytonC000000.000007514:51
56K. YamamotoR000-110.151006713:40
22J. McBainC000-100.006124212:29
92L. CooleyC000020.050002511:01
13B. TanevL000000.00100—07:42
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70K. Vejmelka(L)19181.9473.22+2.2258:31

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).