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Predators at Wild
NHL

Nashville Predators at Minnesota Wild

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
▸3
Minnesota Wild
2
Final/OTTV ESPN+, HULU·Grand Casino Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Minnesota Wild 3-2 in overtime, Steven Stamkos scoring at 0:53. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Steven Stamkos's goal at 0:53 of overtime, which took the Predators' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 2.9 to 2.5; shots on goal were NSH 29, MIN 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Juuse Saros stopped 30 of 32 (.938), 0.5 goals saved above expected; Filip Gustavsson stopped 26 of 29 (.897). Three stars: 1. Steven Stamkos (1 G, 1 A), 2. Joel Eriksson Ek (1 G), 3. Ryan O'Reilly (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    S. Stamkos1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    MIN
    J. Eriksson Ek1 G
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    R. O'Reilly1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
NSHNSH280120712329
MINMIN1121110900232

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    B. Faber(7)
    Q. Hughes (24), N. Sturm (4)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    7:00
  2. NSH
    R. O'Reilly(11)PPG
    L. Evangelista (20), S. Stamkos (7)
    backhandxG 0.17win prob +10 ptsVideo
    1-1
    14:28
  3. NSH
    R. Josi(3)PPG
    R. O'Reilly (21), F. Forsberg (13)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +12 ptsVideo
    2-1
    17:07

2nd period

  1. MIN
    J. Eriksson Ek(9)
    M. Johansson (17), K. Kaprizov (21)
    wristxG 0.32win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-2
    0:52

Overtime

  1. NSH
    S. Stamkos(15)
    E. Haula (14), N. Blankenburg (11)
    tip-inxG 0.18win prob +51 ptsVideo
    3-2
    0:53

Penalties

NSH 8 PIM·MIN 10 PIM

1st

  • 8:30NSHRyan O'Reilly · High stickingdrawn by Quinn Hughes2 min
  • 13:42MINJoel Eriksson Ek · Trippingdrawn by Luke Evangelista2 min
  • 16:07MINVladimir Tarasenko · Trippingdrawn by Reid Schaefer2 min

2nd

  • 1:14MINKirill Kaprizov · Holdingdrawn by Cole Smith2 min
  • 3:48NSHNick Blankenburg · Trippingdrawn by Kirill Kaprizov2 min
  • 16:40MINMats Zuccarello · Slashingdrawn by Michael McCarron2 min
  • 16:40NSHMichael McCarron · Slashingdrawn by Mats Zuccarello2 min
  • 18:16MINJared Spurgeon · High stickingdrawn by Fedor Svechkov2 min

3rd

  • 2:15NSHTyson Jost · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalNSH goalFinal: MIN 0%

Biggest swing: Steven Stamkos, OT 0:53 — NSH 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Eriksson Ek · Goal · xG 0.32M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.23K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.19M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.14J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.12D. Yurov · On goal · xG 0.12K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.12Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.12J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.11M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.10N. Sturm · On goal · xG 0.10J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.09K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.09K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.09K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.07B. Faber · Missed · xG 0.07J. Middleton · On goal · xG 0.06K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.05B. Faber · Missed · xG 0.05R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.04D. Yurov · On goal · xG 0.03K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.03M. Johansson · Missed · xG 0.03B. Faber · Goal · xG 0.03B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.02D. Yurov · Missed · xG 0.02K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.02M. Johansson · Missed · xG 0.01B. Faber · Missed · xG 0.01J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.01J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Bogosian · On goal · xG 0.01J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.01Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.01R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.00D. Yurov · On goal · xG 0.00J. Middleton · On goal · xG 0.00Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.00K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN2 G · 2.5 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsMIN
2.93 G
All situations
2 G2.5
1.31 G
Even strength
2 G1.8
1.32 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH57%43%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.88 – 2.48

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsMIN
29
Shots on goal
32
61%
Faceoffs
39%
2/4
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
10
22
Hits
27
10
Blocked shots
9
13
Giveaways
15
5
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
59R. JosiD101-140.27030—24:42
90R. O'ReillyC112-220.410025022:45
9F. ForsbergL011-230.17400—20:20
41N. HagueD000010.02210—19:45
37N. BlankenburgD011+110.28312—18:52
48N. PerbixD000-100.00000—18:34
91S. StamkosC112-140.723007818:24
76B. SkjeiD000-110.03300—18:05
77L. EvangelistaR011040.35000—17:36
83A. WilsbyD000-100.00000—16:17
47M. McCarronC000020.080226215:19
56E. HaulaL011+110.111207315:12
36C. SmithR000010.01300—14:59
58M. BuntingL000010.16000—12:33
71M. WoodR000020.11110—11:03
49R. SchaeferL000000.03100—10:45
40F. SvechkovC000010.071003309:56
17T. JostC000010.10002009:36
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74J. Saros(W)32302.9382.54+0.5460:49

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).