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Senators at Canadiens
NHL

Ottawa Senators at Montréal Canadiens

NHL scoreboard
Ottawa Senators
3
Montréal Canadiens
▸4
Final/OTTV SN1, TVAS·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Ottawa Senators 4-3 in overtime, Alex Newhook scoring at 1:40. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alex Newhook's goal at 1:40 of overtime, which took the Canadiens' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 3.2 to 1.7; shots on goal were OTT 17, MTL 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 76% of the time. Linus Ullmark stopped 23 of 27 (.852), 0.8 goals below expected; Samuel Montembeault stopped 14 of 17 (.824), 1.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Cole Caufield (1 G, 1 A), 2. Nick Suzuki (2 A), 3. Ivan Demidov (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    C. Caufield1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    MTL
    N. Suzuki2 A
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    I. Demidov1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
OTTOTT05271500317
MTLMTL29071912427

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    C. Caufield(10)
    N. Suzuki (15)
    snapxG 0.22win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    7:05
  2. MTL
    J. Slafkovský(6)PPG
    N. Suzuki (16), C. Caufield (5)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-2
    9:25

2nd period

  1. OTT
    D. Batherson(5)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.06win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    11:53
  2. OTT
    M. Amadio(3)
    S. Pinto (4), A. Zub (7)
    deflectedxG 0.06win prob +23 ptsVideo
    2-2
    19:49

3rd period

  1. OTT
    T. Stützle(6)
    D. Batherson (10), T. Kleven (1)
    backhandxG 0.08win prob +36 ptsVideo
    3-2
    12:27
  2. MTL
    I. Demidov(3)
    L. Hutson (10), M. Matheson (4)
    slapxG 0.10win prob +44 ptsVideo
    3-3
    17:37

Overtime

  1. MTL
    A. Newhook(5)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.20win prob +49 ptsVideo
    3-4
    1:40

Penalties

OTT 16 PIM·MTL 16 PIM

1st

  • 8:51OTTKurtis MacDermid · Roughingdrawn by Zachary Bolduc2 min
  • 15:28MTLJoseph Veleno · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Tyler Kleven2 min
  • 15:28MTLJoseph Veleno · Fightingdrawn by Tyler Kleven5 min
  • 15:28OTTTyler Kleven · Fightingdrawn by Joseph Veleno5 min
  • 18:55OTTRidly Greig · High stickingdrawn by Lane Hutson2 min

2nd

  • 0:43MTLJuraj Slafkovský · Holdingdrawn by Shane Pinto2 min
  • 15:57MTLAlexandre Carrier · Trippingdrawn by Nick Cousins2 min
  • 16:08OTTDrake Batherson · Trippingdrawn by Josh Anderson2 min
  • 17:34OTTTim Stützle · Ps hooking on breakawaydrawn by Lane Hutson0 min

3rd

  • 1:15MTLJayden Struble · Fightingdrawn by Nick Cousins5 min
  • 1:15OTTNick Cousins · Fightingdrawn by Jayden Struble5 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalOTT goalFinal: MTL 100%

Biggest swing: Alex Newhook, OT 1:40 — MTL 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Dach · On goal · xG 0.41L. Hutson · On goal · xG 0.33C. Caufield · Goal · xG 0.22A. Newhook · Goal · xG 0.20Z. Bolduc · Missed · xG 0.18J. Slafkovský · Goal · xG 0.17C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.15A. Newhook · On goal · xG 0.15B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.14I. Demidov · Goal · xG 0.10I. Demidov · On goal · xG 0.09A. Xhekaj · On goal · xG 0.09A. Newhook · On goal · xG 0.08Z. Bolduc · On goal · xG 0.08I. Demidov · On goal · xG 0.07A. Newhook · Missed · xG 0.07M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.07K. Dach · Missed · xG 0.06I. Demidov · Missed · xG 0.06J. Evans · Missed · xG 0.06N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.05Z. Bolduc · On goal · xG 0.05K. Dach · Missed · xG 0.04A. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.04B. Gallagher · Missed · xG 0.04J. Evans · Missed · xG 0.04B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.03O. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.02J. Struble · On goal · xG 0.02I. Demidov · On goal · xG 0.02O. Kapanen · Missed · xG 0.02N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.02M. Matheson · Missed · xG 0.01N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.01N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.01M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.01C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.00J. Evans · Missed · xG 0.00J. Struble · On goal · xG 0.00
MTL4 G · 3.2 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsMTL
1.73 G
All situations
4 G3.2
1.03 G
Even strength
3 G2.5
0.70 G
Power play
1 G0.7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 73 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT24%76%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.73 – 3.21

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsMTL
17
Shots on goal
27
58%
Faceoffs
42%
0/3
Power play
1/3
16
Penalty minutes
16
27
Hits
27
12
Blocked shots
20
15
Giveaways
8
5
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
85J. SandersonD000+220.15000—26:08
72T. ChabotD000-100.00230—25:05
2A. ZubD011+110.02010—22:45
12S. PintoC011030.262206421:01
3N. JensenD000-110.01200—20:53
71R. GreigC000-110.342027020:42
24D. CozensC000-100.004105019:52
18T. StützleC101+110.08220019:31
19D. BathersonR112+130.35402—17:40
28C. GirouxR000010.001008316:17
22M. AmadioR101020.10200—16:08
57D. PerronL000-100.13110—15:01
89L. EllerC000+110.122005513:51
20F. ZetterlundL000+100.04010—12:10
43T. KlevenD011-110.11115—11:48
33N. MatinpaloD000+100.01000—11:29
21N. CousinsC000000.00105008:01
23K. MacDermidL000000.00102—02:04
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35L. Ullmark(O)27234.8523.24-0.7661:40

Season series

MTL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).