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Red Wings at Panthers
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at Florida Panthers

NHL scoreboard
Detroit Red Wings
3
Florida Panthers
▸4
FinalTV FDSNDET, SCRIPPS·Amerant Bank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Detroit Red Wings 4-3. The lead changed hands 3 times. The Red Wings led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Carter Verhaeghe's goal at 19:45 of the third period, which took the Panthers' chances from 52% to 99%. Expected goals favored the Red Wings, 3.0 to 2.1; shots on goal were DET 28, FLA 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. John Gibson stopped 24 of 28 (.857), 1.9 goals below expected; Daniil Tarasov stopped 25 of 28 (.893). Three stars: 1. Carter Verhaeghe (2 G), 2. Vinnie Hinostroza (1 G, 1 A), 3. Justin Faulk (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    C. Verhaeghe2 G
  2. ★★
    FLA
    V. Hinostroza1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    DET
    J. Faulk1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DETDET01121215328
FLAFLA1609313428

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    V. Hinostroza(4)
    J. Boqvist (6), G. Forsling (20)
    tip-inxG 0.04win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    9:48

2nd period

  1. DET
    P. Kane(10)
    M. Seider (37), A. DeBrincat (31)
    snapxG 0.23win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-1
    3:54
  2. DET
    J. Faulk(12)
    A. Copp (29)
    backhandxG 0.01win prob +22 ptsVideo
    2-1
    12:59

3rd period

  1. FLA
    N. Mikkola(3)
    V. Hinostroza (8)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +28 ptsVideo
    2-2
    5:10
  2. DET
    M. Kasper(7)
    E. Finnie (13), J. Faulk (22)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +29 ptsVideo
    3-2
    6:32
  3. FLA
    C. Verhaeghe(18)
    M. Tkachuk (10)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +46 ptsVideo
    3-3
    18:30
  4. FLA
    C. Verhaeghe(19)
    M. Tkachuk (11), S. Bennett (26)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +48 ptsVideo
    3-4
    19:45

Penalties

DET 6 PIM·FLA 4 PIM

1st

  • 13:30FLAMatthew Tkachuk · Slashingdrawn by Ben Chiarot2 min

2nd

  • 4:09DETAndrew Copp · Trippingdrawn by Niko Mikkola2 min
  • 5:07FLASam Bennett · Hookingdrawn by Michael Rasmussen2 min
  • 10:45DETSimon Edvinsson · Trippingdrawn by Mackie Samoskevich2 min
  • 18:18DETAlex DeBrincat · Slashingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalDET goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Carter Verhaeghe, 3rd 19:45 — FLA 52% → 99%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.18J. Boqvist · Missed · xG 0.16A. Greer · Missed · xG 0.12A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.11M. Samoskevich · Missed · xG 0.11C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.10S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.10S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.09M. Samoskevich · On goal · xG 0.07C. Verhaeghe · Goal · xG 0.06C. Verhaeghe · Goal · xG 0.06A. Lundell · Missed · xG 0.06T. Nosek · Missed · xG 0.06E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.06U. Balinskis · On goal · xG 0.06T. Nosek · Missed · xG 0.05M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.05M. Samoskevich · On goal · xG 0.04M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.04V. Hinostroza · Goal · xG 0.04S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.04A. Greer · On goal · xG 0.04A. Greer · Missed · xG 0.04S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.03N. Mikkola · Goal · xG 0.03T. Nosek · Missed · xG 0.03M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.02T. Nosek · Missed · xG 0.02J. Boqvist · On goal · xG 0.02M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.02A. Greer · On goal · xG 0.02G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.02M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.02U. Balinskis · On goal · xG 0.02U. Balinskis · On goal · xG 0.01D. Sebrango · Missed · xG 0.01E. Rodrigues · Missed · xG 0.01A. Greer · Missed · xG 0.01A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.01G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.01C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.01A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.01M. Samoskevich · On goal · xG 0.01G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.00M. Samoskevich · Missed · xG 0.00
FLA4 G · 2.1 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsFLA
3.03 G
All situations
4 G2.1
2.33 G
Even strength
4 G1.4
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET65%35%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.93 – 2.09

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsFLA
28
Shots on goal
28
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/2
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
16
Hits
31
18
Blocked shots
10
15
Giveaways
14
4
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
53M. SeiderD011-130.07040—25:40
77S. EdvinssonD000020.10022—21:20
72J. FaulkD112-110.01110—20:48
93A. DeBrincatR011030.41012—20:01
8B. ChiarotD000+130.09530—19:34
23L. RaymondL000-110.43100—18:43
88P. KaneR101+130.34000—18:01
37J. CompherL000-110.040106417:30
22M. AppletonC000010.09020016:44
27M. RasmussenC000-210.251202216:26
92M. KasperC101040.454106716:26
58E. FinnieC011010.060006715:44
25J. Bernard-DockerD000-110.02010—15:12
20A. JohanssonD000000.04000—14:24
28M. Brandsegg-NygårdR000010.06400—12:07
18A. CoppC011+110.300024010:01
21J. van RiemsdykL000010.23000—08:31
65D. ShineR000-100.00000—07:03
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36J. Gibson(L)28244.8572.10-1.9059:45

Season series

FLA leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).