Skip to content
Avalanche at Jets
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at Winnipeg Jets

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
▸3
Winnipeg Jets
2
FinalTV ALT, KTVD·Canada Life Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Winnipeg Jets 3-2. The Jets scored first; the Avalanche answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nathan MacKinnon's goal at 0:13 of the third period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 52% to 74%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 4.4 to 2.1; shots on goal were COL 35, WPG 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 81% of the time. Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 22 of 24 (.917); Connor Hellebuyck stopped 32 of 35 (.914), 1.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Nathan MacKinnon (2 G), 2. Mark Scheifele (2 G), 3. Jack Drury (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    N. MacKinnon2 G
  2. ★★
    WPG
    M. Scheifele2 G
  3. ★★★
    COL
    J. Drury1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL11109215335
WPGWPG1701017224

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    M. Scheifele(33)
    K. Connor (50), J. Morrissey (37)
    slapxG 0.16win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    9:55
  2. COL
    J. Drury(9)
    S. Malinski (28), P. Kelly (12)
    wristxG 0.35win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    17:40

3rd period

  1. COL
    N. MacKinnon(47)PPG
    N. Kadri (33), M. Necas (55)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +23 ptsVideo
    2-1
    0:13
  2. COL
    N. MacKinnon(48)
    A. Lehkonen (24), G. Landeskog (21)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +19 ptsVideo
    3-1
    3:55
  3. WPG
    M. Scheifele(34)
    C. Perfetti (19), G. Vilardi (33)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +14 ptsVideo
    3-2
    9:39

Penalties

COL 15 PIM·WPG 15 PIM

2nd

  • 3:20COLBrett Kulak · Holdingdrawn by Jonathan Toews2 min
  • 6:42WPGGabriel Vilardi · Hookingdrawn by Jack Drury2 min
  • 18:07WPGJonathan Toews · Hookingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min
  • 19:28WPGElias Salomonsson · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 1:28COLBrock Nelson · Trippingdrawn by Dylan Samberg2 min
  • 3:55WPGserved by Brad Lambert · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 7:16COLValeri Nichushkin · Trippingdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min
  • 13:47COLJosh Manson · Interferencedrawn by Morgan Barron2 min
  • 13:47COLJosh Manson · Fightingdrawn by Morgan Barron5 min
  • 13:47WPGMorgan Barron · Fightingdrawn by Josh Manson5 min
  • 16:00COLDevon Toews · Slashingdrawn by Neal Pionk2 min
  • 16:00WPGNeal Pionk · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Devon Toews2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalCOL goalFinal: WPG 0%

Biggest swing: Nathan MacKinnon, 3rd 0:13 — COL 52% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Perfetti · On goal · xG 0.22K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.18M. Scheifele · Goal · xG 0.16I. Rosen · On goal · xG 0.16M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.13G. Vilardi · Missed · xG 0.12M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.08K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.08K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.07M. Scheifele · Goal · xG 0.07J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.07G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.06A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.05A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.05A. Iafallo · Missed · xG 0.04A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.04B. Lambert · On goal · xG 0.04M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.04M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.04C. Koepke · On goal · xG 0.04D. Samberg · On goal · xG 0.04E. Salomonsson · On goal · xG 0.04K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.04K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.03J. Toews · On goal · xG 0.03J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.03A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.02G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.02C. Koepke · Missed · xG 0.02K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.02J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.02C. Koepke · On goal · xG 0.01K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.01D. Samberg · Missed · xG 0.01C. Koepke · On goal · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · Missed · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.01D. Samberg · On goal · xG 0.01E. Salomonsson · Missed · xG 0.01D. Samberg · Missed · xG 0.00
WPG2 G · 2.1 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsWPG
4.43 G
All situations
2 G2.1
3.12 G
Even strength
2 G1.5
1.31 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL81%19%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.18 – 2.11

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsWPG
35
Shots on goal
24
50%
Faceoffs
50%
1/4
Power play
0/4
15
Penalty minutes
15
14
Hits
25
7
Blocked shots
22
14
Giveaways
14
4
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8C. MakarD000000.15110—28:52
29N. MacKinnonC202-171.010003024:55
88M. NecasC011-100.39000019:20
11B. NelsonC000020.380024119:15
70S. MalinskiD011010.03010—18:56
84B. BurnsD000030.26100—17:36
27B. KulakD000+130.19022—17:29
7D. ToewsD000010.02002—17:10
91N. KadriC011020.590002216:11
92G. LandeskogL011010.110006714:30
42J. MansonD000-110.10207—14:05
25L. O'ConnorR000010.06110—13:32
18J. DruryC101+150.564009213:06
62A. LehkonenL011000.00010—12:06
13V. NichushkinR000-150.35202—12:02
17P. KellyC011+100.0030010011:49
20R. ColtonC000020.08010010:43
94J. KivirantaL000+110.10000—08:23
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39M. Blackwood(W)24222.9172.14+0.1460:00

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).