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Predators at Wild
NHL

Nashville Predators at Minnesota Wild

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
2
Minnesota Wild
▸3
Final/OTTV FDSNSO, FDSNNO·Grand Casino Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Nashville Predators 3-2 in overtime, Marcus Johansson scoring at 3:38. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Marcus Johansson's goal at 3:38 of overtime, which took the Wild's chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 3.6 to 3.2; shots on goal were NSH 34, MIN 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Justus Annunen stopped 22 of 24 (.917), 0.5 goals saved above expected; Filip Gustavsson stopped 32 of 34 (.941), 1.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Marcus Johansson (1 G, 1 A), 2. Filip Gustavsson (32 saves, .941), 3. Steven Stamkos (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    M. Johansson1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    MIN
    F. Gustavsson32 saves, .941
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    S. Stamkos1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
NSHNSH0101141901234
MINMIN19140813324

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    K. Kaprizov(8)PPG
    J. Spurgeon (2), V. Tarasenko (7)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +9 ptsVideo
    0-1
    10:44

2nd period

  1. NSH
    M. Wood(3)
    M. McCarron (3), T. Jost (1)
    tip-inxG 0.27win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-1
    5:16
  2. MIN
    Z. Buium(3)PPG
    B. Faber (5), M. Johansson (6)
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +21 ptsVideo
    1-2
    16:01

3rd period

  1. NSH
    S. Stamkos(2)
    N. Blankenburg (2)
    slapxG 0.09win prob +46 ptsVideo
    2-2
    19:59

Overtime

  1. MIN
    M. Johansson(6)
    K. Kaprizov (10), B. Faber (6)
    xG 0.32win prob +49 ptsVideo
    2-3
    3:38

Penalties

NSH 6 PIM·MIN 4 PIM

1st

  • 2:04NSHJustin Barron · Hookingdrawn by Marcus Foligno2 min
  • 10:09NSHMichael Bunting · Elbowingdrawn by Zeev Buium2 min

2nd

  • 2:46MINDavid Jiricek · Holdingdrawn by Michael Bunting2 min
  • 14:08NSHSteven Stamkos · Slashingdrawn by Matt Boldy2 min
  • 16:50MINKirill Kaprizov · Hookingdrawn by Ryan O'Reilly2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalNSH goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Marcus Johansson, OT 3:38 — MIN 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Johansson · Missed · xG 0.56M. Johansson · Goal · xG 0.32M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.22M. Foligno · Missed · xG 0.19M. Rossi · Missed · xG 0.18J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.17V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.14B. Jones · On goal · xG 0.13Z. Buium · Goal · xG 0.13J. Spurgeon · Missed · xG 0.11B. Jones · On goal · xG 0.11V. Hinostroza · Missed · xG 0.11R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.11R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.11J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.09B. Jones · Missed · xG 0.07V. Hinostroza · Missed · xG 0.07J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.07V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.06J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.06K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.05J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.05K. Kaprizov · Goal · xG 0.05V. Hinostroza · On goal · xG 0.04K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.04B. Faber · Missed · xG 0.03M. Rossi · On goal · xG 0.03B. Faber · Missed · xG 0.03J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.03J. Middleton · On goal · xG 0.03J. Middleton · On goal · xG 0.02J. Brodin · Missed · xG 0.02D. Jiricek · Missed · xG 0.02J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.02R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.02J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.02M. Rossi · Missed · xG 0.02K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.01J. Middleton · On goal · xG 0.01Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.01B. Faber · Missed · xG 0.01D. Jiricek · Missed · xG 0.01J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.00J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN3 G · 3.6 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsMIN
3.22 G
All situations
3 G3.6
2.22 G
Even strength
1 G3.1
0.90 G
Power play
2 G0.4
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH48%52%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.20 – 3.31

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsMIN
34
Shots on goal
24
54%
Faceoffs
46%
0/2
Power play
2/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
13
Hits
22
11
Blocked shots
22
18
Giveaways
18
3
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
76B. SkjeiD000040.22000—24:54
37N. BlankenburgD011+120.06000—22:51
9F. ForsbergL000010.40010—20:16
81J. MarchessaultR000+120.21000—19:59
48N. PerbixD000+130.08000—19:56
90R. O'ReillyC000+140.460006519:53
41N. HagueD000000.00410—19:06
77L. EvangelistaR000010.02000—17:38
24S. StastneyD000010.02210—17:06
47M. McCarronC011+100.001007116:40
56E. HaulaL000-140.350002516:26
17T. JostC011+100.00100015:51
91S. StamkosC101+120.241122515:42
20J. BarronD000020.26032—14:55
58M. BuntingL000+120.17102—12:13
71M. WoodR101+140.43010—12:07
89O. WiesblattC000020.22100011:43
40F. SvechkovC000000.092305011:36
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29J. Annunen(O)24223.9173.51+0.5161:12

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).