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Jets at Avalanche
NHL

Winnipeg Jets at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
Winnipeg Jets
2
Colorado Avalanche
▸3
FinalTV ALT, KTVD·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Winnipeg Jets 3-2. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Parker Kelly's goal at 1:58 of the third period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 76% to 92%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.5 to 1.5; shots on goal were WPG 22, COL 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 78% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 23 of 26 (.885); Scott Wedgewood stopped 20 of 22 (.909), 0.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Josh Manson (2 A), 2. Parker Kelly (1 G), 3. Martin Necas (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    J. Manson2 A
  2. ★★
    COL
    P. Kelly1 G
  3. ★★★
    COL
    M. Necas1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG081717222
COLCOL21101114326

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    B. Burns(5)
    J. Manson (9), J. Kiviranta (2)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    9:45
  2. COL
    M. Necas(15)
    N. MacKinnon (31), A. Lehkonen (16)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    15:05

2nd period

  1. WPG
    M. Barron(6)SHG
    A. Iafallo (7)
    backhandxG 0.24win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-2
    19:22

3rd period

  1. COL
    P. Kelly(7)
    J. Manson (10), V. Nichushkin (11)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-3
    1:58
  2. WPG
    M. Scheifele(17)PPG
    G. Nyquist (7)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +12 ptsVideo
    2-3
    3:38

Penalties

WPG 11 PIM·COL 9 PIM

1st

  • 10:55COLGabriel Landeskog · Holdingdrawn by Josh Morrissey2 min

2nd

  • 2:45COLJosh Manson · Fightingdrawn by Tanner Pearson5 min
  • 2:45WPGTanner Pearson · Fightingdrawn by Josh Manson5 min
  • 3:33WPGMark Scheifele · Holdingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min
  • 12:50WPGserved by N. Niederreiter · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 19:04WPGCole Perfetti · Trippingdrawn by Cale Makar2 min

3rd

  • 3:31COLDevon Toews · Hookingdrawn by Gabriel Vilardi2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalWPG goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Parker Kelly, 3rd 1:58 — COL 76% → 92%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Drury · Missed · xG 0.41V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.33V. Olofsson · Missed · xG 0.20P. Kelly · Goal · xG 0.18B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.17M. Necas · Goal · xG 0.16V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.15B. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.14A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.13G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.12J. Kiviranta · Missed · xG 0.12A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.11J. Kiviranta · On goal · xG 0.11B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.10B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.10B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.09A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.08B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.07M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.06C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.06G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.06G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.06V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.05C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.04D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.04M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.03R. Colton · Missed · xG 0.03V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.03C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.03M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.03M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.03N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.03D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.03S. Malinski · On goal · xG 0.02J. Manson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Manson · Missed · xG 0.01S. Malinski · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · Goal · xG 0.01S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.01V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.01V. Olofsson · Missed · xG 0.01S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.00R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.00
COL3 G · 3.5 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsCOL
1.52 G
All situations
3 G3.5
1.00 G
Even strength
3 G2.5
0.21 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.21 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG22%78%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.47 – 3.06

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsCOL
22
Shots on goal
26
51%
Faceoffs
49%
1/2
Power play
0/3
11
Penalty minutes
9
20
Hits
21
15
Blocked shots
13
14
Giveaways
12
4
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4N. PionkD000+110.04300—25:11
44J. MorrisseyD000-120.15000—23:43
55M. ScheifeleC101-120.360125523:19
54D. SambergD000+120.02130—22:27
81K. ConnorL000-130.15000—20:57
13G. VilardiC000-120.03110020:25
2D. DeMeloD000-110.01120—20:23
36M. BarronC101+120.251106016:04
64L. StanleyD000-220.02500—15:19
17A. LowryC000010.042105014:42
9A. IafalloL011+120.01000—14:10
14G. NyquistR011010.07100—13:08
62N. NiederreiterR000-200.04200—12:56
7V. NamestnikovC000-200.000102012:13
24H. FleuryD000-200.02100—11:07
19J. ToewsC000010.040205011:01
70T. PearsonL000000.2121510009:18
91C. PerfettiC000-200.03022008:37
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(L)26233.8853.08+0.0859:00

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).