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Predators at Blackhawks
NHL

Nashville Predators at Chicago Blackhawks

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
▸4
Chicago Blackhawks
3
FinalTV FDSNSO, CHSN·United Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Chicago Blackhawks 4-3. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Predators led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Luke Evangelista's goal at 16:27 of the second period, which took the Predators' chances from 47% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 3.2 to 2.8; shots on goal were NSH 29, CHI 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blackhawks win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Juuse Saros stopped 24 of 27 (.889); Arvid Soderblom stopped 25 of 29 (.862), 1.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Steven Stamkos (1 G, 1 A), 2. Ryan O'Reilly (1 G, 1 A), 3. Luke Evangelista (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    S. Stamkos1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NSH
    R. O'Reilly1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    L. Evangelista1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NSHNSH01031118429
CHICHI11116110327

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. CHI
    R. Donato(8)
    S. Rinzel (7), A. Burakovsky (9)
    snapxG 0.04win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-1
    19:10

2nd period

  1. NSH
    M. Wood(7)
    N. Hague (3)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-1
    1:46
  2. NSH
    S. Stamkos(6)
    N. Blankenburg (7), F. Svechkov (2)
    backhandxG 0.45win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-1
    7:18
  3. CHI
    R. Greene(3)PPG
    O. Moore (4)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +21 ptsVideo
    2-2
    15:14
  4. NSH
    L. Evangelista(3)
    S. Stamkos (3), R. O'Reilly (10)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +22 ptsVideo
    3-2
    16:27

3rd period

  1. NSH
    R. O'Reilly(8)
    L. Evangelista (12), N. Perbix (2)
    wristxG 0.19win prob +16 ptsVideo
    4-2
    7:15
  2. CHI
    T. Teravainen(6)
    W. Kaiser (4), F. Nazar (11)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +14 ptsVideo
    4-3
    10:28

Penalties

NSH 10 PIM·CHI 6 PIM

1st

  • 12:55NSHNick Perbix · Holding the stickdrawn by Ryan Greene2 min
  • 15:07NSHBrady Skjei · High sticking double minordrawn by Ryan Donato4 min

2nd

  • 8:44CHIArtyom Levshunov · Interferencedrawn by Matthew Wood2 min
  • 13:25NSHOzzy Wiesblatt · Kneeingdrawn by Oliver Moore2 min
  • 13:25NSHMichael McCarron · Roughingdrawn by Colton Dach2 min
  • 13:25CHIColton Dach · Roughingdrawn by Michael McCarron2 min

3rd

  • 16:31CHISam Rinzel · Interferencedrawn by Filip Forsberg2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CHI goalNSH goalFinal: CHI 0%

Biggest swing: Luke Evangelista, 2nd 16:27 — NSH 47% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Burakovsky · Missed · xG 0.20R. Greene · Goal · xG 0.18A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.16C. Bedard · On goal · xG 0.14F. Nazar · Missed · xG 0.14R. Donato · Missed · xG 0.13C. Bedard · On goal · xG 0.13R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.13F. Nazar · Missed · xG 0.12T. Teravainen · Goal · xG 0.12R. Greene · On goal · xG 0.10C. Bedard · Missed · xG 0.10I. Mikheyev · Missed · xG 0.09R. Greene · On goal · xG 0.09R. Greene · Missed · xG 0.08C. Dach · On goal · xG 0.07J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.07C. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.07W. Kaiser · On goal · xG 0.07F. Nazar · On goal · xG 0.07R. Greene · Missed · xG 0.06O. Moore · Missed · xG 0.06R. Greene · Missed · xG 0.05R. Donato · Goal · xG 0.04C. Bedard · On goal · xG 0.04T. Bertuzzi · Missed · xG 0.04R. Donato · Missed · xG 0.03S. Rinzel · Missed · xG 0.03O. Moore · On goal · xG 0.02T. Bertuzzi · Missed · xG 0.02F. Nazar · On goal · xG 0.02C. Bedard · On goal · xG 0.02R. Greene · Missed · xG 0.02R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.02T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.02R. Greene · On goal · xG 0.01A. Levshunov · Missed · xG 0.01J. Dickinson · Missed · xG 0.01C. Dach · On goal · xG 0.01W. Kaiser · On goal · xG 0.01S. Rinzel · Missed · xG 0.01S. Rinzel · Missed · xG 0.01A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.01S. Rinzel · On goal · xG 0.01C. Bedard · On goal · xG 0.01S. Rinzel · Missed · xG 0.00C. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.00
CHI3 G · 2.8 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsCHI
3.24 G
All situations
3 G2.8
2.44 G
Even strength
2 G1.7
0.20 G
Power play
1 G1.1
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH47%53%CHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.66 – 2.82

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsCHI
29
Shots on goal
27
63%
Faceoffs
37%
0/2
Power play
1/4
10
Penalty minutes
6
21
Hits
15
20
Blocked shots
13
11
Giveaways
16
6
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
48N. PerbixD011+100.01012—24:31
76B. SkjeiD000+130.11234—24:07
59R. JosiD000000.01110—22:42
41N. HagueD011+120.04210—21:21
90R. O'ReillyC112+210.230107119:04
56E. HaulaL000+110.203106718:01
37N. BlankenburgD011030.15030—16:19
47M. McCarronC000010.015226016:18
77L. EvangelistaR112+330.73000—15:36
91S. StamkosC112+320.780002915:24
9F. ForsbergL000-140.15000—15:15
58M. BuntingL000+130.22110—14:42
24S. StastneyD000010.00110—12:52
17T. JostC000-100.0000010012:07
71M. WoodR101+110.07120—12:00
89O. WiesblattC000020.28102011:09
40F. SvechkovC011-110.0411010010:34
49R. SchaeferL000-110.17320—10:22
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74J. Saros(W)27243.8892.83-0.1759:47

Season series

NSH leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).