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Winnipeg Jets at Dallas Stars

FinalTV Victory+, TSN3·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Winnipeg Jets 3-0. The Stars scored first and never trailed. The Stars led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Arttu Hyry's goal at 11:12 of the first period, which took the Stars' chances from 67% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 3.0 to 2.7; shots on goal were WPG 22, DAL 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 18 of 21 (.857); Jake Oettinger stopped 22 of 22 (1.000), 2.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jake Oettinger (22 saves, 1.000), 2. Adam Erne (1 G, 1 A), 3. Arttu Hyry (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    J. Oettinger22 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    DAL
    A. Erne1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    A. Hyry1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG0407011022
DALDAL2111604321

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    M. Duchene(16)PPG
    snapxG 0.20win prob +10 ptsVideo
    0-1
    9:43
  2. DAL
    J. Benn (20), A. Erne (2)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    11:12

2nd period

  1. DAL
    tip-inxG 0.04win prob +9 ptsVideo
    0-3
    2:15

Penalties

WPG 19 PIM·DAL 23 PIM

1st

  • 1:41DALMiro Heiskanen · Trippingdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min
  • 8:36WPGHaydn Fleury · Cross checkingdrawn by Mavrik Bourque2 min

2nd

  • 6:56DALJason Robertson · Trippingdrawn by Dylan Samberg2 min

3rd

  • 9:24DALColin Blackwell · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Neal Pionk2 min
  • 9:24DALColin Blackwell · Roughingdrawn by Neal Pionk2 min
  • 9:24WPGNeal Pionk · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Colin Blackwell2 min
  • 9:24WPGAdam Lowry · Fightingdrawn by Jamie Benn5 min
  • 9:24DALJamie Benn · Fightingdrawn by Adam Lowry5 min
  • 9:24DALColin Blackwell · Misconduct10 min
  • 9:24WPGNeal Pionk · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalWPG goalFinal: DAL 100%

Biggest swing: Arttu Hyry, 1st 11:12 — DAL 67% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Lindell · Missed · xG 0.38J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.31J. Hryckowian · On goal · xG 0.21M. Bourque · Missed · xG 0.20M. Duchene · Goal · xG 0.20W. Johnston · On goal · xG 0.15J. Hryckowian · On goal · xG 0.15A. Hyry · Goal · xG 0.13M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.12M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.12M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.11M. Bourque · On goal · xG 0.10M. Bourque · Missed · xG 0.09M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.07T. Harley · On goal · xG 0.07M. Bourque · Missed · xG 0.06E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.06M. Bourque · On goal · xG 0.06W. Johnston · Missed · xG 0.06J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.05E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.05A. Erne · Goal · xG 0.04J. Hryckowian · On goal · xG 0.04J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.04M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.02N. Lundkvist · Missed · xG 0.02J. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.02I. Lyubushkin · Missed · xG 0.02E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.02M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.02T. Harley · Missed · xG 0.02T. Harley · On goal · xG 0.01T. Harley · Missed · xG 0.01L. Bichsel · On goal · xG 0.01J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.00J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.00
DAL3 G · 3.0 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsDAL
2.70 G
All situations
3 G3.0
1.20 G
Even strength
2 G2.4
1.40 G
Power play
1 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 72 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG51%49%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.61 – 2.58

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsDAL
22
Shots on goal
21
55%
Faceoffs
45%
0/3
Power play
1/1
19
Penalty minutes
23
14
Hits
20
5
Blocked shots
15
11
Giveaways
21
3
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44J. MorrisseyD000020.12020—27:52
55M. ScheifeleC000-120.471003623:08
13G. VilardiC000-110.25000023:03
2D. DeMeloD000000.01000—22:40
81K. ConnorL000-140.95200—22:37
54D. SambergD000-140.05000—22:07
91C. PerfettiC000020.30000020:34
4N. PionkD000010.062112—18:50
9A. IafalloL000-110.09000—15:58
24H. FleuryD000-110.01012—14:25
36M. BarronC000-110.211106014:05
17A. LowryC000000.003057313:03
45C. KoepkeL000-100.03000—12:34
93B. LambertC000000.00200011:11
19J. ToewsC000000.000006011:10
27I. RosenR000010.01000—10:09
25P. FordC000020.09200009:12
57E. SalomonssonD000-200.00100—08:56
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(L)21183.8572.67-0.3357:19

Season series

DAL leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).