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Avalanche at Jets
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at Winnipeg Jets

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
1
Winnipeg Jets
▸3
FinalTV ALT, TSN3·Canada Life Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Colorado Avalanche 3-1. The Jets scored first and never trailed. The Jets led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alex Iafallo's goal at 11:52 of the second period, which took the Jets' chances from 72% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.5 to 3.1; shots on goal were COL 29, WPG 19. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 84% of the time. Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 16 of 18 (.889), 0.7 goals below expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 28 of 29 (.966), 2.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Kyle Connor (1 G, 1 A), 2. Mark Scheifele (2 A), 3. Connor Hellebuyck (28 saves, .966).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    K. Connor1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    WPG
    M. Scheifele2 A
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    C. Hellebuyck28 saves, .966

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL0808113129
WPGWPG052717319

Scoring

4 goals

2nd period

  1. WPG
    K. Connor(30)
    M. Scheifele (50)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +16 ptsVideo
    0-1
    2:05
  2. WPG
    A. Iafallo(11)
    M. Scheifele (51), K. Connor (44)
    wristxG 0.43win prob +16 ptsVideo
    0-2
    11:52

3rd period

  1. COL
    M. Necas(31)
    N. MacKinnon (65), C. Makar (48)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +3 ptsVideo
    1-2
    18:44
  2. WPG
    C. Perfetti(9)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.68win prob +2 ptsVideo
    1-3
    19:18

Penalties

COL 2 PIM·WPG 4 PIM

1st

  • 10:12COLBrock Nelson · Roughingdrawn by Dylan DeMelo2 min
  • 19:39WPGMark Scheifele · Holdingdrawn by Devon Toews2 min

3rd

  • 0:15WPGJacob Bryson · High stickingdrawn by Parker Kelly2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalCOL goalFinal: WPG 100%

Biggest swing: Alex Iafallo, 2nd 11:52 — WPG 72% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Perfetti · Missed · xG 0.72C. Perfetti · Goal · xG 0.68A. Iafallo · Goal · xG 0.43M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.33C. Koepke · Missed · xG 0.27K. Connor · Goal · xG 0.11M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.09A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.05K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.04G. Nyquist · Missed · xG 0.04M. Barron · Missed · xG 0.04D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.03I. Rosen · On goal · xG 0.03G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.02C. Perfetti · On goal · xG 0.02M. Barron · On goal · xG 0.02A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.02C. Koepke · On goal · xG 0.02D. DeMelo · Missed · xG 0.02J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.01E. Salomonsson · Missed · xG 0.01I. Rosen · On goal · xG 0.01I. Rosen · On goal · xG 0.01C. Perfetti · On goal · xG 0.01H. Fleury · Missed · xG 0.01D. Samberg · On goal · xG 0.01M. Barron · On goal · xG 0.01J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.01D. Samberg · On goal · xG 0.01E. Salomonsson · Missed · xG 0.00
WPG3 G · 3.1 xG · 30 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsWPG
3.51 G
All situations
2 G3.1
2.21 G
Even strength
2 G1.3
1.30 G
Power play
0 G0.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL84%16%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.39 – 1.34

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsWPG
29
Shots on goal
19
57%
Faceoffs
43%
0/2
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
4
17
Hits
20
5
Blocked shots
24
13
Giveaways
16
3
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
88M. NecasC101-140.34000026:48
29N. MacKinnonC011-120.270005725:26
8C. MakarD011-130.50110—25:21
91N. KadriC000-130.491006024:20
13V. NichushkinR000070.59210—23:03
11B. NelsonC000030.640026222:35
7D. ToewsD000-110.09100—20:42
70S. MalinskiD000000.00420—16:15
27B. KulakD000010.01000—15:54
18J. DruryC000000.140005515:39
10N. RoyC000010.071003315:22
42J. MansonD000-110.04100—14:18
84B. BurnsD000-120.05000—14:06
17P. KellyC000-100.02400013:20
94J. KivirantaL000000.24000—12:13
37N. BlankenburgD000000.00100—06:43
54G. BrindleyC000-100.00010005:26
93Z. BardakovC000-110.01100003:48
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39M. Blackwood(L)18162.8891.34-0.6656:41

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).