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Canadiens at Senators
NHL

Montréal Canadiens at Ottawa Senators

NHL scoreboard
Montréal Canadiens
▸3
Ottawa Senators
2
FinalTV SN, RDS·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Ottawa Senators 3-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ivan Demidov's goal at 12:40 of the third period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 48% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 3.9 to 3.1; shots on goal were MTL 23, OTT 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Jacob Fowler stopped 32 of 34 (.941), 1.1 goals saved above expected; Linus Ullmark stopped 20 of 23 (.870). Three stars: 1. Jacob Fowler (32 saves, .941), 2. Drake Batherson (2 G), 3. Ivan Demidov (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    J. Fowler32 saves, .941
  2. ★★
    OTT
    D. Batherson2 G
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    I. Demidov1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MTLMTL191915323
OTTOTT211010013234

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    J. Slafkovský(24)PPG
    I. Demidov (37), N. Suzuki (54)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +9 ptsVideo
    1-0
    1:16
  2. OTT
    D. Batherson(24)PPG
    B. Tkachuk (27), T. Stützle (39)
    deflectedxG 0.50win prob +10 ptsVideo
    1-1
    16:42
  3. OTT
    D. Batherson(25)
    T. Stützle (40), C. Giroux (29)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    18:41

2nd period

  1. MTL
    A. Texier(8)
    L. Hutson (55), J. Evans (10)
    wrap-aroundxG 0.10win prob +21 ptsVideo
    2-2
    17:29

3rd period

  1. MTL
    I. Demidov(14)
    A. Newhook (10), K. Guhle (6)
    wristxG 0.39win prob +36 ptsVideo
    3-2
    12:40

Penalties

MTL 8 PIM·OTT 6 PIM

1st

  • 0:30OTTDylan Cozens · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Jacob Fowler2 min
  • 6:19MTLLane Hutson · Trippingdrawn by Fabian Zetterlund2 min
  • 16:09MTLJosh Anderson · Roughingdrawn by Nikolas Matinpalo2 min

2nd

  • 5:02MTLLane Hutson · Interferencedrawn by Michael Amadio2 min
  • 6:40OTTShane Pinto · Trippingdrawn by Kaiden Guhle2 min

3rd

  • 4:59OTTDrake Batherson · Holdingdrawn by Ivan Demidov2 min
  • 4:59MTLIvan Demidov · High stickingdrawn by Drake Batherson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalMTL goalFinal: OTT 0%

Biggest swing: Ivan Demidov, 3rd 12:40 — MTL 48% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Batherson · Goal · xG 0.50D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.26M. Amadio · On goal · xG 0.21C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.17D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.12D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.12M. Amadio · On goal · xG 0.11D. Batherson · Goal · xG 0.11D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.10W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.10B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.10T. Stützle · Missed · xG 0.09T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.08S. Pinto · Missed · xG 0.08F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.07D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.06D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.06B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.06C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.05J. Spence · Missed · xG 0.04T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.04F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.04C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.04L. Eller · Missed · xG 0.03C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.03B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.03T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.03W. Foegele · Missed · xG 0.03T. Kleven · On goal · xG 0.03C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.03S. Pinto · On goal · xG 0.03D. Cozens · Missed · xG 0.02D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.02T. Kleven · Missed · xG 0.02R. Greig · Missed · xG 0.02B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.02T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.02C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.02T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.02T. Kleven · On goal · xG 0.02B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.02D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.02S. Pinto · On goal · xG 0.01R. Greig · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT2 G · 3.1 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsOTT
3.93 G
All situations
2 G3.1
2.62 G
Even strength
1 G1.9
0.21 G
Power play
1 G1.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL45%55%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.78 – 3.07

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsOTT
23
Shots on goal
34
49%
Faceoffs
51%
1/2
Power play
1/3
8
Penalty minutes
6
31
Hits
33
25
Blocked shots
11
24
Giveaways
9
5
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
53N. DobsonD000020.13110—23:39
48L. HutsonD011+120.07034—23:30
21K. GuhleD011-110.26130—23:19
8M. MathesonD000020.22220—22:59
14N. SuzukiC011020.110105019:45
20J. SlafkovskýL101011.31130—19:43
71J. EvansC011+100.007105617:21
45A. CarrierD000000.00240—15:34
24P. DanaultC000000.002105715:33
85A. TexierL101+120.12410—14:49
17J. AndersonR000010.34222—14:30
77K. DachC000020.24120014:14
91O. KapanenC000000.070102013:34
15A. NewhookC011020.151005013:04
93I. DemidovR112030.61002—12:50
76Z. BolducR000+100.23400—11:03
47J. StrubleD000+220.06300—09:12
11B. GallagherR000010.01000—08:48
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32J. Fowler(W)34322.9413.09+1.0960:00

Season series

MTL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).