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Bruins at Sabres
NHL

Boston Bruins at Buffalo Sabres

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Boston Bruins
1
Buffalo Sabres
▸4
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Recap

written from the game data

The Buffalo Sabres beat the Boston Bruins 4-1. The Bruins scored first; the Sabres answered. The Sabres led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Peyton Krebs's goal at 3:12 of the second period, which took the Sabres' chances from 53% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Sabres, 3.3 to 2.2; shots on goal were BOS 23, BUF 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sabres win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Joonas Korpisalo stopped 30 of 33 (.909), 0.7 goals below expected; Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen stopped 22 of 23 (.957), 1.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Mattias Samuelsson (1 G, 2 A), 2. Ryan McLeod (1 G), 3. Peyton Krebs (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BUF
    M. Samuelsson1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    BUF
    R. McLeod1 G
  3. ★★★
    BUF
    P. Krebs1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BOSBOS1903011123
BUFBUF01331318434

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. BOS
    D. Pastrnak(15)
    M. Geekie (15)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-0
    11:56

2nd period

  1. BUF
    R. McLeod(7)
    J. Quinn (13), M. Samuelsson (11)
    snapxG 0.06win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-1
    1:39
  2. BUF
    P. Krebs(2)
    T. Thompson (15), M. Samuelsson (12)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-2
    3:12
  3. BUF
    M. Samuelsson(6)
    J. Quinn (14), B. Byram (10)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-3
    7:54

3rd period

  1. BUF
    J. Norris(5)EN
    P. Krebs (11), T. Thompson (16)
    wristxG 0.68Video
    1-4
    19:46

Penalties

BOS 6 PIM·BUF 2 PIM

2nd

  • 18:27BOSViktor Arvidsson · High sticking double minordrawn by Mattias Samuelsson4 min

3rd

  • 7:01BOSSean Kuraly · Hookingdrawn by Josh Doan2 min
  • 13:40BUFMichael Kesselring · Holdingdrawn by Pavel Zacha2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BUF goalBOS goalFinal: BUF 100%

Biggest swing: Peyton Krebs, 2nd 3:12 — BUF 53% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Norris · Goal · xG 0.68P. Krebs · Missed · xG 0.32A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.19N. Ostlund · On goal · xG 0.15O. Power · On goal · xG 0.14P. Krebs · Goal · xG 0.12N. Ostlund · On goal · xG 0.12J. Doan · On goal · xG 0.11A. Tuch · Missed · xG 0.11J. Norris · Missed · xG 0.11A. Tuch · Missed · xG 0.10T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.10O. Power · On goal · xG 0.09J. Dunne · Missed · xG 0.09N. Ostlund · On goal · xG 0.08B. Byram · On goal · xG 0.07J. Quinn · On goal · xG 0.07R. McLeod · Goal · xG 0.06Z. Benson · Missed · xG 0.06T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.05J. Norris · On goal · xG 0.05J. Quinn · On goal · xG 0.05O. Power · On goal · xG 0.04J. Doan · On goal · xG 0.04J. Dunne · On goal · xG 0.04M. Samuelsson · Goal · xG 0.03Z. Benson · Missed · xG 0.03T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.02T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Doan · Missed · xG 0.02M. Kesselring · On goal · xG 0.02J. Quinn · Missed · xG 0.02M. Kesselring · On goal · xG 0.01B. Byram · Missed · xG 0.01M. Samuelsson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Kesselring · On goal · xG 0.01O. Power · On goal · xG 0.01M. Kesselring · On goal · xG 0.01O. Power · On goal · xG 0.01M. Kesselring · On goal · xG 0.01J. Greenway · On goal · xG 0.01J. Dunne · On goal · xG 0.01R. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.01A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.00
BUF4 G · 3.3 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BOSvsBUF
2.21 G
All situations
3 G3.3
1.31 G
Even strength
3 G1.9
0.90 G
Power play
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BOS47%53%BUF

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.14 – 2.28

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BOSvsBUF
23
Shots on goal
34
58%
Faceoffs
42%
0/1
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
27
Hits
18
12
Blocked shots
13
17
Giveaways
19
4
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Boston Bruins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
73C. McAvoyD000-210.25250—24:22
27H. LindholmD000-130.11020—23:15
88D. PastrnakR101-110.31000—20:33
39M. GeekieC011-110.13100020:28
91N. ZadorovD000-100.00110—20:02
26A. PeekeD000-100.00100—19:43
18P. ZachaC000-130.302005819:32
28E. LindholmC000-120.191006718:27
11C. MittelstadtC000-200.13100016:42
71V. ArvidssonL000010.21104—15:50
6M. LohreiD000010.01110—15:25
74V. KolyachonokD000010.04000—13:36
47M. KastelicC000020.024008012:50
93F. MintenC000000.006004312:45
92M. KhusnutdinovC000-220.19010012:36
52S. KuralyC000-230.202123311:59
21A. SteevesC000-110.05400010:02
81M. EyssimontC000010.05010008:58
Boston Bruins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70J. Korpisalo(L)33303.9092.28-0.7256:55

Season series

BOS leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).