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Wild at Predators
NHL

Minnesota Wild at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
Minnesota Wild
1
Nashville Predators
▸2
FinalTV FDSNSO, FDSNNO·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Minnesota Wild 2-1. The Predators scored first and never trailed. The Predators led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Matthew Wood's goal at 6:34 of the second period, which took the Predators' chances from 70% to 85%. Expected goals were close — MIN 2.9, NSH 2.8; shots on goal were MIN 22, NSH 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Jesper Wallstedt stopped 20 of 22 (.909); Justus Annunen stopped 21 of 22 (.955), 1.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Steven Stamkos (1 G, 1 A), 2. Matthew Wood (1 G), 3. Justus Annunen (21 saves, .955).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    S. Stamkos1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NSH
    M. Wood1 G
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    J. Annunen21 saves, .955

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN0704111122
NSHNSH1141701222

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    S. Stamkos(40)
    L. Evangelista (42), R. O'Reilly (48)
    wrap-aroundxG 0.11win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-1
    15:01

2nd period

  1. NSH
    M. Wood(17)
    S. Stamkos (23), N. Perbix (9)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    6:34

3rd period

  1. MIN
    M. McCarron(7)
    J. Brodin (14)
    snapxG 0.33win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-2
    6:54

Penalties

MIN 8 PIM·NSH 4 PIM

1st

  • 6:25MINMarcus Foligno · High sticking double minordrawn by Adam Wilsby4 min
  • 9:13NSHSteven Stamkos · Slashingdrawn by Jeff Petry2 min
  • 10:16MINserved by M. Johansson · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 8:45NSHRyan O'Reilly · Slashingdrawn by Brock Faber2 min
  • 18:22MINserved by Danila Yurov · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalMIN goalFinal: NSH 100%

Biggest swing: Matthew Wood, 2nd 6:34 — NSH 70% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Haula · Missed · xG 0.55F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.45M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.21J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.19M. Wood · Goal · xG 0.13R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.12S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.11S. Stamkos · Goal · xG 0.11S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.11T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.09T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.08R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.07R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.06R. Schaefer · On goal · xG 0.06T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.06R. O'Reilly · Missed · xG 0.05N. Perbix · On goal · xG 0.05F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.04T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.04J. Kemell · Missed · xG 0.04E. Haula · Missed · xG 0.03L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.03R. Ufko · Missed · xG 0.03L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.02J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.02T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.02R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.02J. Barron · Missed · xG 0.02A. Wilsby · Missed · xG 0.01L. Evangelista · Missed · xG 0.01R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.01A. Wilsby · Missed · xG 0.01R. Ufko · On goal · xG 0.01B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.00
NSH2 G · 2.8 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsNSH
2.91 G
All situations
2 G2.8
2.41 G
Even strength
2 G1.5
0.50 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN68%32%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.84 – 1.84

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsNSH
22
Shots on goal
22
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/1
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
21
Hits
18
14
Blocked shots
15
13
Giveaways
17
4
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
43Q. HughesD000-200.00020—29:58
7B. FaberD000-210.10120—26:45
97K. KaprizovL000-200.27000—20:41
38R. HartmanR000-110.351003320:39
5J. MiddletonD000+110.05030—19:55
12M. BoldyL000050.210005019:35
25J. BrodinD011+120.03020—18:50
90M. JohanssonL000030.48100—16:46
22D. YurovR000-100.071105014:10
91V. TarasenkoR000-230.371003313:30
13Y. TreninC000+100.017105013:23
10B. BrinkR000+100.1010010012:44
17M. FolignoL000010.10414—12:43
47M. McCarronC101+130.420106712:07
48D. HuntD000010.01110—11:34
2J. PetryD000000.01000—10:56
71N. FolignoL000010.193003310:40
78N. SturmC000000.110006710:20
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30J. Wallstedt(L)22202.9091.85-0.1557:06

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).