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Buffalo Sabres at Boston Bruins

Final/OTTV MSG-B, NESN·TD Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Boston Bruins beat the Buffalo Sabres 4-3 in overtime, Marat Khusnutdinov scoring at 2:07. The Bruins scored first and never trailed. The Bruins led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Marat Khusnutdinov's goal at 2:07 of overtime, which took the Bruins' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Sabres, 4.2 to 2.5; shots on goal were BUF 40, BOS 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sabres win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Alex Lyon stopped 18 of 22 (.818), 1.4 goals below expected; Joonas Korpisalo stopped 37 of 40 (.925), 1.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Marat Khusnutdinov (1 G), 2. David Pastrnak (1 G, 1 A), 3. Joonas Korpisalo (37 saves, .925).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BOS
    M. Khusnutdinov1 G
  2. ★★
    BOS
    D. Pastrnak1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    BOS
    J. Korpisalo37 saves, .925

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
BUFBUF01311621100340
BOSBOS25190513422

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. BOS
    M. Geekie(9)PPG
    snapxG 0.15win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    13:07
  2. BOS
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.09win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    15:07

2nd period

  1. BUF
    R. Dahlin(1)PPG
    slapxG 0.04win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-2
    16:01
  2. BOS
    pokexG 0.53win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-3
    19:39

3rd period

  1. BUF
    A. Tuch (7), O. Power (3)
    batxG 0.27win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-3
    7:00
  2. BUF
    wristxG 0.12win prob +37 ptsVideo
    3-3
    14:25

Overtime

  1. BOS
    snapxG 0.23win prob +49 ptsVideo
    3-4
    2:07

Penalties

BUF 13 PIM·BOS 15 PIM

1st

  • 6:09BUFJosh Dunne · Slashingdrawn by Mark Kastelic2 min
  • 11:24BUFRasmus Dahlin · Trippingdrawn by Marat Khusnutdinov2 min
  • 18:02BOSMarat Khusnutdinov · Hookingdrawn by Peyton Krebs2 min

2nd

  • 0:45BOSDavid Pastrnak · Hookingdrawn by Rasmus Dahlin2 min
  • 12:40BUFMichael Kesselring · Hookingdrawn by Morgan Geekie2 min
  • 14:44BOSPavel Zacha · Hookingdrawn by Ryan McLeod2 min
  • 20:00BOSPavel Zacha · Cross checkingdrawn by Josh Dunne2 min

3rd

  • 8:03BOSMichael Eyssimont · Fightingdrawn by Peyton Krebs5 min
  • 8:03BUFPeyton Krebs · Fightingdrawn by Michael Eyssimont5 min
  • 14:25BOSserved by M. Eyssimont · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 18:43BUFJordan Greenway · Trippingdrawn by Viktor Arvidsson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BOS goalBUF goalFinal: BOS 100%

Biggest swing: Marat Khusnutdinov, OT 2:07 — BOS 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Kastelic · Goal · xG 0.53M. Khusnutdinov · Goal · xG 0.24M. Geekie · On goal · xG 0.16M. Geekie · Goal · xG 0.15V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.13E. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.11P. Zacha · Missed · xG 0.10D. Pastrnak · Goal · xG 0.09E. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.09N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.08D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.08H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.08D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.07P. Zacha · Missed · xG 0.07H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.07P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.06J. Aspirot · Missed · xG 0.06M. Kastelic · Missed · xG 0.05C. Mittelstadt · On goal · xG 0.05T. Jeannot · Missed · xG 0.04C. Mittelstadt · Missed · xG 0.03H. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.02V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.02H. Jokiharju · Missed · xG 0.02T. Jeannot · On goal · xG 0.02H. Jokiharju · On goal · xG 0.02F. Minten · On goal · xG 0.02H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.01S. Kuraly · On goal · xG 0.01V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.01M. Eyssimont · On goal · xG 0.01F. Minten · Missed · xG 0.01H. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.01C. McAvoy · Missed · xG 0.01A. Peeke · Missed · xG 0.01H. Jokiharju · Missed · xG 0.00M. Khusnutdinov · On goal · xG 0.00D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.00D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.00C. McAvoy · Missed · xG 0.00
BOS4 G · 2.5 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BUFvsBOS
4.23 G
All situations
4 G2.5
2.92 G
Even strength
3 G1.8
1.31 G
Power play
1 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 101 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BUF73%27%BOS

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.04 – 2.53

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BUFvsBOS
40
Shots on goal
22
43%
Faceoffs
57%
1/5
Power play
1/4
13
Penalty minutes
15
25
Hits
12
19
Blocked shots
7
20
Giveaways
20
5
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Buffalo Sabres skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
26R. DahlinD112040.25132—25:49
23M. SamuelssonD000000.16130—23:49
72T. ThompsonC011-170.531006019:51
4B. ByramD000020.14240—19:50
89A. TuchR112+140.51100—19:19
20J.KulichC000010.031004318:05
25O. PowerD011020.06110—18:02
91J. DoanR101+150.74010—16:38
6Z. BensonL011010.1901010016:18
21C. TimminsD000020.02100—15:56
17J. ZuckerL000-160.862005015:28
12J. GreenwayL000-130.243025015:22
8M. KesselringD000-110.12122—14:50
71R. McLeodC000+100.010003614:44
22J. QuinnR000-200.05110—14:36
19P. KrebsC000010.083155711:33
29B. MalenstynL000010.08620—11:31
44J. DunneC000000.09002009:01
Buffalo Sabres goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34A. Lyon(O)22184.8182.55-1.4561:33

Season series

BOS leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).