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Blackhawks at Predators
NHL

Chicago Blackhawks at Nashville Predators

FinalTV FDSNSO, CHSN·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Chicago Blackhawks beat the Nashville Predators 3-0. The Blackhawks scored first and never trailed. The Blackhawks led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tyler Bertuzzi's goal at 6:41 of the second period, which took the Blackhawks' chances from 49% to 65%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 3.0 to 2.8; shots on goal were CHI 21, NSH 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Drew Commesso stopped 36 of 36 (1.000), 3.0 goals saved above expected; Juuse Saros stopped 18 of 20 (.900). Three stars: 1. Drew Commesso (36 saves, 1.000), 2. Connor Bedard (2 A), 3. Nick Lardis (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CHI
    D. Commesso36 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    CHI
    C. Bedard2 A
  3. ★★★
    CHI
    N. Lardis1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CHICHI071925321
NSHNSH09012015036

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. CHI
    wristxG 0.15win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-0
    6:41

3rd period

  1. CHI
    wristxG 0.11win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-0
    11:01
  2. CHI
    backhandxG 0.63Video
    3-0
    18:32

Penalties

CHI 8 PIM·NSH 8 PIM

1st

  • 12:17NSHErik Haula · Slashingdrawn by Ryan Donato2 min

2nd

  • 5:04NSHRoman Josi · Holdingdrawn by Teuvo Teravainen2 min
  • 8:12CHIWyatt Kaiser · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Michael Bunting2 min
  • 8:12NSHMichael Bunting · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Donato2 min
  • 8:12CHIRyan Donato · Roughingdrawn by Michael Bunting2 min
  • 11:20CHIKevin Korchinski · Interferencedrawn by Reid Schaefer2 min

3rd

  • 3:48NSHCole Smith · Holdingdrawn by Jason Dickinson2 min
  • 8:02CHIAndre Burakovsky · Trippingdrawn by Michael Bunting2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalCHI goalFinal: NSH 0%

Biggest swing: Tyler Bertuzzi, 2nd 6:41 — CHI 49% → 65%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.18L. Evangelista · Missed · xG 0.17F. Svechkov · Missed · xG 0.16B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.16L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.15E. Haula · Missed · xG 0.14M. Wood · Missed · xG 0.11L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.10T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.09A. Wilsby · On goal · xG 0.09F. Svechkov · Missed · xG 0.08L. Evangelista · Missed · xG 0.08S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.08C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.08R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.07F. Svechkov · On goal · xG 0.07S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.07L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.07R. O'Reilly · Missed · xG 0.07C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.07M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.07S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.06F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.06L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.06R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.06S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.05L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.05E. Haula · Missed · xG 0.04R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.04T. Jost · Missed · xG 0.04T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.04F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.04R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.04L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.03R. O'Reilly · Missed · xG 0.03T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.03M. McCarron · On goal · xG 0.03N. Perbix · Missed · xG 0.03N. Hague · On goal · xG 0.03L. Evangelista · Missed · xG 0.02T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.02R. Schaefer · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hague · On goal · xG 0.02N. Blankenburg · Missed · xG 0.02M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.01M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.01A. Wilsby · On goal · xG 0.01T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.01R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.01N. Blankenburg · Missed · xG 0.00E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.00N. Perbix · On goal · xG 0.00
NSH0 G · 3.0 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsNSH
2.82 G
All situations
0 G3.0
1.41 G
Even strength
0 G2.0
0.81 G
Power play
0 G1.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI34%66%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.09 – 3.01

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsNSH
21
Shots on goal
36
45%
Faceoffs
55%
1/3
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
8
18
Hits
20
8
Blocked shots
8
14
Giveaways
13
2
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55A. LevshunovD011+100.01410—23:32
5C. MurphyD000010.06200—21:01
98C. BedardC022+230.35000020:54
72A. VlasicD000020.03000—20:32
20R. GreeneC101+210.631003117:56
44W. KaiserD000+100.00122—17:55
48M. GrzelcykD000+100.01010—17:46
28A. BurakovskyL000010.05102—17:32
95I. MikheyevR000010.01110—16:49
86T. TeravainenC000020.200002516:09
16J. DickinsonC000010.061106715:57
59T. BertuzziL112+130.71000—15:50
14K. KorchinskiD011+120.14012—14:04
76N. LardisL101+120.20010—12:44
8R. DonatoC000000.00202012:15
17N. FolignoL000000.002003611:29
11O. MooreC000010.201003611:21
84L. SlaggertL000010.10200—10:14
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33D. Commesso(W)363601.0003.04+3.0460:00

Season series

NSH leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).