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Golden Knights at Flames
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at Calgary Flames

FinalTV SCRIPPS, CBC·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Vegas Golden Knights 6-3. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 5-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ryan Lomberg's goal at 15:45 of the first period, which took the Flames' chances from 67% to 82%. Expected goals were close — VGK 3.7, CGY 3.5; shots on goal were VGK 37, CGY 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Akira Schmid stopped 20 of 25 (.800), 2.5 goals below expected; Devin Cooley stopped 34 of 37 (.919), 0.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Mikael Backlund (2 G, 1 A), 2. Connor Zary (3 A), 3. MacKenzie Weegar (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    M. Backlund2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CGY
    C. Zary3 A
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    M. Weegar3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VGKVGK1719121337
CGYCGY31121015626

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    snapxG 0.34win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    3:54
  2. CGY
    deflectedxG 0.42win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    8:42
  3. VGK
    backhandxG 0.19win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-2
    10:03
  4. CGY
    wristxG 0.18win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-3
    15:45

2nd period

  1. CGY
    backhandxG 0.18win prob +9 ptsVideo
    1-4
    8:38
  2. CGY
    wristxG 0.17win prob +4 ptsVideo
    1-5
    12:21
  3. VGK
    M. Marner (27), T. Hertl (11)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +3 ptsVideo
    2-5
    14:34

3rd period

  1. VGK
    M. Stone(7)PPG
    batxG 0.10win prob +1 ptsVideo
    3-5
    16:03
  2. CGY
    wristxG 0.95Video
    3-6
    19:15

Penalties

VGK 5 PIM·CGY 9 PIM

1st

  • 15:49CGYRyan Lomberg · Fightingdrawn by Jeremy Lauzon5 min
  • 15:49VGKJeremy Lauzon · Fightingdrawn by Ryan Lomberg5 min

2nd

  • 11:07CGYMorgan Frost · Trippingdrawn by Ivan Barbashev2 min

3rd

  • 15:50CGYYan Kuznetsov · High stickingdrawn by Tomas Hertl2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalVGK goalFinal: CGY 100%

Biggest swing: Ryan Lomberg, 1st 15:45 — CGY 67% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Huberdeau · Goal · xG 0.95A. Klapka · Goal · xG 0.42M. Backlund · Goal · xG 0.34M. Coronato · Missed · xG 0.21M. Backlund · Goal · xG 0.19R. Lomberg · Goal · xG 0.18J. Farabee · Goal · xG 0.17C. Zary · On goal · xG 0.15M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.10M. Coronato · On goal · xG 0.09Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.08J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.06J. Huberdeau · Missed · xG 0.05H. Brzustewicz · Missed · xG 0.04M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.04B. Coleman · Missed · xG 0.04Y. Sharangovich · Missed · xG 0.04H. Brzustewicz · On goal · xG 0.03M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.03M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.03J. Beecher · On goal · xG 0.03B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.02J. Farabee · Missed · xG 0.02M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.02Y. Kuznetsov · Missed · xG 0.02M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.01M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.01H. Brzustewicz · On goal · xG 0.01M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.01R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.01B. Coleman · Missed · xG 0.01B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.01M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.01K. Bahl · On goal · xG 0.01M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.01K. Bahl · Missed · xG 0.00J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.00H. Brzustewicz · On goal · xG 0.00A. Klapka · Missed · xG 0.00Y. Kuznetsov · Missed · xG 0.00N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.00M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY6 G · 3.5 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsCGY
3.73 G
All situations
5 G3.5
3.02 G
Even strength
4 G2.4
0.71 G
Power play
0 G0.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 99 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK69%31%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.56 – 2.43

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsCGY
37
Shots on goal
26
48%
Faceoffs
52%
1/2
Power play
0/0
5
Penalty minutes
9
27
Hits
14
13
Blocked shots
12
15
Giveaways
9
4
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
15N. HanifinD011-240.06100—24:39
6K. KorczakD101030.26100—21:08
2Z. WhitecloudD011-110.09210—19:44
17B. HuttonD000-120.01130—19:20
93M. MarnerR022-310.390005019:01
48T. HertlC011-260.780003518:59
3B. McNabbD000-110.07100—17:57
16P. DorofeyevR000-110.35110—17:20
49I. BarbashevL000-230.223002516:56
20B. SaadL000-140.55000—16:16
61M. StoneR112-230.15000—15:41
42B. BowmanR000-110.0400010014:47
21B. HowdenC000-110.012006713:51
19R. SmithR101-120.53020—13:46
5J. LauzonD000-100.01435—13:31
55K. KolesarR000010.05810—13:12
23C. ReinhardtL000-110.0811010012:39
10C. SissonsC000020.042106012:32
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40A. Schmid(L)25205.8002.52-2.4858:41

Season series

VGK leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).