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Red Wings at Lightning
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at Tampa Bay Lightning

NHL scoreboard
Detroit Red Wings
3
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸4
Final/OTTV The Spot, FDSNDET·Benchmark International Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Detroit Red Wings 4-3 in overtime, Nikita Kucherov scoring at 0:27. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Lightning led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nikita Kucherov's goal at 0:27 of overtime, which took the Lightning's chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals were close — DET 2.9, TBL 2.8; shots on goal were DET 30, TBL 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Cam Talbot stopped 18 of 22 (.818), 1.2 goals below expected; Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 27 of 30 (.900). Three stars: 1. Nikita Kucherov (1 G, 1 A), 2. Patrick Kane (1 A), 3. Jake Guentzel (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    N. Kucherov1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    DET
    P. Kane1 A
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    J. Guentzel1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
DETDET114062901330
TBLTBL182110211422

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. DET
    D. Perron(13)
    J. Compher (17), B. Chiarot (9)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    5:31
  2. TBL
    C. Geekie(1)
    O. Bjorkstrand (20)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-1
    17:05

2nd period

  1. TBL
    E. Cernak(3)
    R. McDonagh (15), Z. Girgensons (10)
    wristxG 0.21win prob +21 ptsVideo
    1-2
    15:53
  2. TBL
    J. Guentzel(38)
    N. Kucherov (86), J. Moser (22)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-3
    18:03

3rd period

  1. DET
    M. Kasper(9)
    J. van Riemsdyk (16), J. Faulk (24)
    backhandxG 0.17win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-3
    2:56
  2. DET
    A. DeBrincat(41)
    P. Kane (41)
    wristxG 0.22win prob +38 ptsVideo
    3-3
    15:16

Overtime

  1. TBL
    N. Kucherov(44)
    B. Point (32)
    wristxG 0.40win prob +49 ptsVideo
    3-4
    0:27

Penalties

DET 2 PIM·TBL 6 PIM

1st

  • 8:22TBLCharle-Edouard D'Astous · Slashingdrawn by Carter Mazur2 min

2nd

  • 4:36TBLJ.J. Moser · Trippingdrawn by Moritz Seider2 min
  • 9:19DETAlex DeBrincat · Trippingdrawn by J.J. Moser2 min

3rd

  • 10:28TBLCharle-Edouard D'Astous · Illegal stick2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalDET goalFinal: TBL 100%

Biggest swing: Nikita Kucherov, OT 0:27 — TBL 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Kucherov · Goal · xG 0.40R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.36E. Cernak · Goal · xG 0.21C. Geekie · Goal · xG 0.20N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.17Z. Girgensons · Missed · xG 0.14B. Point · Missed · xG 0.13B. Point · On goal · xG 0.12J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.12J. Guentzel · Goal · xG 0.09G. Goncalves · On goal · xG 0.09D. Carlile · On goal · xG 0.06N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.06N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.06B. Point · On goal · xG 0.05G. Goncalves · Missed · xG 0.05C. D'Astous · Missed · xG 0.05E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.05C. Perry · Missed · xG 0.04A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.04C. D'Astous · On goal · xG 0.04S. Sabourin · Missed · xG 0.04N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.03O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.03D. Carlile · Missed · xG 0.02E. Lilleberg · On goal · xG 0.02D. Carlile · Missed · xG 0.02R. McDonagh · Missed · xG 0.02E. Cernak · Missed · xG 0.01D. Carlile · On goal · xG 0.01N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.01E. Cernak · Missed · xG 0.01J. Moser · On goal · xG 0.01J. Moser · On goal · xG 0.01
TBL4 G · 2.8 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsTBL
2.93 G
All situations
4 G2.8
2.43 G
Even strength
4 G2.5
0.50 G
Power play
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET54%46%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.85 – 2.65

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsTBL
30
Shots on goal
22
59%
Faceoffs
41%
0/3
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
6
12
Hits
12
10
Blocked shots
15
10
Giveaways
16
5
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
53M. SeiderD000-140.09110—25:50
77S. EdvinssonD000020.03200—21:17
72J. FaulkD011-140.06100—20:28
23L. RaymondL000-200.10010—18:04
44A. Sandin-PellikkaD000+100.02010—17:52
93A. DeBrincatR101-160.9201210017:51
8B. ChiarotD011-110.03110—17:43
71D. LarkinC000-210.010005917:33
88P. KaneR011010.24000—17:26
58E. FinnieC000-210.23100016:56
18A. CoppC000-110.120107016:41
57D. PerronL101+130.37010—14:48
20A. JohanssonD000+120.15100—13:43
37J. CompherL011+100.000004013:33
92M. KasperC101+140.361107313:32
34C. MazurL000+100.11020—12:23
21J. van RiemsdykL011+100.0000010012:14
28M. Brandsegg-NygårdR000+100.03400—11:27
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39C. Talbot(O)22184.8182.76-1.2460:27

Season series

TBL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).