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Flames at Golden Knights
NHL

Calgary Flames at Vegas Golden Knights

FinalTV SCRIPPS, CBC·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Calgary Flames 6-1. The Golden Knights scored first and never trailed. The Golden Knights led 5-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mark Stone's goal at 15:03 of the first period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 67% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 3.1 to 2.2; shots on goal were CGY 27, VGK 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Dustin Wolf stopped 14 of 19 (.737), 3.0 goals below expected; Adin Hill stopped 26 of 27 (.963), 1.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Mark Stone (2 G, 2 A), 2. Mitch Marner (2 G), 3. Jack Eichel (4 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    M. Stone2 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    VGK
    M. Marner2 G
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    J. Eichel4 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY11304010127
VGKVGK3921019628

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. VGK
    wristxG 0.15win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    0:46
  2. CGY
    wristxG 0.20win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    3:42
  3. VGK
    T. Hertl(3)PPG
    snapxG 0.19win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-2
    5:39
  4. VGK
    wristxG 0.14win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-3
    15:03

2nd period

  1. VGK
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +9 ptsVideo
    1-4
    3:57
  2. VGK
    M. Marner(2)PPG
    backhandxG 0.19win prob +2 ptsVideo
    1-5
    19:06

3rd period

  1. VGK
    M. Stone(2)PPG
    wristxG 0.38Video
    1-6
    2:37

Penalties

CGY 16 PIM·VGK 16 PIM

1st

  • 2:22VGKColton Sissons · Fightingdrawn by Ryan Lomberg5 min
  • 2:22CGYRyan Lomberg · Fightingdrawn by Colton Sissons5 min
  • 3:18VGKBrayden McNabb · Interferencedrawn by Adam Klapka2 min
  • 4:48CGYRasmus Andersson · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 8:25CGYAdam Klapka · Fightingdrawn by Jeremy Lauzon5 min
  • 8:25VGKJeremy Lauzon · Fightingdrawn by Adam Klapka5 min
  • 15:39VGKJeremy Lauzon · Cross checkingdrawn by Blake Coleman2 min

2nd

  • 9:20VGKKeegan Kolesar · Interferencedrawn by Jonathan Huberdeau2 min
  • 18:28CGYJoel Hanley · Cross checkingdrawn by Zach Whitecloud2 min

3rd

  • 2:21CGYNazem Kadri · Trippingdrawn by Shea Theodore2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalCGY goalFinal: VGK 100%

Biggest swing: Mark Stone, 1st 15:03 — VGK 67% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Stone · Goal · xG 0.38J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.21M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.20M. Marner · Goal · xG 0.19T. Hertl · Goal · xG 0.19J. Eichel · Missed · xG 0.17M. Marner · Goal · xG 0.16M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.14M. Stone · Goal · xG 0.14T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.13P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.13A. Holtz · On goal · xG 0.13W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.12T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.11M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.10I. Barbashev · Goal · xG 0.08M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.07A. Holtz · On goal · xG 0.05T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.05B. Hutton · On goal · xG 0.05M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.04J. Lauzon · On goal · xG 0.04S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.04A. Holtz · Missed · xG 0.03S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.02J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.02J. Lauzon · On goal · xG 0.02B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.01M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.01W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.01B. Hutton · Missed · xG 0.01W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.01R. Smith · Missed · xG 0.01K. Kolesar · Missed · xG 0.01J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.00K. Korczak · On goal · xG 0.00S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK6 G · 3.1 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsVGK
2.21 G
All situations
6 G3.1
1.50 G
Even strength
3 G2.0
0.71 G
Power play
3 G0.9
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY35%65%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.20 – 3.02

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsVGK
27
Shots on goal
28
49%
Faceoffs
51%
1/3
Power play
3/3
16
Penalty minutes
16
22
Hits
14
10
Blocked shots
21
14
Giveaways
19
2
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
52M. WeegarD011-210.00100—24:00
4R. AnderssonD000-100.00112—19:30
44J. HanleyD000-100.04202—18:55
24J. BeanD000020.03110—18:52
10J. HuberdeauL101-130.62010—18:48
91N. KadriC011-130.170027318:15
19Z. ParekhD000030.20000—17:50
7K. BahlD000-210.02230—17:41
47C. ZaryC000010.321006416:52
86J. FarabeeL000020.37000—15:53
20B. ColemanL000-120.01110—15:23
27M. CoronatoR000-220.12000—15:09
16M. FrostC000-100.010004015:03
17Y. SharangovichC000-100.09120015:00
11M. BacklundC000-120.020002713:03
43A. KlapkaR000000.00405—12:52
29S. HonzekL000-130.15200—12:51
70R. LombergL000020.09615—12:18
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32D. Wolf(L)19145.7372.02-2.9840:00
1D. Cooley981.8891.07+0.0720:00

Season series

VGK leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).