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Stars at Jets
NHL

Dallas Stars at Winnipeg Jets

NHL scoreboard
Dallas Stars
▸5
Winnipeg Jets
4
FinalTV Victory+, TSN3·Canada Life Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Winnipeg Jets 5-4. The Stars scored first and never trailed. The Stars led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jason Robertson's goal at 1:01 of the third period, which took the Stars' chances from 73% to 89%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 4.2 to 2.8; shots on goal were DAL 37, WPG 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Jake Oettinger stopped 21 of 25 (.840), 1.2 goals below expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 32 of 37 (.865), 1.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Kyle Connor (3 G), 2. Mikko Rantanen (1 G, 2 A), 3. Jason Robertson (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    K. Connor3 G
  2. ★★
    DAL
    M. Rantanen1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    J. Robertson1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL29017311537
WPGWPG1707311425

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    M. Rantanen(1)
    R. Hintz (1), S. Steel (1)
    snapxG 0.38win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    3:15
  2. WPG
    K. Connor(1)
    M. Scheifele (1), G. Vilardi (1)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    6:19
  3. DAL
    N. Lundkvist(1)
    M. Rantanen (1), J. Robertson (1)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-1
    15:24

3rd period

  1. DAL
    J. Robertson(1)PPG
    M. Rantanen (2), R. Hintz (2)
    wristxG 0.32win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-1
    1:01
  2. DAL
    T. Seguin(1)
    M. Duchene (1), T. Harley (1)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +8 ptsVideo
    4-1
    1:35
  3. DAL
    W. Johnston(1)
    N. Lundkvist (1), T. Harley (2)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +2 ptsVideo
    5-1
    3:23
  4. WPG
    M. Barron(1)SHG
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.26Video
    5-2
    9:53
  5. WPG
    K. Connor(2)SHG
    M. Scheifele (2), D. DeMelo (1)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +3 ptsVideo
    5-3
    11:09
  6. WPG
    K. Connor(3)
    M. Scheifele (3), D. DeMelo (2)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +7 ptsVideo
    5-4
    16:57

Penalties

DAL 12 PIM·WPG 14 PIM

1st

  • 12:48DALRoope Hintz · Roughingdrawn by Gabriel Vilardi2 min

2nd

  • 0:46WPGDylan DeMelo · Hookingdrawn by Matt Duchene2 min
  • 4:01DALIlya Lyubushkin · Holdingdrawn by Jonathan Toews2 min
  • 8:23DALserved by Justin Hryckowian · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 14:54DALMikko Rantanen · Roughingdrawn by Vladislav Namestnikov2 min
  • 14:54WPGNeal Pionk · Roughingdrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min
  • 15:17WPGJonathan Toews · Slashingdrawn by Miro Heiskanen2 min
  • 18:56WPGNeal Pionk · Interferencedrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min
  • 19:13WPGAlex Iafallo · Trippingdrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min

3rd

  • 7:47DALJustin Hryckowian · Slashingdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min
  • 7:47WPGMark Scheifele · Slashingdrawn by Justin Hryckowian2 min
  • 9:27WPGJosh Morrissey · Hookingdrawn by Thomas Harley2 min
  • 17:04DALThomas Harley · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalDAL goalFinal: WPG 0%

Biggest swing: Jason Robertson, 3rd 1:01 — DAL 73% → 89%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.36M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.28M. Barron · Goal · xG 0.26N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.17G. Vilardi · Missed · xG 0.15G. Vilardi · Missed · xG 0.14J. Toews · On goal · xG 0.13N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.12T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.11M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.09T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.09K. Connor · Goal · xG 0.09H. Fleury · On goal · xG 0.08K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.07K. Connor · Goal · xG 0.07K. Connor · Goal · xG 0.07V. Namestnikov · Missed · xG 0.06N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.06G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.06J. Toews · Missed · xG 0.06N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.05G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.05A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.03K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.03N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.02N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.02N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.02V. Namestnikov · Missed · xG 0.02K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.01N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.01N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.01L. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.01G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.01L. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.00C. Koepke · On goal · xG 0.00H. Fleury · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG4 G · 2.8 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsWPG
4.25 G
All situations
4 G2.8
2.34 G
Even strength
2 G1.3
1.51 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
2 G0.8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL64%36%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.64 – 2.80

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsWPG
37
Shots on goal
25
52%
Faceoffs
48%
1/5
Power play
0/4
12
Penalty minutes
14
21
Hits
33
18
Blocked shots
8
9
Giveaways
22
2
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4M. HeiskanenD000-240.27010—27:02
23E. LindellD000010.03110—21:55
55T. HarleyD022000.02052—21:52
53W. JohnstonC101010.180107520:05
24R. HintzC022070.700024719:25
96M. RantanenR123-130.700025018:48
21J. RobertsonL112080.85110—18:09
5N. LundkvistD112+320.13110—16:45
91T. SeguinC101+150.561004315:27
95M. DucheneC011+100.000006015:25
18S. SteelC011010.521107514:07
12R. FaksaC000-100.013006013:21
6L. BichselD000010.03310—13:14
46I. LyubushkinD000+110.01222—12:14
15C. BlackwellC000-100.003103311:53
22M. BourqueC000+110.06010011:48
49J. HryckowianC000-110.06312008:47
11N. BastianR000-110.07210—07:46
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29J. Oettinger(W)25214.8402.82-1.1860:00

Season series

DAL leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).