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Panthers at Red Wings
NHL

Florida Panthers at Detroit Red Wings

NHL scoreboard
Florida Panthers
1
Detroit Red Wings
▸4
FinalTV TNT, truTV·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Detroit Red Wings beat the Florida Panthers 4-1. The Red Wings scored first and never trailed. The Red Wings led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mason Appleton's goal at 2:09 of the second period, which took the Red Wings' chances from 53% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Red Wings, 4.0 to 2.4; shots on goal were FLA 21, DET 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 21 of 23 (.913), 0.5 goals saved above expected; Cam Talbot stopped 20 of 21 (.952), 1.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Mason Appleton (2 G), 2. Patrick Kane (1 G), 3. Dylan Larkin (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DET
    M. Appleton2 G
  2. ★★
    DET
    P. Kane1 G
  3. ★★★
    DET
    D. Larkin2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA091507121
DETDET0921125425

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. DET
    M. Appleton(2)
    D. Larkin (2)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +16 ptsVideo
    0-1
    2:09
  2. DET
    P. Kane(2)PPG
    M. Seider (2), D. Larkin (3)
    wristxG 0.19win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    9:36
  3. FLA
    B. Marchand(3)
    A. Lundell (3)
    wrap-aroundxG 0.05win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-2
    14:05

3rd period

  1. DET
    M. Appleton(3)EN
    M. Rasmussen (1), A. DeBrincat (5)
    wristxG 0.73win prob +4 ptsVideo
    1-3
    18:02
  2. DET
    M. Rasmussen(1)EN
    A. DeBrincat (6)
    tip-inxG 0.75Video
    1-4
    19:42

Penalties

FLA 6 PIM·DET 4 PIM

2nd

  • 6:35DETMarco Kasper · Cross checkingdrawn by Evan Rodrigues2 min
  • 8:14FLAAaron Ekblad · Trippingdrawn by Dylan Larkin2 min
  • 9:30FLANiko Mikkola · Cross checkingdrawn by Dylan Larkin2 min

3rd

  • 3:58DETAxel Sandin-Pellikka · Interferencedrawn by Eetu Luostarinen2 min
  • 12:53FLAJeff Petry · Trippingdrawn by Dylan Larkin2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalFLA goalFinal: DET 100%

Biggest swing: Mason Appleton, 2nd 2:09 — DET 53% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Rasmussen · Goal · xG 0.75M. Appleton · Goal · xG 0.73M. Appleton · Goal · xG 0.20P. Kane · Goal · xG 0.19A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.17E. Finnie · On goal · xG 0.15E. Finnie · On goal · xG 0.15A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.14D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.13D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.12M. Kasper · Missed · xG 0.10D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.10D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.10A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.09M. Rasmussen · On goal · xG 0.08A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.06A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.06M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.06A. Copp · Missed · xG 0.06A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.06A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.06P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.05D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.04E. Soderblom · Missed · xG 0.04J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.03M. Rasmussen · Missed · xG 0.03A. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.03M. Brandsegg-Nygård · On goal · xG 0.03M. Rasmussen · Missed · xG 0.02D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.02J. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.02A. Sandin-Pellikka · On goal · xG 0.02A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.02M. Rasmussen · On goal · xG 0.02A. Sandin-Pellikka · On goal · xG 0.01A. Copp · Missed · xG 0.01P. Kane · Missed · xG 0.01B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.01S. Edvinsson · On goal · xG 0.01S. Edvinsson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Bernard-Docker · On goal · xG 0.00B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.00
DET4 G · 4.0 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsDET
2.41 G
All situations
2 G4.0
2.01 G
Even strength
1 G1.7
0.40 G
Power play
1 G0.8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA47%53%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.35 – 2.49

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsDET
21
Shots on goal
25
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/2
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
32
Hits
15
9
Blocked shots
21
15
Giveaways
23
2
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3S. JonesD000-220.11000—25:31
5A. EkbladD000-220.12012—23:53
42G. ForslingD000000.05100—22:25
77N. MikkolaD000020.05222—20:57
13S. ReinhartC000-220.692005020:16
17E. RodriguesC000030.272004118:17
15A. LundellC011-220.240005017:08
23C. VerhaegheC000-210.253105016:58
63B. MarchandL101-140.14000—16:56
27E. LuostarinenC000000.0551010016:34
9S. BennettC000020.373005016:23
11M. SamoskevichR000000.00100—14:46
70J. BoqvistC000-110.01400013:59
26U. BalinskisD000000.00110—12:48
2J. PetryD000000.00022—12:14
71L. KuninC000000.002103010:40
12J. GadjovichL000000.00300—08:47
10A. GreerL000000.00300—08:23
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
72S. Bobrovsky(L)23212.9132.52+0.5257:43

Season series

FLA leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).