Ottawa Senators at Montréal Canadiens
Recap
written from the game dataThe Ottawa Senators beat the Montréal Canadiens 5-2. The Canadiens scored first; the Senators answered. The Senators led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jake Sanderson's goal at 5:48 of the second period, which took the Senators' chances from 64% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 3.9 to 1.7; shots on goal were OTT 29, MTL 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 83% of the time. Linus Ullmark stopped 20 of 22 (.909); Samuel Montembeault stopped 24 of 29 (.828), 1.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jake Sanderson (1 G), 2. Brady Tkachuk (1 G, 1 A), 3. Fabian Zetterlund (1 G, 1 A).
Three stars
- ★J. Sanderson1 G

- ★★B. Tkachuk1 G, 1 A

- ★★★F. Zetterlund1 G, 1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
7 goals1st period
0-13:37
1-14:01
2-116:53
2nd period
3-15:48
4-16:58
4-28:50
3rd period
5-212:43
Penalties
1st
- 2:55
Lars Eller · Trippingdrawn by Alexandre Carrier2 min
- 8:24
Shane Pinto · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Samuel Montembeault2 min
- 8:24
Jayden Struble · Roughingdrawn by Shane Pinto2 min
- 11:36
Jake Evans · High stickingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min
- 18:49
Shane Pinto · Cross checkingdrawn by Lane Hutson2 min
2nd
- 7:50
Michael Amadio · Trippingdrawn by Oliver Kapanen2 min
- 9:24
Arber Xhekaj · Roughingdrawn by Dylan Cozens2 min
3rd
- 3:15
Josh Anderson · Roughingdrawn by Ridly Greig2 min
- 3:15
Ridly Greig · Roughingdrawn by Josh Anderson2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Jake Sanderson, 2nd 5:48 — 64% → 81%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.95 G
- All situations
- 2 G1.7
- 3.35 G
- Even strength
- 0 G1.3
- 0.60 G
- Power play
- 2 G0.4
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 3.83 – 1.71
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 29
- Shots on goal
- 22
- 53%
- Faceoffs
- 47%
- 0/2
- Power play
- 2/3
- 10
- Penalty minutes
- 8
- 21
- Hits
- 33
- 16
- Blocked shots
- 16
- 10
- Giveaways
- 14
- 7
- Takeaways
- 4
Box score
every player line
Season series
MTL leads 3-1
3@
4OTFinal
5@
2this game
6@
5OTFinal
3@
2Final
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















