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Golden Knights at Flames
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at Calgary Flames

NHL scoreboard
Vegas Golden Knights
▸4
Calgary Flames
2
FinalTV SCRIPPS, SN1·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Calgary Flames 4-2. The Golden Knights came back from two goals down. The Flames led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jack Eichel's goal at 6:38 of the third period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 48% to 77%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 3.7 to 2.1; shots on goal were VGK 30, CGY 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Akira Schmid stopped 19 of 19 (1.000), 1.4 goals saved above expected; Dustin Wolf stopped 26 of 29 (.897), 0.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jack Eichel (2 G), 2. Mikael Backlund (1 G), 3. Akira Schmid (19 saves, 1.000).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    J. Eichel2 G
  2. ★★
    CGY
    M. Backlund1 G
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    A. Schmid19 saves, 1.000

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VGKVGK08112310430
CGYCGY21001108229

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    M. Backlund(1)
    M. Weegar (1)
    snapxG 0.03win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    7:32
  2. CGY
    B. Coleman(2)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.09win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    12:10

2nd period

  1. VGK
    J. Eichel(3)
    M. Stone (6)
    backhandxG 0.07win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    10:00

3rd period

  1. VGK
    K. Korczak(1)
    T. Hertl (2), M. Marner (3)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +26 ptsVideo
    2-2
    4:11
  2. VGK
    J. Eichel(4)
    I. Barbashev (2), J. Lauzon (1)
    wristxG 0.28win prob +29 ptsVideo
    3-2
    6:38
  3. VGK
    T. Hertl(1)EN
    M. Marner (4), W. Karlsson (1)
    wristxG 0.91win prob +3 ptsVideo
    4-2
    19:53

Penalties

VGK 4 PIM·CGY 6 PIM

2nd

  • 5:37VGKKaedan Korczak · Hookingdrawn by Samuel Honzek2 min
  • 6:20CGYNazem Kadri · Interferencedrawn by Brayden McNabb2 min
  • 16:48CGYKevin Bahl · Hookingdrawn by Ivan Barbashev2 min

3rd

  • 12:02CGYMacKenzie Weegar · Trippingdrawn by Colton Sissons2 min
  • 12:02VGKColton Sissons · Elbowingdrawn by Zayne Parekh2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalVGK goalFinal: CGY 0%

Biggest swing: Jack Eichel, 3rd 6:38 — VGK 48% → 77%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.19B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.18N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.17R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.16N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.11M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.10R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.10B. Coleman · Goal · xG 0.09N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.09N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.09M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.08A. Klapka · On goal · xG 0.07C. Zary · On goal · xG 0.05M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.05Z. Parekh · On goal · xG 0.05Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.05Z. Parekh · Missed · xG 0.04C. Zary · On goal · xG 0.04B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.04R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.04M. Backlund · Goal · xG 0.03M. Coronato · On goal · xG 0.03J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.03M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.02N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.02M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.02M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.02J. Hanley · Missed · xG 0.02J. Farabee · Missed · xG 0.02B. Coleman · Missed · xG 0.02Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.02A. Klapka · Missed · xG 0.01A. Klapka · On goal · xG 0.01Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.01M. Coronato · Missed · xG 0.01R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.01D. Miromanov · Missed · xG 0.01A. Klapka · Missed · xG 0.01J. Farabee · Missed · xG 0.01K. Bahl · Missed · xG 0.00M. Gridin · On goal · xG 0.00R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.00R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.00M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY2 G · 2.1 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsCGY
3.73 G
All situations
2 G2.1
2.13 G
Even strength
2 G2.0
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK55%45%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.34 – 2.10

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsCGY
30
Shots on goal
29
57%
Faceoffs
43%
0/2
Power play
0/1
4
Penalty minutes
6
26
Hits
23
11
Blocked shots
18
13
Giveaways
12
6
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27S. TheodoreD000-100.00010—23:53
3B. McNabbD000000.04030—23:04
93M. MarnerR022+240.17100—21:54
48T. HertlC112+221.141105518:31
16P. DorofeyevR000010.23110—18:12
9J. EichelC202070.940007217:44
2Z. WhitecloudD000+220.06110—17:39
61M. StoneR011040.45100—17:32
6K. KorczakD101+120.08422—17:26
17B. HuttonD000+130.04000—16:49
71W. KarlssonC011+110.000004416:24
5J. LauzonD011+100.03700—16:16
49I. BarbashevL011000.08100—14:49
20B. SaadL000+130.26000—13:17
19R. SmithR000010.04100—13:14
10C. SissonsC000000.060026310:15
55K. KolesarR000000.00520—10:02
23C. ReinhardtL000000.03300—09:22
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40A. Schmid(W)191901.0001.42+1.4239:37
33A. Hill1082.8000.70-1.3020:00

Season series

VGK leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).