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Stars at Jets
NHL

Dallas Stars at Winnipeg Jets

NHL scoreboard
Dallas Stars
▸4
Winnipeg Jets
3
FinalTV Victory+, TSN3·Canada Life Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Winnipeg Jets 4-3. The Stars scored first and never trailed. The Stars led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Logan Stanley's goal at 5:54 of the third period, which took the Jets' chances from 8% to 24%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 3.5 to 2.6; shots on goal were DAL 19, WPG 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Casey DeSmith stopped 30 of 33 (.909), 0.5 goals saved above expected; Eric Comrie stopped 15 of 19 (.789), 1.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mikko Rantanen (3 A), 2. Mark Scheifele (2 G), 3. Wyatt Johnston (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    M. Rantanen3 A
  2. ★★
    WPG
    M. Scheifele2 G
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    W. Johnston2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL162815419
WPGWPG01121418333

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    E. Lindell(4)
    W. Johnston (19), M. Rantanen (27)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-0
    0:44

2nd period

  1. DAL
    R. Hintz(9)PPG
    M. Rantanen (28), W. Johnston (20)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-0
    1:16
  2. DAL
    A. Petrovic(2)
    M. Bourque (6)
    slapxG 0.05win prob +11 ptsVideo
    3-0
    2:31
  3. WPG
    M. Scheifele(15)
    K. Connor (21)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +10 ptsVideo
    3-1
    11:04
  4. WPG
    M. Scheifele(16)
    J. Morrissey (20), K. Connor (22)
    slapxG 0.15win prob +15 ptsVideo
    3-2
    18:52

3rd period

  1. DAL
    J. Robertson(19)PPG
    M. Heiskanen (21), M. Rantanen (29)
    slapxG 0.13win prob +15 ptsVideo
    4-2
    4:46
  2. WPG
    L. Stanley(4)
    C. Perfetti (3), G. Vilardi (13)
    wristxG 0.38win prob +16 ptsVideo
    4-3
    5:54

Penalties

DAL 8 PIM·WPG 8 PIM

1st

  • 1:44DALJustin Hryckowian · Hookingdrawn by Gabriel Vilardi2 min
  • 10:01WPGMorgan Barron · Hookingdrawn by Oskar Bäck2 min
  • 19:32WPGMorgan Barron · Trippingdrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min

2nd

  • 16:46DALWyatt Johnston · Hookingdrawn by Kyle Connor2 min

3rd

  • 3:07WPGDylan DeMelo · High stickingdrawn by Matt Duchene2 min
  • 8:25DALAlexander Petrovic · Hookingdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min
  • 11:01WPGVladislav Namestnikov · Hookingdrawn by Colin Blackwell2 min
  • 17:30DALMikko Rantanen · Trippingdrawn by Kyle Connor2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalDAL goalFinal: WPG 0%

Biggest swing: Logan Stanley, 3rd 5:54 — WPG 8% → 24%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Stanley · Goal · xG 0.38T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.29G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.20M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.20G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.17A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.16M. Scheifele · Goal · xG 0.15M. Scheifele · Goal · xG 0.14K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.14K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.13C. Perfetti · On goal · xG 0.11A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.11M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.10A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.09M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.09M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.09K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.08K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.08A. Iafallo · Missed · xG 0.07M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.06G. Vilardi · Missed · xG 0.06K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.06A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.05J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.04C. Perfetti · Missed · xG 0.04G. Vilardi · Missed · xG 0.04J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.04C. Perfetti · On goal · xG 0.04J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.03K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.03L. Stanley · On goal · xG 0.02M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.02K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.02K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.02J. Toews · On goal · xG 0.02N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.02L. Stanley · On goal · xG 0.02M. Barron · On goal · xG 0.02N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.02J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.02K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.01C. Koepke · On goal · xG 0.01M. Barron · On goal · xG 0.01L. Stanley · Missed · xG 0.01J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.00N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG3 G · 3.5 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsWPG
2.64 G
All situations
3 G3.5
1.72 G
Even strength
3 G2.4
0.72 G
Power play
0 G1.2
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL36%64%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.57 – 3.42

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsWPG
19
Shots on goal
33
62%
Faceoffs
38%
2/4
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
8
8
Hits
32
15
Blocked shots
10
17
Giveaways
15
5
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4M. HeiskanenD011010.05020—30:50
23E. LindellD101030.14040—24:37
96M. RantanenR033000.0800210019:07
53W. JohnstonC022-100.160027818:14
28A. PetrovicD101+120.06212—18:14
21J. RobertsonL101040.76100—18:04
55T. HarleyD000+110.24000—17:32
18S. SteelC000020.281102516:50
24R. HintzC101020.141008315:28
10O. BäckC000010.27100015:07
22M. BourqueC011010.0900010014:29
49J. HryckowianC000020.040125014:15
95M. DucheneC000-100.000005013:03
14J. BennL000000.141005012:35
5N. LundkvistD000-200.00020—11:57
15C. BlackwellC000-100.011102511:00
12R. FaksaC000000.180106710:59
20K. CapobiancoD000-200.00020—09:52
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1C. DeSmith(W)33303.9093.54+0.5459:47

Season series

DAL leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).