Vegas Golden Knights at Calgary Flames
Recap
written from the game dataThe Calgary Flames beat the Vegas Golden Knights 6-3. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 5-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ryan Lomberg's goal at 15:45 of the first period, which took the Flames' chances from 67% to 82%. Expected goals were close — VGK 3.7, CGY 3.5; shots on goal were VGK 37, CGY 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Akira Schmid stopped 20 of 25 (.800), 2.5 goals below expected; Devin Cooley stopped 34 of 37 (.919), 0.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Mikael Backlund (2 G, 1 A), 2. Connor Zary (3 A), 3. MacKenzie Weegar (3 A).
Three stars
- ★M. Backlund2 G, 1 A

- ★★C. Zary3 A

- ★★★M. Weegar3 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
9 goals1st period
0-13:54
0-28:42
1-210:03
1-315:45
2nd period
1-48:38
1-512:21
2-514:34
3rd period
3-516:03
3-619:15
Penalties
1st
- 15:49
Ryan Lomberg · Fightingdrawn by Jeremy Lauzon5 min
- 15:49
Jeremy Lauzon · Fightingdrawn by Ryan Lomberg5 min
2nd
- 11:07
Morgan Frost · Trippingdrawn by Ivan Barbashev2 min
3rd
- 15:50
Yan Kuznetsov · High stickingdrawn by Tomas Hertl2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Ryan Lomberg, 1st 15:45 — 67% → 82%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.73 G
- All situations
- 5 G3.5
- 3.02 G
- Even strength
- 4 G2.4
- 0.71 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.0
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 1 G0.2
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 99 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 3.56 – 2.43
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 37
- Shots on goal
- 26
- 48%
- Faceoffs
- 52%
- 1/2
- Power play
- 0/0
- 5
- Penalty minutes
- 9
- 27
- Hits
- 14
- 13
- Blocked shots
- 12
- 15
- Giveaways
- 9
- 4
- Takeaways
- 5
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















