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Bruins at Sabres
NHL

Boston Bruins at Buffalo Sabres

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Boston Bruins
▸4
Buffalo Sabres
3
Final/OTTV TNT, truTV·KeyBank Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Boston Bruins beat the Buffalo Sabres 4-3 in overtime, Pavel Zacha scoring at 0:38. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Bruins led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Pavel Zacha's goal at 0:38 of overtime, which took the Bruins' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Sabres, 2.7 to 2.3; shots on goal were BOS 31, BUF 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sabres win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Joonas Korpisalo stopped 22 of 25 (.880); Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen stopped 27 of 31 (.871), 1.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. David Pastrnak (1 G, 2 A), 2. Jason Zucker (2 G), 3. Pavel Zacha (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BOS
    D. Pastrnak1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    BUF
    J. Zucker2 G
  3. ★★★
    BOS
    P. Zacha1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
BOSBOS1111131611431
BUFBUF170122600325

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. BOS
    D. Pastrnak(29)
    F. Minten (16), M. Khusnutdinov (17)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-0
    11:07
  2. BUF
    J. Zucker(21)PPG
    T. Thompson (37), J. Quinn (29)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-1
    15:18

2nd period

  1. BOS
    V. Arvidsson(20)
    D. Pastrnak (60), N. Zadorov (18)
    backhandxG 0.07win prob +19 ptsVideo
    2-1
    9:45

3rd period

  1. BUF
    Z. Benson(10)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.22win prob +28 ptsVideo
    2-2
    5:21
  2. BUF
    J. Zucker(22)PPG
    T. Thompson (38)
    wristxG 0.23win prob +21 ptsVideo
    2-3
    5:54
  3. BOS
    C. Mittelstadt(14)
    J. Aspirot (9), P. Zacha (30)
    wristxG 0.21win prob +35 ptsVideo
    3-3
    14:00

Overtime

  1. BOS
    P. Zacha(24)
    D. Pastrnak (61), C. McAvoy (45)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +51 ptsVideo
    4-3
    0:38

Penalties

BOS 10 PIM·BUF 8 PIM

1st

  • 0:21BUFRasmus Dahlin · Cross checkingdrawn by Viktor Arvidsson2 min
  • 13:46BOSElias Lindholm · Trippingdrawn by Ryan McLeod2 min

2nd

  • 7:18BOSJoonas Korpisalo · Roughingdrawn by Beck Malenstyn2 min
  • 7:18BUFBeck Malenstyn · Slashingdrawn by Joonas Korpisalo2 min
  • 8:58BUFJosh Norris · Interferencedrawn by Charlie McAvoy2 min
  • 8:58BOSCharlie McAvoy · Holdingdrawn by Josh Norris2 min
  • 10:51BOSFraser Minten · Trippingdrawn by Logan Stanley2 min

3rd

  • 3:19BUFLogan Stanley · Trippingdrawn by Tanner Jeannot2 min
  • 5:21BOSMason Lohrei · Cross checkingdrawn by Zach Benson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BUF goalBOS goalFinal: BUF 0%

Biggest swing: Pavel Zacha, OT 0:38 — BOS 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Zucker · Goal · xG 0.23Z. Benson · Goal · xG 0.22N. Ostlund · On goal · xG 0.17J. Zucker · Goal · xG 0.16A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.14J. Norris · On goal · xG 0.13B. Malenstyn · Missed · xG 0.12J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.12B. Byram · Missed · xG 0.11A. Tuch · Missed · xG 0.10P. Krebs · Missed · xG 0.09J. Norris · Missed · xG 0.08T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.08R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.08P. Krebs · Missed · xG 0.07R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.07J. Norris · On goal · xG 0.06J. Doan · On goal · xG 0.06B. Byram · On goal · xG 0.06M. Samuelsson · On goal · xG 0.06T. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.06T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.05J. Zucker · Missed · xG 0.05P. Krebs · On goal · xG 0.05B. Malenstyn · Missed · xG 0.05R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.04C. Timmins · On goal · xG 0.04T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.03J. Doan · Missed · xG 0.03J. Zucker · Missed · xG 0.02S. Carrick · Missed · xG 0.02A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.02C. Timmins · On goal · xG 0.02J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.02A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.01O. Power · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Benson · On goal · xG 0.01T. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.00
BUF3 G · 2.7 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BOSvsBUF
2.34 G
All situations
3 G2.7
2.34 G
Even strength
1 G1.9
0.00 G
Power play
2 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BOS42%58%BUF

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.28 – 2.72

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BOSvsBUF
31
Shots on goal
25
53%
Faceoffs
47%
0/2
Power play
2/3
10
Penalty minutes
8
28
Hits
21
19
Blocked shots
13
15
Giveaways
11
3
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Boston Bruins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
73C. McAvoyD011+110.06232—24:45
88D. PastrnakR123+330.4900010021:56
93F. MintenC011+110.051124720:14
27H. LindholmD000000.00020—20:10
91N. ZadorovD011+230.09620—19:58
92M. KhusnutdinovC011+100.0003010018:00
45J. AspirotD011+120.09110—17:41
6M. LohreiD000+100.03012—17:29
26A. PeekeD000+140.06210—17:15
28E. LindholmC000030.231126016:41
39M. GeekieC000010.01110015:53
75L. ReichelL000-120.15000—14:59
18P. ZachaC112+210.163005614:33
11C. MittelstadtC101010.21110014:28
71V. ArvidssonL101+130.25300—13:32
52S. KuralyC000030.222106010:45
47M. KastelicC000020.192005009:58
84T. JeannotL000010.01310—07:32
Boston Bruins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70J. Korpisalo(W)25223.8802.72-0.2860:38

Season series

BOS leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).