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Sabres at Bruins
NHL

Buffalo Sabres at Boston Bruins

NHL scoreboard
Buffalo Sabres
1
Boston Bruins
▸3
FinalTV MSG-B, NESN·TD Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Boston Bruins beat the Buffalo Sabres 3-1. The Bruins scored first and never trailed. The Bruins led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mark Kastelic's goal at 10:21 of the second period, which took the Bruins' chances from 72% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Bruins, 4.5 to 1.9; shots on goal were BUF 22, BOS 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Alex Lyon stopped 28 of 30 (.933), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Jeremy Swayman stopped 21 of 22 (.955), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jeremy Swayman (21 saves, .955), 2. Pavel Zacha (1 G), 3. Mark Kastelic (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BOS
    J. Swayman21 saves, .955
  2. ★★
    BOS
    P. Zacha1 G
  3. ★★★
    BOS
    M. Kastelic1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BUFBUF0201317122
BOSBOS1171915331

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. BOS
    P. Zacha(1)
    J. Harris (1), A. Peeke (1)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-1
    15:48

2nd period

  1. BOS
    M. Kastelic(1)
    C. McAvoy (1)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    10:21

3rd period

  1. BUF
    J. Zucker(1)
    M. Samuelsson (1)
    snapxG 0.04win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-2
    9:46
  2. BOS
    S. Kuraly(1)EN
    E. Lindholm (2), M. Kastelic (1)
    tip-inxG 0.91win prob +5 ptsVideo
    1-3
    19:57

Penalties

BUF 8 PIM·BOS 8 PIM

1st

  • 10:41BUFConor Timmins · Hookingdrawn by David Pastrnak2 min
  • 16:22BUFJiri Kulich · Trippingdrawn by Charlie McAvoy2 min

2nd

  • 0:43BOSMorgan Geekie · Hookingdrawn by Rasmus Dahlin2 min
  • 5:38BOSFraser Minten · Trippingdrawn by Tage Thompson2 min
  • 7:39BUFOwen Power · Hookingdrawn by Mark Kastelic2 min
  • 17:50BUFTage Thompson · Interferencedrawn by Henri Jokiharju2 min
  • 18:46BOSDavid Pastrnak · Interferencedrawn by Alex Tuch2 min

3rd

  • 10:07BOSCharlie McAvoy · Trippingdrawn by Josh Doan2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BOS goalBUF goalFinal: BOS 100%

Biggest swing: Mark Kastelic, 2nd 10:21 — BOS 72% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Kuraly · Goal · xG 0.91D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.67M. Khusnutdinov · On goal · xG 0.25E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.24M. Geekie · On goal · xG 0.22S. Kuraly · On goal · xG 0.20T. Jeannot · On goal · xG 0.20D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.17D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.17E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.17C. Mittelstadt · On goal · xG 0.13P. Zacha · Goal · xG 0.13D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.09F. Minten · On goal · xG 0.08D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.07V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.07V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.07P. Zacha · Missed · xG 0.04F. Minten · On goal · xG 0.04V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.04D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.04S. Kuraly · On goal · xG 0.04H. Jokiharju · On goal · xG 0.03H. Jokiharju · Missed · xG 0.03D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.03D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.03D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.03M. Kastelic · Missed · xG 0.03V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.03M. Lohrei · On goal · xG 0.03M. Lohrei · On goal · xG 0.02M. Kastelic · Goal · xG 0.02M. Eyssimont · Missed · xG 0.02A. Peeke · Missed · xG 0.02A. Peeke · Missed · xG 0.01V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.01M. Kastelic · Missed · xG 0.01J. Harris · Missed · xG 0.01A. Peeke · Missed · xG 0.01M. Lohrei · Missed · xG 0.01C. Mittelstadt · On goal · xG 0.01E. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.01C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.00M. Lohrei · Missed · xG 0.00A. Peeke · On goal · xG 0.00D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.00A. Peeke · Missed · xG 0.00A. Peeke · On goal · xG 0.00F. Minten · On goal · xG 0.00H. Jokiharju · On goal · xG 0.00
BOS3 G · 4.5 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BUFvsBOS
1.91 G
All situations
2 G4.5
0.71 G
Even strength
2 G1.5
1.10 G
Power play
0 G1.2
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BUF31%69%BOS

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.85 – 2.87

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BUFvsBOS
22
Shots on goal
31
46%
Faceoffs
54%
0/4
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
8
32
Hits
25
16
Blocked shots
17
18
Giveaways
15
1
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Buffalo Sabres skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
26R. DahlinD000-100.01300—27:15
4B. ByramD000-100.01110—24:44
25O. PowerD000-120.17112—22:07
72T. ThompsonC000-280.3860210021:46
89A. TuchR000-110.08010—20:52
17J. ZuckerL101-130.23310—19:29
71R. McLeodC000000.100103319:08
20J.KulichC000-210.071224718:54
23M. SamuelssonD011000.01230—16:28
91J. DoanR000030.60100—16:00
21C. TimminsD000-100.00032—15:36
22J. QuinnR000-110.08000—14:44
19P. KrebsC000030.093002914:11
15J. DanforthR000000.013107113:27
78J. BrysonD000000.01110—09:27
29B. MalenstynL000000.00400—07:50
48T. KozakC000000.002105707:29
55M. GeertsenL000000.00100—04:48
Buffalo Sabres goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34A. Lyon(L)30282.9332.89+0.8957:45

Season series

BOS leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).