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Jets at Avalanche
NHL

Winnipeg Jets at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
Winnipeg Jets
▸4
Colorado Avalanche
2
FinalTV ALT, SNW·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Colorado Avalanche 4-2. The Jets scored first and never trailed. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Cole Perfetti's goal at 14:49 of the third period, which took the Jets' chances from 48% to 88%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 2.3 to 1.8; shots on goal were WPG 21, COL 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 21 of 23 (.913); Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 17 of 20 (.850), 1.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Cole Perfetti (1 G), 2. Gabriel Vilardi (1 G, 1 A), 3. Brock Nelson (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    C. Perfetti1 G
  2. ★★
    WPG
    G. Vilardi1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    COL
    B. Nelson1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG1101625421
COLCOL1911004223

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    G. Vilardi(28)
    J. Morrissey (38), A. Lowry (15)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    3:51
  2. COL
    B. Nelson(33)PPG
    N. Kadri (34), C. Makar (52)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +9 ptsVideo
    1-1
    8:59

2nd period

  1. WPG
    C. Koepke(7)
    J. Toews (16), E. Salomonsson (4)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-1
    2:14
  2. COL
    P. Kelly(17)
    J. Manson (24), V. Nichushkin (27)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +23 ptsVideo
    2-2
    18:05

3rd period

  1. WPG
    C. Perfetti(11)
    J. Bryson (5), G. Vilardi (34)
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +40 ptsVideo
    3-2
    14:49
  2. WPG
    K. Connor(33)EN
    M. Scheifele (55), D. Samberg (13)
    wristxG 0.68win prob +7 ptsVideo
    4-2
    17:51

Penalties

WPG 8 PIM·COL 8 PIM

1st

  • 8:18WPGDylan Samberg · Hookingdrawn by Logan O'Connor2 min

3rd

  • 1:07COLArtturi Lehkonen · Trippingdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min
  • 1:07WPGMark Scheifele · Embellishment2 min
  • 8:43COLParker Kelly · Roughingdrawn by Cole Perfetti2 min
  • 8:43WPGCole Perfetti · Roughingdrawn by Parker Kelly2 min
  • 10:44COLJosh Manson · High stickingdrawn by Jonathan Toews2 min
  • 14:49COLserved by R. Colton · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 19:26WPGMark Scheifele · Hookingdrawn by Cale Makar2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalWPG goalFinal: COL 0%

Biggest swing: Cole Perfetti, 3rd 14:49 — WPG 48% → 88%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.18M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.14B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.14B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.13N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.10B. Nelson · Goal · xG 0.10G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.09G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.09G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.08C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.08D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.07N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.07N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.07P. Kelly · Goal · xG 0.06L. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.05P. Kelly · On goal · xG 0.04P. Kelly · Missed · xG 0.03P. Kelly · On goal · xG 0.03S. Malinski · Missed · xG 0.02C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.02B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.02C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.02M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.02D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.02N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.01B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.01J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.01L. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01S. Malinski · Missed · xG 0.01S. Malinski · Missed · xG 0.01B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.00S. Malinski · On goal · xG 0.00P. Kelly · On goal · xG 0.00
COL2 G · 1.8 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsCOL
2.33 G
All situations
2 G1.8
1.33 G
Even strength
1 G1.5
0.10 G
Power play
1 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 66 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG43%57%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.44 – 1.76

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsCOL
21
Shots on goal
23
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/2
Power play
1/2
8
Penalty minutes
8
32
Hits
21
18
Blocked shots
16
13
Giveaways
14
7
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4N. PionkD000+120.17620—25:04
54D. SambergD011+200.01242—24:19
55M. ScheifeleC011020.150344023:51
44J. MorrisseyD011+120.18200—22:25
81K. ConnorL101+130.94100—22:23
2D. DeMeloD000+200.00010—21:54
13G. VilardiC112+240.20000020:05
91C. PerfettiC101+210.05112019:15
9A. IafalloL000010.09620—18:25
17A. LowryC011+210.024005916:55
19J. ToewsC011+210.130106414:01
57E. SalomonssonD011000.00300—13:51
45C. KoepkeL101+120.33610—12:29
93B. LambertC000+110.00000010:11
78J. BrysonD011000.00010—09:26
25P. FordC000-100.00110009:00
53D. ZhilkinC000010.020005005:39
27I. RosenR000-100.00010—05:32
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(W)23212.9131.76-0.2460:00

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).