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Flames at Golden Knights
NHL

Calgary Flames at Vegas Golden Knights

NHL scoreboard
Calgary Flames
3
Vegas Golden Knights
▸6
FinalTV SCRIPPS, SN·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Calgary Flames 6-3. The Flames scored first; the Golden Knights answered. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brett Howden's goal at 12:20 of the third period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 52% to 86%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 3.6 to 1.9; shots on goal were CGY 22, VGK 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 72% of the time. Dustin Wolf stopped 28 of 34 (.824), 2.8 goals below expected; Carter Hart stopped 19 of 22 (.864), 1.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mitch Marner (3 G, 2 A), 2. Brett Howden (1 G), 3. Shea Theodore (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    M. Marner3 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    VGK
    B. Howden1 G
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    S. Theodore2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY1821103322
VGKVGK01431436634

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    M. Frost(19)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.15win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-0
    7:41

2nd period

  1. VGK
    M. Marner(21)
    S. Theodore (27), B. McNabb (6)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-1
    1:47
  2. CGY
    B. Coleman(18)
    M. Backlund (25), J. Farabee (17)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-1
    4:38
  3. VGK
    M. Marner(22)
    R. Andersson (27), J. Eichel (54)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-2
    6:42
  4. CGY
    B. Coleman(19)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.09win prob +20 ptsVideo
    3-2
    12:11
  5. VGK
    P. Dorofeyev(35)PPG
    M. Marner (52)
    slapxG 0.16win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-3
    16:21

3rd period

  1. VGK
    B. Howden(10)
    S. Theodore (28), I. Barbashev (33)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +34 ptsVideo
    3-4
    12:20
  2. VGK
    I. Barbashev(22)
    M. Marner (53)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +10 ptsVideo
    3-5
    14:59
  3. VGK
    M. Marner(23)
    M. Stone (43), I. Barbashev (34)
    wrap-aroundxG 0.10Video
    3-6
    18:31

Penalties

CGY 12 PIM·VGK 4 PIM

1st

  • 0:12CGYKevin Bahl · Hookingdrawn by Brett Howden2 min
  • 4:48CGYBrayden Pachal · Hookingdrawn by Mitch Marner2 min
  • 17:12VGKBrett Howden · Holding the stickdrawn by Martin Pospisil2 min
  • 17:43VGKNic Dowd · Trippingdrawn by Morgan Frost2 min

2nd

  • 8:37CGYMorgan Frost · Trippingdrawn by Tomas Hertl2 min
  • 15:29CGYAdam Klapka · Boardingdrawn by Keegan Kolesar2 min

3rd

  • 8:16CGYRyan Strome · Slashingdrawn by Brayden McNabb2 min
  • 19:22CGYAdam Klapka · Interferencedrawn by Nic Dowd2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalCGY goalFinal: VGK 100%

Biggest swing: Brett Howden, 3rd 12:20 — VGK 52% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Howden · On goal · xG 0.35R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.30M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.25P. Dorofeyev · Goal · xG 0.16M. Marner · Goal · xG 0.15P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.15P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.14I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.14C. Sissons · Missed · xG 0.12T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.12B. Howden · Goal · xG 0.12M. Marner · Goal · xG 0.11M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.11P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.11I. Barbashev · Goal · xG 0.10M. Marner · Goal · xG 0.10R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.09T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.08J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.08M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.06I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.06C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.06B. Howden · On goal · xG 0.06J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.05R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.05P. Dorofeyev · Missed · xG 0.05P. Dorofeyev · Missed · xG 0.04M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.04C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.04M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.04N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.03J. Lauzon · On goal · xG 0.03S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.03S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.02M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.02T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.02J. Lauzon · Missed · xG 0.02N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.02R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Lauzon · Missed · xG 0.02P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.01J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.01S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.01J. Lauzon · On goal · xG 0.01B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.01B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.01R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK6 G · 3.6 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsVGK
1.93 G
All situations
6 G3.6
1.13 G
Even strength
5 G2.0
0.60 G
Power play
1 G1.1
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY28%72%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.85 – 3.13

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsVGK
22
Shots on goal
34
55%
Faceoffs
45%
0/2
Power play
1/6
12
Penalty minutes
4
24
Hits
23
21
Blocked shots
9
15
Giveaways
25
3
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
28Z. WhitecloudD000+110.03320—25:16
7K. BahlD000-100.00212—23:05
11M. BacklundC011+100.000205020:20
3O. MaattaD000-310.00030—19:50
17Y. SharangovichC000-110.0201010019:29
86J. FarabeeL011+120.18020—18:37
19Z. ParekhD000-120.08000—18:12
20B. ColemanL202+130.48010—18:05
37Y. KuznetsovD000+210.00030—16:46
16M. FrostC101-110.253026015:43
27M. CoronatoR000-120.130006715:34
92M. GridinR000-140.37020—15:09
94B. PachalD000-200.00132—14:43
22R. StromeC000-110.000125012:27
95V. OlofssonL000-110.21000—11:58
47C. ZaryC000-100.010007509:28
43A. KlapkaR000-110.04604—08:22
76M. PospisilC000-110.05900008:15
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32D. Wolf(L)34286.8243.17-2.8359:11

Season series

VGK leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).