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Red Wings at Lightning
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at Tampa Bay Lightning

NHL scoreboard
Detroit Red Wings
1
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸4
FinalTV The Spot, FDSNDET·Benchmark International Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Detroit Red Wings 4-1. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Gage Goncalves's goal at 1:35 of the third period, which took the Lightning's chances from 76% to 92%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 3.8 to 2.3; shots on goal were DET 25, TBL 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. John Gibson stopped 25 of 28 (.893); Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 24 of 25 (.960), 1.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Andrei Vasilevskiy (24 saves, .960), 2. Gage Goncalves (2 G), 3. Jake Guentzel (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    A. Vasilevskiy24 saves, .960
  2. ★★
    TBL
    G. Goncalves2 G
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    J. Guentzel2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DETDET0501317125
TBLTBL09110310429

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. TBL
    J. Guentzel(28)PPG
    N. Kucherov (71), C. Perry (18)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    0:49

3rd period

  1. TBL
    G. Goncalves(9)
    B. Point (25)
    deflectedxG 0.14win prob +16 ptsVideo
    0-2
    1:35
  2. DET
    J. Compher(9)
    A. DeBrincat (32), P. Kane (28)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-2
    7:05
  3. TBL
    G. Goncalves(10)
    B. Point (26), N. Kucherov (72)
    deflectedxG 0.13win prob +8 ptsVideo
    1-3
    16:22
  4. TBL
    J. Guentzel(29)EN
    A. Cirelli (25)
    wristxG 0.66win prob +1 ptsVideo
    1-4
    16:55

Penalties

DET 2 PIM·TBL 2 PIM

1st

  • 16:14TBLNikita Kucherov · Hookingdrawn by Justin Faulk2 min
  • 19:47DETMarco Kasper · Holding the stickdrawn by Charle-Edouard D'Astous2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalDET goalFinal: TBL 100%

Biggest swing: Gage Goncalves, 3rd 1:35 — TBL 76% → 92%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Guentzel · Goal · xG 0.66O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.32N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.18P. Holmberg · Missed · xG 0.16B. Point · On goal · xG 0.16P. Holmberg · On goal · xG 0.15J. Guentzel · Goal · xG 0.14G. Goncalves · Goal · xG 0.14G. Goncalves · Goal · xG 0.13J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.12O. Bjorkstrand · Missed · xG 0.11J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.10G. Goncalves · On goal · xG 0.08G. Goncalves · Missed · xG 0.08G. Goncalves · On goal · xG 0.08R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.08B. Point · Missed · xG 0.08P. Holmberg · Missed · xG 0.08G. Goncalves · On goal · xG 0.08P. Holmberg · Missed · xG 0.06D. Raddysh · Missed · xG 0.06O. Bjorkstrand · Missed · xG 0.06V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.05B. Point · On goal · xG 0.05C. D'Astous · Missed · xG 0.05N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.04Z. Girgensons · Missed · xG 0.04Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.04B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.03B. Hagel · Missed · xG 0.03S. Sabourin · Missed · xG 0.03R. McDonagh · Missed · xG 0.03D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.03C. D'Astous · Missed · xG 0.02N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.02O. Bjorkstrand · Missed · xG 0.02O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.02J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.02D. Raddysh · Missed · xG 0.02N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.02V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.02J. Moser · On goal · xG 0.02D. Raddysh · Missed · xG 0.01N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.01S. Sabourin · On goal · xG 0.01O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.01D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.01C. Perry · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Girgensons · On goal · xG 0.00
TBL4 G · 3.8 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsTBL
2.31 G
All situations
3 G3.8
2.31 G
Even strength
2 G2.9
0.00 G
Power play
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET36%64%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.29 – 3.11

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsTBL
25
Shots on goal
29
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/1
Power play
1/1
2
Penalty minutes
2
21
Hits
22
20
Blocked shots
14
10
Giveaways
16
10
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
53M. SeiderD000-120.24020—25:11
77S. EdvinssonD000-110.16040—24:12
23L. RaymondL000-120.22000—19:52
37J. CompherL101-130.280105319:26
88P. KaneR011-140.41200—19:19
72J. FaulkD000-110.03410—19:11
8B. ChiarotD000-120.06120—18:47
93A. DeBrincatR011-120.09010—18:15
92M. KasperC000-110.122024518:07
58E. FinnieC000-100.2231010017:44
20A. JohanssonD000000.00010—16:50
25J. Bernard-DockerD000000.00110—14:14
22M. AppletonC000010.00000013:36
27M. RasmussenC000010.022203812:58
21J. van RiemsdykL000-110.18010—11:52
28M. Brandsegg-NygårdR000000.00000—10:27
15S. DriesC000020.083106010:16
65D. ShineR000020.20320—09:09
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36J. Gibson(L)28253.8933.13+0.1359:32

Season series

TBL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).