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Canadiens at Senators
NHL

Montréal Canadiens at Ottawa Senators

NHL scoreboard
Montréal Canadiens
▸6
Ottawa Senators
5
Final/OTTV SNE, TVAS·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Ottawa Senators 6-5 in overtime, Cole Caufield scoring at 0:33. The Canadiens came back from two goals down. The Senators led 4-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Cole Caufield's goal at 0:33 of overtime, which took the Canadiens' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 4.1 to 2.5; shots on goal were MTL 19, OTT 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 74% of the time. Samuel Montembeault stopped 29 of 34 (.853), 0.9 goals below expected; Leevi Meriläinen stopped 13 of 19 (.684), 3.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Cole Caufield (2 G, 1 A), 2. Juraj Slafkovský (2 G), 3. Jake Sanderson (1 G, 3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    C. Caufield2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    MTL
    J. Slafkovský2 G
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    J. Sanderson1 G, 3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
MTLMTL26142613619
OTTOTT0841411200534

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    J. Slafkovský(18)PPG
    C. Caufield (24), N. Suzuki (38)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-0
    3:06
  2. MTL
    C. Caufield(23)PPG
    N. Suzuki (39), L. Hutson (40)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-0
    17:50

2nd period

  1. OTT
    B. Tkachuk(10)PPG
    C. Giroux (24), J. Sanderson (27)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-1
    0:42
  2. OTT
    T. Stützle(21)
    N. Cousins (7), L. Eller (5)
    between-legsxG 0.07win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-2
    3:07
  3. MTL
    J. Anderson(11)
    M. Matheson (17), N. Dobson (22)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-2
    4:26
  4. OTT
    D. Cozens(14)PPG
    T. Stützle (28), J. Sanderson (28)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +21 ptsVideo
    3-3
    15:31
  5. OTT
    D. Perron(10)
    A. Zub (12), J. Sanderson (29)
    tip-inxG 0.57win prob +22 ptsVideo
    3-4
    18:24

3rd period

  1. OTT
    J. Sanderson(10)
    R. Greig (14)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-5
    7:55
  2. MTL
    J. Slafkovský(19)
    L. Hutson (41), P. Danault (10)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +8 ptsVideo
    4-5
    15:36
  3. MTL
    A. Carrier(4)
    I. Demidov (30), J. Anderson (5)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +40 ptsVideo
    5-5
    16:41

Overtime

  1. MTL
    C. Caufield(24)
    L. Hutson (42)
    slapxG 0.13win prob +51 ptsVideo
    6-5
    0:33

Penalties

MTL 8 PIM·OTT 12 PIM

1st

  • 1:32OTTDrake Batherson · Trippingdrawn by Mike Matheson2 min
  • 16:32OTTDavid Perron · Holdingdrawn by Arber Xhekaj2 min
  • 19:25MTLKaiden Guhle · High stickingdrawn by Ridly Greig2 min
  • 20:00MTLJosh Anderson · Trippingdrawn by Dylan Cozens2 min

2nd

  • 10:12OTTNick Cousins · High stickingdrawn by Noah Dobson2 min
  • 12:39OTTNick Cousins · Roughing removing opponents helmetdrawn by Alexandre Carrier2 min
  • 13:34MTLIvan Demidov · Trippingdrawn by Tim Stützle2 min
  • 15:03OTTBrady Tkachuk · Roughingdrawn by Phillip Danault2 min
  • 15:03MTLPhillip Danault · Roughingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min

3rd

  • 5:48OTTThomas Chabot · Roughingdrawn by Brendan Gallagher2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalMTL goalFinal: OTT 0%

Biggest swing: Cole Caufield, OT 0:33 — MTL 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.57D. Perron · Goal · xG 0.57T. Stützle · Missed · xG 0.23S. Pinto · On goal · xG 0.21B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.15J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.13B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.13S. Pinto · On goal · xG 0.13B. Tkachuk · Goal · xG 0.13J. Sanderson · Goal · xG 0.12S. Pinto · On goal · xG 0.11D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.10D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.09T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.09D. Cozens · Goal · xG 0.09T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.09B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.09B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.08B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.08B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.08T. Stützle · Goal · xG 0.06L. Eller · Missed · xG 0.06M. Amadio · On goal · xG 0.06D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.06L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.05D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.05D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.05D. Cozens · Missed · xG 0.04F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.04J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.03D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.03S. Pinto · On goal · xG 0.03T. Chabot · Missed · xG 0.02N. Cousins · Missed · xG 0.02T. Kleven · On goal · xG 0.02T. Chabot · Missed · xG 0.02D. Cozens · Missed · xG 0.02T. Chabot · Missed · xG 0.02S. Pinto · On goal · xG 0.02B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.01T. Kleven · Missed · xG 0.01N. Jensen · Missed · xG 0.01J. Spence · On goal · xG 0.01T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.01D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.01T. Kleven · Missed · xG 0.01J. Spence · On goal · xG 0.00T. Kleven · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT5 G · 4.1 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsOTT
2.56 G
All situations
5 G4.1
1.84 G
Even strength
3 G2.7
0.72 G
Power play
2 G1.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL26%74%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.42 – 3.91

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsOTT
19
Shots on goal
34
53%
Faceoffs
47%
2/5
Power play
2/3
8
Penalty minutes
12
28
Hits
26
24
Blocked shots
15
14
Giveaways
16
5
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
48L. HutsonD033+120.24030—26:22
8M. MathesonD011+110.03250—23:57
53N. DobsonD011-120.02120—21:54
14N. SuzukiC022+230.462005421:25
20J. SlafkovskýL202-120.50420—20:00
13C. CaufieldR213+230.61000—19:19
45A. CarrierD101010.02140—17:12
21K. GuhleD000000.00312—15:42
90J. VelenoC000010.015005015:32
71J. EvansC000+100.080105615:20
93I. DemidovR011020.16002—15:07
91O. KapanenC000-300.000005014:04
76Z. BolducR000-100.28310—13:36
85A. TexierL000000.00110—12:56
17J. AndersonR112+220.07212—12:53
11B. GallagherR000000.00310—12:48
24P. DanaultC011+200.000125710:59
72A. XhekajD000-100.00110—07:40
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35S. Montembeault(W)34295.8534.05-0.9560:12

Season series

MTL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).