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Predators at Blackhawks
NHL

Nashville Predators at Chicago Blackhawks

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
▸3
Chicago Blackhawks
2
Final/OTTV FDSNSO, CHSN·United Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Chicago Blackhawks 3-2 in overtime, Filip Forsberg scoring at 1:05. The Blackhawks scored first; the Predators answered. The Blackhawks led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Filip Forsberg's goal at 1:05 of overtime, which took the Predators' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 3.9 to 3.5; shots on goal were NSH 33, CHI 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Juuse Saros stopped 27 of 29 (.931), 1.4 goals saved above expected; Spencer Knight stopped 30 of 33 (.909), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Filip Forsberg (2 G, 1 A), 2. Connor Bedard (1 G), 3. Steven Stamkos (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    F. Forsberg2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CHI
    C. Bedard1 G
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    S. Stamkos1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
NSHNSH091141812333
CHICHI0102120700229

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. CHI
    N. Lardis(6)
    T. Bertuzzi (22), A. Vlasic (16)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +16 ptsVideo
    0-1
    4:34
  2. NSH
    F. Forsberg(31)
    J. Marchessault (14)
    snapxG 0.26win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-1
    6:31
  3. CHI
    C. Bedard(29)
    R. Greene (17)
    wristxG 0.33win prob +20 ptsVideo
    1-2
    13:57

3rd period

  1. NSH
    S. Stamkos(34)
    F. Forsberg (30), R. Josi (36)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +29 ptsVideo
    2-2
    9:43

Overtime

  1. NSH
    F. Forsberg(32)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.21win prob +51 ptsVideo
    3-2
    1:05

Penalties

NSH 6 PIM·CHI 6 PIM

1st

  • 15:14NSHZachary L'Heureux · Hookingdrawn by Wyatt Kaiser2 min

2nd

  • 10:03NSHRoman Josi · Hookingdrawn by Connor Bedard2 min
  • 15:12CHILouis Crevier · Holdingdrawn by Ryan O'Reilly2 min

3rd

  • 1:31CHIWyatt Kaiser · Roughingdrawn by Zachary L'Heureux2 min
  • 7:32CHIConnor Bedard · High stickingdrawn by Steven Stamkos2 min
  • 13:58NSHNicolas Hague · Trippingdrawn by Connor Bedard2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CHI goalNSH goalFinal: CHI 0%

Biggest swing: Filip Forsberg, OT 1:05 — NSH 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Bedard · Goal · xG 0.33C. Bedard · Missed · xG 0.28A. Burakovsky · Missed · xG 0.23N. Lardis · Goal · xG 0.17S. Lafferty · On goal · xG 0.16L. Crevier · On goal · xG 0.15T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.14R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.14N. Lardis · On goal · xG 0.13A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.13A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.12A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.12I. Mikheyev · On goal · xG 0.11F. Nazar · Missed · xG 0.11C. Bedard · Missed · xG 0.10A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.09L. Slaggert · On goal · xG 0.08A. Levshunov · On goal · xG 0.08T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.07D. Toninato · Missed · xG 0.07R. Greene · Missed · xG 0.07C. Bedard · On goal · xG 0.07C. Bedard · On goal · xG 0.05R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.05F. Nazar · On goal · xG 0.04R. Greene · On goal · xG 0.04D. Toninato · Missed · xG 0.03A. Levshunov · Missed · xG 0.03L. Crevier · On goal · xG 0.03A. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.03S. Rinzel · Missed · xG 0.02S. Rinzel · Missed · xG 0.02D. Toninato · Missed · xG 0.02S. Rinzel · Missed · xG 0.02T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.02F. Nazar · On goal · xG 0.02W. Kaiser · Missed · xG 0.02D. Toninato · On goal · xG 0.02L. Crevier · On goal · xG 0.01C. Bedard · Missed · xG 0.01L. Crevier · On goal · xG 0.01S. Rinzel · On goal · xG 0.01A. Levshunov · Missed · xG 0.01A. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.00
CHI2 G · 3.5 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsCHI
3.93 G
All situations
2 G3.5
2.93 G
Even strength
2 G3.0
1.00 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH57%43%CHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.87 – 3.44

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsCHI
33
Shots on goal
29
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/3
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
29
Hits
19
10
Blocked shots
5
17
Giveaways
16
8
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
59R. JosiD011000.04022—27:27
76B. SkjeiD000+110.08000—24:31
90R. O'ReillyC000010.110006721:15
41N. HagueD000-120.21102—20:15
56E. HaulaL000+140.502005020:06
9F. ForsbergL213+230.59310—18:54
81J. MarchessaultR011+120.10110—17:05
48N. PerbixD000010.05110—16:23
91S. StamkosC101040.513008016:04
77L. EvangelistaR000030.18210—15:25
83A. WilsbyD000000.02100—15:22
68Z. L'HeureuxL000050.60602—15:12
17T. JostC000010.02000015:05
85R. UfkoD000+100.11120—13:17
71M. WoodR000030.460104312:45
40F. SvechkovC000000.002001711:49
49R. SchaeferL000030.37410—08:25
25J. KemellR000-200.01200—07:59
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74J. Saros(W)29272.9313.45+1.4561:01

Season series

NSH leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).