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Blackhawks at Predators
NHL

Chicago Blackhawks at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
Chicago Blackhawks
2
Nashville Predators
▸4
FinalTV FDSNSO, CHSN·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Chicago Blackhawks 4-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ryan O'Reilly's goal at 16:44 of the third period, which took the Predators' chances from 52% to 93%. Expected goals were close — CHI 2.7, NSH 2.8; shots on goal were CHI 23, NSH 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blackhawks win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Spencer Knight stopped 22 of 25 (.880), 0.6 goals below expected; Justus Annunen stopped 21 of 23 (.913), 0.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Ryan O'Reilly (1 G), 2. Filip Forsberg (1 G), 3. Matthew Wood (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    R. O'Reilly1 G
  2. ★★
    NSH
    F. Forsberg1 G
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    M. Wood1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CHICHI091519223
NSHNSH1801236426

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    F. Forsberg(25)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.11win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-1
    13:50

2nd period

  1. CHI
    C. Bedard(24)
    R. Greene (14)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-1
    4:13

3rd period

  1. CHI
    T. Bertuzzi(26)PPG
    T. Teravainen (14), S. Rinzel (8)
    snapxG 0.43win prob +25 ptsVideo
    2-1
    3:16
  2. NSH
    M. Wood(10)PPG
    E. Haula (21)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +28 ptsVideo
    2-2
    7:12
  3. NSH
    R. O'Reilly(21)
    R. Josi (29)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +41 ptsVideo
    2-3
    16:44
  4. NSH
    S. Stamkos(29)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.39win prob +2 ptsVideo
    2-4
    19:12

Penalties

CHI 4 PIM·NSH 12 PIM

1st

  • 3:26NSHNick Perbix · High stickingdrawn by Ryan Greene2 min
  • 6:00NSHErik Haula · High sticking double minordrawn by Ryan Donato4 min

3rd

  • 1:25NSHAdam Wilsby · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 5:17CHINick Foligno · Interferencedrawn by Ryan O'Reilly2 min
  • 12:58NSHMichael McCarron · Roughingdrawn by Sam Rinzel2 min
  • 12:58CHISam Rinzel · Roughingdrawn by Michael McCarron2 min
  • 12:58NSHMichael McCarron · Trippingdrawn by Connor Murphy2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalCHI goalFinal: NSH 100%

Biggest swing: Ryan O'Reilly, 3rd 16:44 — NSH 52% → 93%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Stamkos · Goal · xG 0.39F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.37R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.28S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.23R. O'Reilly · Goal · xG 0.18R. O'Reilly · Missed · xG 0.17L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.12F. Forsberg · Goal · xG 0.11M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.11R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.09M. Wood · Goal · xG 0.08L. Evangelista · Missed · xG 0.07S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.07M. McCarron · On goal · xG 0.06J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.05S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.04L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.04T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.03S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.03F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.03F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.03L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.03N. Perbix · Missed · xG 0.02M. McCarron · On goal · xG 0.02M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hague · Missed · xG 0.02F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.02N. Perbix · Missed · xG 0.02N. Blankenburg · On goal · xG 0.01B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.01A. Wilsby · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hague · Missed · xG 0.01R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.01N. Hague · On goal · xG 0.00J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.00
NSH4 G · 2.8 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsNSH
2.72 G
All situations
3 G2.8
1.21 G
Even strength
2 G2.1
1.51 G
Power play
1 G0.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 66 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI57%43%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.69 – 2.30

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsNSH
23
Shots on goal
26
57%
Faceoffs
43%
1/5
Power play
1/1
4
Penalty minutes
12
15
Hits
26
6
Blocked shots
12
15
Giveaways
13
2
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72A. VlasicD000000.00010—22:39
98C. BedardC101050.700005021:29
6S. RinzelD011-130.23012—20:53
86T. TeravainenC011-220.40000019:49
91F. NazarC000-240.280005018:13
59T. BertuzziL101-230.67000—17:56
55A. LevshunovD000-100.00210—17:47
46L. CrevierD000010.02110—17:11
28A. BurakovskyL000+110.12000—17:08
20R. GreeneC011+110.120005016:44
48M. GrzelcykD000-210.02020—16:16
5C. MurphyD000010.06300—15:12
17N. FolignoL000-110.083027114:55
95I. MikheyevR000000.00000—14:07
16J. DickinsonC000000.003006713:44
11O. MooreC000-100.00000012:54
8R. DonatoC000000.00200011:55
84L. SlaggertL000-100.00100—09:58
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30S. Knight(L)25223.8802.42-0.5859:15

Season series

NSH leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).